Archives of “stock market” tag

rss

Most Important Qualifications for a Successful Trader

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

qualifications1I believe that one of the most important qualifications for a successful trader is “POISE”, which to me is defined as stability, a well balanced person with dignity of manner – as it relates to the stock market.
A poised person is a person who can handle their hopes and their fears in a calm manner.

The other qualification is “PATIENCE” to wait for the opportune time, when as many factors as possible are positioned in the traders favor.
Poise and patience are the close friends of successful traders.

The final qualification is “SILENT”. Keep your own silent counsel – keep your victories and your failures to yourself – learn from them both.

Poise, patience and silence are attributes that must be cultivated.
These virtues do not come automatically to the stock market trader.

Here's The Legendary Interview Where Martin Zweig Calls The 1987 Crash 3 Days Before It Happened

  
Education, Video
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

According to Bloomberg, famous stock market pundit Martin Zweig has passed away.

Zweig (who was either 70 or 71) was a technical analyst, newsletter writer, and money manager, who famously called the crash of 1987 3 days before it happened.

In an interview on Louis Rukeyser’s Wall Street Week on October 16, 1987, Zweig predicted a short violent drop in the market that would be reminiscent of 1929.

Here’s the video. The whole thing is worth watching, but Zweig starts his call at the 6:44 mark.

Why Is Trading So Hard?

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #

At one point or another, everyone who has interactions with the market asks oneself, “Why is trading so hard?” There are legitimate reasons why trading should be difficult: markets are highly random; whatever edge we can find is eroded by competition from smart, well-capitalized traders; some traders work within various constraints; and markets are subject to very large shocks that can have devastating effects on unprepared traders. Even so, it seems like something else is going on, almost like we are our own worst enemies at times. What is it about markets that encourages people to do exactly the wrong thing at the wrong time, and why do many of the behaviors that serve us so well in other situations actually work against us in the market?

Part of the answer lies in the nature of the market itself. What we call “the market” is actually the end result of the interactions of thousands of traders across the gamut of size, holding period, and intent. Each trader is constantly trying to gain an advantage over the others; market behavior is the sum of all of this activity, reflecting both the rational analysis and the psychological reactions of all participants. This creates an environment that has basically evolved to encourage individual traders to make mistakes. That is an important point—the market is essentially designed to cause traders to do the wrong thing at the wrong time. The market turns our cognitive tools and psychological quirks against us, making us our own enemy in the marketplace. It is not so much that the market is against us; it is that the market sets us against ourselves.

Technical Analysis Fact and Fiction

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

“Technical analysis, I think, has a great deal that is right and a great deal that is mumbo jumbo…

“There is a great deal of hype attached to technical analysis by some technicians who claim that it predicts the future. Technical analysis tracks the past; it does not predict the future. You have to use your own intelligence to draw conclusions about what the past activity of some traders may say about the future activity of other traders.

“For me, technical analysis is like a thermometer. Fundamentalists who say they are not going to pay any attention to the charts are like a doctor who says he’s not going to take a patient’s temperature. But, of course, that would be sheer folly. If you are a responsible participant in the market, you always want to know where the market is — whether it is hot and excitable, or cold and stagnant. You want to know everything you can about the market to give you an edge.

“Technical analysis reflects the vote of the entire marketplace and, therefore, does pick up unusual behaviors. By definition, anything that creates a new chart pattern is something unusual. It is very important for me to study the details of price action to see if I can observe something about how everybody is voting. Studying the charts is absolutely crucial and alerts me to existing disequilibria and potential changes.”

– Bruce Kovner, Market Wizards

Bruce Kovner pulled billions out of the markets, over multiple decades, before handing the reins of his fund, Caxton Associates, to the next generation of traders.

