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Day Trading Methodology

  
  Education
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I have been reading the latest book from Van Tharp, Super Trader and I want to highlight this passage about daytrading methodologies:

“For example, if you are a daytrader, open up a position and either take a small loss or get out at the end of the day. When you do that, you are not tied to the market all day, and you may find that you take small losses and get huge profits. Simplify your entry technique and concentrate on exits”

Now, lets cross this with Jesse Livermore remarks on the speculative line of least resistance:

“It sounds very easy to say that all you have to do is to watch the tape, establish your resistance points and be ready to trade along the line of least resistance as soon as you have determined it.”

So, we have a powerful daytrading methodology in these two market generalizations. But JL added, “But in actual practice a man has to guard against many things, and most of all against himself – that is, against human nature.”

Rings a bell? Maybe we should all print this post and have it by the trading desk.

The Common Elements Of Success

  
  Education
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Don’t miss to Buy this Book ,101% read it !!

Super TraderFrom time to time I have been asked to offer my perspectives on things I have found common in successful traders. I have always struggled with my reply to that question because there are only a few traders of which I have gained enough understanding of what they do every day to achieve their results.

However, in Van Tharp’s latest book “Super Trader,” he provides 10 common characteristics frequently found among the best of the best among the hundreds of traders he’s worked with throughout his career. Like me, I think you may find it of interest!

  1. They all have a tested, positive expectancy system that’s proved to make money for the market type for which it was designed.

  2. They all have systems that fit them and their beliefs. They understand that they make money with their systems because their systems fit them.

  3. They totally understand the concepts they are trading and how those concepts generate low-risk ideas.

  4. They all understand that when they get into a trade, they must have some idea of when they are wrong and will bail out. (more…)

Top 10 Trading Influences

  
  Education
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If New Trader University had a campus this would be the professors:

Dan Zanger is a world record holding trader that taught me to use in the money stock options on the biggest monster stocks to amplify my returns with no added risk at key points. He is the king of chart patterns.

Alexander Elder taught me how the trader’s Mind, Method, and Money Management have to all work together for a trader to be successful.

Michael Covel showed me how the best trend following traders in the world win over the long term by simply following the trend. Finding the big trends is now my focus above all else.

Jesse Livermore knew how to make a fortune in bull and bear markets, in commodities or stocks. His only weakness was the management of the risk of ruin. He made some of the biggest fortunes in the history of trading and also blew up his account more times than other legends.

Nicolas Darvas showed me how to ride monster stocks 100 points farther than anyone else seemed to believe they could go. His lessons also showed me how to miss bear market draw downs.

Van Tharp‘s marble game on how to manage the risk of ruin was a game changer for me. Managing risk is really what determines a trader’s long term survival not stock picking.

William O’Neil showed me how to pick the real winning stocks based on historical models not opinions. He has studied what has really made money in the stock market historically better than anyone else I know. I get my stock watch list from his publication Investor’s Business Daily’s IBD 50.

Ed Seykota is truly a master trader and he has the returns to prove it. Mr. Seykota believes that a trader’s psychology determines a trader’s success more than any other factor.  I believe him.

Jack Schwager wrote “Market Wizards” and really got into the specific nuts and bolts of what makes them win.

Paul Tudor Jones I have picked up a lot of trading wisdom form his documentary, quotes, and interview. He is truly one of the greatest  traders of our time.

If you decide to study these great traders keep what actually makes you money in the long term and discard what does not.

4 Trading Quotes for Today's Trading Session

  
  Education
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“You must practice being a successful trader first. From that state of mind you will get information about what to do, and that will produce what you want to have.”

“Excellence is about stepping outside the comfort zone, training with a spirit of endeavor, and accepting the inevitability of trials and tribulations. Progress is built, in effect, upon the foundations of necessary failure.” 

 “Amateurs keep thinking what trades to get into, while professionals spend just as much time figuring out their exits.”

“Confidence doesn’t come from being right all the time: it comes from surviving the many occasions of being wrong.” Brent Steenbarger, The Daily Trading Coach “When you attain some degree of control over yourself, you can then see how other traders are not in control of what happens to them.”

