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Amos Hostetter :Invaluable Trading Principles

  1. Try to find a long term trend and ride it up. Stay with the trend and don’t be tempted to grab a quick profit. Patience is one of the most important traits of a trend follower.
  2. Be careful not to be shaken out by market fluctuations. Instead try to sit tight as long as there are no warnings showing up. Prices that come back so that your initial gain halves are not necessarily a reason to sell.
  3. Big wins can only be achieved with major trends. Find them and don’t hesitate to buy at high prices when you may think it is too late. A market is never too high to buy or too low to sell.
  4. Necessary is of course a stop loss near the entry point. A stop is the easiest way to put your capital at work on a trend, because otherwise you are too often and too long stuck in a trading market which goes nowhere or worse in a falling market.
  5. Absolutely forbidden is averaging down or fighting the market trend.
  6. To think that a market is cheaper now after prices came down and therefore must offer a better chance than it did when prices were higher, will put you in the wrong stocks at the wrong times.
  7. Never try to sell at the top. The trend may continue. Sell after a reaction if there is no rally.
  8. On the other hand don’t expect the market to end in a blaze of glory. Look out for warnings.
  9. Tape reading can tell you only that something is wrong. Don’t try to analyze the flow of transactions as the tape shows them in too much detail.
  10. Don’t look for breaks. Look out for warnings.
  11. Pyramid stocks only if the initial investment shows a gain.
  12. Look out for normal market behavior. If a market doesn’t act right, don’t touch it.
  13. If in a bear market a complete demoralization develops suddenly it may be a sign for a starting bull market.
  14. Observation of the market gives the best tips of all. Follow your experience to exploit them, while sticking to facts only.

The Power of Regret

Everyone knows that chasing price is usually not beneficial, we either end up catching the move too late, or we get poor trade location, which makes it more difficult to manage the trade.

However, there are other forms of chasing that are just as common, maybe more common, and just as counter-productive.   As a trading psychologist I see these all the time.

Traders who are not profitable are often too quick to chase after new set-ups and indicators, or a different chat room, if that’s your thing.  Obviously, we need to have a trading edge, whether it is from the statistical perspective of a positive expectancy, or simply the confidence in a particular discretionary strategy such as tape reading, following order flow, market profile, etc.

Chasing a trade is the fear of missing out. The fear of missing out is associated with various emotions, including regret. In my work with traders and in my own trading, I’ve seen the incredible power of regret. There’s a lot of talk about fear and greed in trading, but the power of regret is often overlooked. Some of my own worst trades, and those of my clients, often have a ‘regret from missing a prior opportunity’ component. When I finally finish my book on the psychology of financial risk taking, I will include much about this overlooked but very powerful emotion. (more…)

Trading Wisdom

Successful traders:
1) are very solid with what he called the “basics” (tape reading, execution, preparation for the trading day),
2) have discovered the trades that fit your personality and became excellent at those and
3) realize that successful trading is about pulling a small bucket of profit water out of the market well multiple times (in other words they are not greedy).

4) a passion for trading,
5) the willingness to admit you are wrong in your bias and to change your bias or terminate a losing trade and
6) to work really hard to become better each day.

7) an ability to recognize what trades truly work for you and to STICK with them and
8) calmness in the midst of market volatility.

Unglamorous as it may sound, it looks like the clear winner is hard work and learning the basics. Should this be that big of a surprise? Wasn’t it Thomas Edison who said ” genius is 1% inspiration and 99% perspiration”? But it is interesting to note that two of the three put a very high premium on recognizing your trading strengths and focusing on those types of trades primarily.

Chasing A Trade and Fear

Everyone knows that chasing price is usually not beneficial, we either end up catching the move too late, or we get poor trade location, which makes it more difficult to manage the trade.

However, there are other forms of chasing that are just as common, maybe more common, and just as counter-productive.   Traders who are not profitable are often too quick to chase after new set-ups and indicators, or a different chat room, if that’s your thing.  Obviously, we need to have a trading edge, whether it is from the statistical perspective of a positive expectancy, or simply the confidence in a particular discretionary strategy such as tape reading, following order flow, market profile, etc.

Chasing a trade is the fear of missing out. The fear of missing out is associated with various emotions, including regret. In my work with traders and in my own trading, I’ve seen the incredible power of regret. There’s a lot of talk about fear and greed in trading, but the power of regret is often overlooked. Some of my own worst trades, and those of my clients, often have a ‘regret from missing a prior opportunity’ component. When I finally finish my book on the psychology of financial risk taking, I will include much about this overlooked but very powerful emotion.

Somewhat related to chasing a trade, is impulse trading.  They both have in common the underlying feeling of the fear of missing out.  It’s tempting for me to talk about impulse trading here, but it really deserves its own piece. 

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