As an academic in a past life, Kovner was known for his deep dive fundamental analysis — but he also used charts extensively, as the Market Wizards excerpt shows. (more…)

20 Thoughts from -Richard Love’s “Superperformance Stocks”

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

If you read Jesse Livermore’s “How to Trade in Stocks” from 1940, Nicolas Darvas’s ‘How I made 2M in the stock market” from 1960, Richard Love’s “Superperformance Stocks” from 1977, William O’Neil’s early version of “How to make money in stocks” from the 1990s or Howard Lindzon’s “The Wallstrip Edge” from 2008, you will realize that after so many years, the main thing that has changed in the market is the names of the winning stocks. Everything else important – the catalysts, the cyclicality in sentiment, has remained the same.

Here are some incredible insights from Richard Love’s book ‘Superperformance Stocks’. In his eyes, a superperformance stock is one that has at least tripled within a two-year period.

1. The first consideration in buying stock is safety.

Safety is derived more from the good timing of the purchase and less from the financial strength of the company. The stocks of the nation’s largest and strongest corporations have dropped drastically during general stock market declines.

The best time to buy most stocks is when the market looks like a disaster. It is then that the risk is lowest and the potential rewards are highest.

2. All stocks are price-cyclical

For many years certain stocks have been considered to be cyclical; that is, the business of those companies rose and fell with the business cycle. It was also assumed that some industries and certain companies were noncyclical— little affected by the changes in business conditions. The attitude developed among investors that cyclical industries were to be avoided and that others, such as established growth companies, were to be favored. To a  certain extent this artificial division of companies into cyclical and noncyclical has been deceptive because although the earnings of some companies might be little affected by the business cycle the price of the stock is often as cyclical as that of companies strongly affected by the business cycle. Virtually all stocks are price-cyclical. Stocks that are not earnings-cyclical often have higher price/earnings ratios, and thus are susceptible to reactions when the primary trend of the market begins to decline. This can occur even during a period of increasing earnings. (more…)

Lessons for traders

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #
  • Price goes up or down, from point A to point B, due to fundamental conditions. Hence we must understand fundamentals. However, the path price takes is not direct; it is driven by the news and emotions of the day. That’s where technical analysis shines.
  • Don’t bet big on any trade.
  • Use money management, nothing is more important to survival.
  • Fade the advisors and public; they are most often wrong while the commercials [the big guys] are most often correct.
  • Don’t let emotions run your trading game.
  • Trade what you see, not what someone tells you that you should be seeing. Forget the news; trade what you see.

Trading Mindset Upgrade Profit Opportunity -Anirudh Sethi

  
Analysis, Education
#  #  #  #

Image result for Trading MindsetAnybody that has traded for an expanded timeframe comprehends the significance of having the correct attitude with regards to trading beneficially. Truth be told, without the correct attitude, it’s practically difficult to deliver reliable outcomes. In addition, the greatest test I’ve seen for some traders understands what the right mentality involves, and after that making it perpetual so it turns out to be second nature while connecting with the business sectors. Most traders concentrate on creating techniques with a specific end goal to profit. Henceforth, there is no other path around. In any case, your mentality is regularly “the missing connection” with a specific end goal to perform better. To get consistent returns you need to concentrate on the mental part the same amount of as the trading numbers. For the individuals who have not traded much, this may sound somewhat abnormal. What does brain science need to do with hard and cool trading numbers? In the wake of trading for a few years, you’ll find that trading is absolutely not as simple as it appears to be, an incredible inverse. On the off chance that you can’t take after the principles of the procedure, you essentially have no technique.

Target is Most Valuable Consequence of Trading Mindset

Your mindset and convictions will be a noteworthy deciding component in your trading come about. Consider this illustration, where the same fruitful trading approach is utilized by a hundred traders and ordinarily no two of them will trade it the very same way. Why? Since every trader has a one of a kind conviction framework, and their convictions will decide their trading style and their trading comes about. That is the reason even with a gainful and demonstrated trading approach; numerous traders will come up short. They don’t have the best possible conviction framework to empower them to trade well. At the end of the day, they do not have ‘The Trader’s Mindset’. When you experience mental issues it is best to perceive the issues, simply know about them and don’t deny they exist. Keeping in mind the end goal to settle mental issues, we should first wind up plainly mindful of the issues that are making the issues altogether mind. This is a lot of what truly matters to analysis. The therapist or psychotherapist tries to get the patient initially to perceive issues that are causing their issues. The patient must trust that these issues are making the issue altogether for the patient recuperates. The reason this procedure can take so long, maybe even years, is on the grounds that the patient needs to perceive their issues as well as must acknowledge that there genuinely is an issue. They should assume liability for their issues to recuperate. (more…)