Surviving the Trading Game

  
  Education
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Trading coach Van Tharp has a trading game he lets his students play. In a class of 20 to 30 people he will pull different color marbles out of a bag to determine whether the classes trades are winners or losers and by what multiple. There are overall more winning marbles than losers marbles in the bag making this hypothetical trading system a robust system. In the long term the traders playing the game should make money. While the class all receives the same win and loss results during the game some players blow up their account to zero very quickly and others end up with great returns during the game. What is going on? What makes the difference? Each individual traders bet size and the amount of capital at risk determines whether they win or lose even though they are all getting the same trading results in wins and losses. The traders that bet too much and lose at the beginning of the game blow up quickly, the ones that bet big and win in the beginning start in the lead but blow up their accounts later. The best risk managers in the game win primarily by simply surviving their first consecutive string of losses while others do not. The winners also are able to grow their bet size during winning streaks as their capital grows. They bet more as they win and less as they lose by defining a percent of their total capital as a risk multiple that they can expose to losses.

So you see in the trading game, after a trader has a robust system it is still the best risk managers that win in the long term. (more…)

Ed Seykota Interview

  
  Education
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Van Tharp:
Have you played around with any other significant ideas in terms of position sizing besides market’s money? If so, what are they?
If you could give me ten rules to consider with respect to position sizing what would they be?
Ed Seykota:
“Playing around” with “when market money becomes your money” seems to be an exercise in math-turbation.
I don’t know what you mean by playing around with ideas. I feel you either think things through or you don’t.
Ten rules for position sizing:
1. Bet high enough to make meaningful profits when you win.
2. Bet low enough so you are ok financially and psychologically when you lose.
3. If (1) and (2) don’t overlap, don’t trade.
4. Don’t go adding a bunch of rules that don’t work, just so you have ten rules.

STOCK TRADING IS ABOUT ATTITUDE

  
  Education
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“If you want to be good at something, practice.  Practice deliberately, and do so for many years.”  Mike Bellafiore, One Good Trade

If the activities that lead to greatness were easy and fun, then everyone would do them and they would not distinguish the best from the rest.”  Geoff Colvin, Talent Is Overrated

“He that is good for making excuses is seldom good for anything else.” Benjamin Franklin

“Commitment, perseverance, and discipline are the characteristics that move people beyond desire to action, that differentiate mediocrity from greatness, and that separate greatness from superstardom.”  Doug Hirschhorn, 8 Ways to Great.

“I always felt that my greatest asset was not my physical ability, it was my mental ability.”  Bruce Jenner

“Those who are motivated by the love of the game attain a deeper sense of satisfaction from their work than those who are driven solely by the pursuit of wealth.” Brian Shannon, Technical Analysis Using Multiple Time Frames

“A free lunch is only found in mousetraps. “ John Capuzzi (more…)

Trading Profits in relate to Time and Accuracy

  
  Education
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The size of profits of a trading system, is related to time and accuracy. They are inter-related and it is not possible to get the best out of all 3 factors in any trading system.

 

Before I elaborate further, I shall define what these 3 factors mean.

 

Size of profits – I am referring to the average amount of profits the system will earn per trade.

 

Time – The average length of time you held on to a trade.

 

Accuracy – The percentage that the system is correct and earns you a profit.

 

Big Profits = Long Time = Low Accuracy

 

For systems that aim for big profits, they must allow a greater range of fluctuations for the trade. By having a large trading range will in turn prevent you from getting stopped out so soon. Hence, you will be in a trade for a longer period of time. Besides having a larger profits, it will also serve you losses that are bigger, because your stop loss limit has to be further from your entry point. It is more difficult to grasp for the relationship with accuracy.

 

Small Profits = Short Time = High Accuracy (more…)

Characteristics of Successful Trader

  
  Education
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SUCESS1From time to time I have been asked to offer my perspectives on things I have found common in successful traders. I have always struggled with my reply to that question because there are only a few traders of which I have gained enough understanding of what they do every day to achieve their results.

However, in Van Tharp’s latest book “Super Trader,” he provides 10 common characteristics frequently found among the best of the best among the hundreds of traders he’s worked with throughout his career. Like me, I think you may find it of interest!

  1. They all have a tested, positive expectancy system that’s proved to make money for the market type for which it was designed.

  2. They all have systems that fit them and their beliefs. They understand that they make money with their systems because their systems fit them.

  3. They totally understand the concepts they are trading and how those concepts generate low-risk ideas. (more…)

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