Beating The Game

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

3575My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market. The stock market is the greatest, most complex puzzle ever invented – and it pays the biggest jackpot….it was never the money that drove me. It was the game, solving the puzzle, beating the market that had confused and confounded the greatest minds in history. For me, that passion, the juice, the exhilaration was in beating the game, a game that was a living dynamic riddle, a conundrum to everyone who speculated on Wall Street. Jesse Livermore

Winners Trade to Win

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

As you already know, I am not a slave to conventional wisdom. It is my belief that most popular beliefs held by the masses are not wise at all. This applies to all walks of life, not just the stock market.

The latest bit of unwise conventional wisdom is the idea that one must “focus on not losing money in order to make money”. Play it safe and protect your capital has been a popular mantra over the past month. What a load of crap.

You know what happens when you focus on not losing money? You lose it. Either that or you make meager gains (all hail consistency, as in consistently average!). It’s akin to an athlete playing not to get injured. That is when you get hurt. The team that plays not to lose rarely wins.

In trading, playing not to lose will cause you to pass up on good trades and scare you out of trading volatile, yet lucrative markets. If you have put in the blood, sweat and tears that accompany hard work and dedication, know what you are doing, and have a sound methodology and edge, don’t ever play not to lose.

Note that this doesn’t mean you throw caution to the wind. On the contrary, a trader must be vigilant about managing risk, position size and ones emotions. These three factors, along with having an edge, allow one to play to win, rather than lose, and put on winning trades.

15 Crucial Points From -Trading Psychology 2.0

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

11. Discipline, while necessary for success, is never sufficient. Discipline does not substitute for skill, talent, and insight. Strict, disciplined adherence to mediocre plans can only lock in mediocre results. If it were otherwise, there would be no losing automated trading systems.

2. It is not enough to find an “edge” in financial markets; as any tech entrepreneur can attest, competitive advantages are perishable commodities. Those who sustain success continually renew themselves, uncovering fresh sources of competitive advantage. That requires processes for assessing and challenging our most basic assumptions and practices. It takes a good trader to create success, a great one to recreate it. Nothing is quite as difficult— and rewarding— as letting go of what once worked, returning to the humble status of student, and arising phoenix-like from performance ashes.

3. This productivity is readily apparent on a day-to-day, week-to-week basis: The greats simply get more done than their colleagues. They organize their time and prioritize their activities so that they are both efficient (get a lot done per unit of time) and effective (get the right things done). How much time do we typically waste as traders, staring unthinkingly at screens, chatting with people who offer little insight, and reading low-priority/ information-poor emails and reports? The successful traders invariably are workhorses, not showhorses: They get their hands dirty rooting through data and make active use of well-cultivated information networks.

4. Successful traders I’ve known work as hard on themselves as on markets. They develop routines for keeping themselves in ideal states for making trading decisions, often by optimizing their lives outside of markets.

5. This, for me as a psychologist, has been one of the greatest surprises working with professional money managers: The majority of traders fail, not because they lack needed psychological resources but because they cannot adapt to what Victor Niederhoffer refers to as “ever-changing cycles.” Their frustration is a result of their rigid trading, not the primary cause. No psychological exercises, in and of themselves, will turn business around for the big-box retailer that fails to adapt to online shopping or the gaming company that ignores virtual reality. The discipline of sticking to one’s knitting is destined for failure if it is not accompanied by equally rigorous processes that ensure adaptive change. (more…)

Go to top