The Technical Aspects of Trading Emotions- Anirudh Sethi

Image result for Trading EmotionsEach seminar and book will disclose to you that controlling your feelings and have taught in your trading are fundamental to your prosperity. In any case, nobody reveals to you how to accomplish passionate control and individual teachers while trading the market. Each trader sees the market distinctively in light of the fact that our past, our present lives, and our discernments are special. Understanding those things about yourself and tackling their impact on your trading will enable you to continue trading substances free of enthusiastic flotsam and jetsam. Here are a few stages that will have any kind of effect. You should adopt a specialized strategy to your feelings and teach preparing similarly as you adopt a specialized strategy to dissecting a stock outline. However, before we get into the coordination of how to control feelings, you should see a few rudiments of why some market members have strong control of their feelings while others don’t. Experience considerable difficulties recently? Is it true that you are getting a handle on worried about it? Assuming this is the case, you may find that a lot of the proposals you ordinarily get to enable you to the center are not doing a mess of good. You have been adhering to your trading technique as well as can be expected and endeavoring to trade with train, yet things still are not working out. You continue losing trades in any case, and you have a feeling that your entire basic leadership handle is a wreck.

Trading Emotion is Required to Understand Market Vibrations

All value activity in stocks is fundamentally reliant on enthusiastic responses from differing market members. Without feelings, cost sits level. There are numerous degrees of passionate surges, influxes of happiness and covetousness, and floods of frenzy and sadness that drive costs up or down. What’s more, dependable inside those waves are the executioner tear tides that originate from the individuals who have figured out how to control feelings and wipe out the individuals who don’t have control. At last, achievement in the market is a mix of foreseeing the following move and the moves of the various market members who may enter that stock, and decide when you ought to take an interest. Shockingly, most traders trade the market not as though they were playing chess with the many-sided quality of the game of poker. However, they were in Las Vegas, betting on a roulette wheel. On occasion this way, you now and then need to handle the intense subject matters which are throwing you off track before you begin managing specialized parts of the circumstance. Possibly you are making blunders with your trading framework and how you utilize your pointers, yet you might not be able to settle those mistakes in your present mental state. You just can’t see obviously when your brain is a jumble of enthusiastic debris. In the event that that is your circumstance, I prescribe that you went through an enthusiastic agenda before you proceed. You should recognize any enthusiastic injuries which might be meddling in your trading, and afterward, make sense of regardless of whether those injuries are no less than one reason for your present issues. In the realm of stock trading, there are Master Traders who have control over their feelings and after that, there are the Gambler traders who purchase and offer construct absolutely with respect to feeling whether they understand it or not. A Master Trader joins the expertise of a chess player who envisions a rival’s moves and plans his own particular well ahead of time and furthermore utilizes the poker player’s reign in never uncovering his hand he uncovers it. A card shark is basically responding to his feelings without rationale or thinking ahead in what he does. Market members who trade the market with the ability of a Master Chess Player–anticipating value activity days, weeks, and months ahead of time; fusing the ‘never uncover your hand’ part of poker–have the extraordinary favorable position over speculator traders. They have control over their feelings and thus control over how they trade. The card shark trader is simply tossing money at the market and trusting something will go their direction. (more…)

Ed Seykota on Trading Heat

Ed Seykota:

Seasoned traders know the importance of risk management. If you risk little, you win little. If you risk too much, you eventually run to ruin. The optimum, of course, is somewhere in the middle.

Placing a trade with a predetermined stop-loss point can be compared to placing a bet: The more money risked, the larger the bet. Conservative betting produces conservative performance, while bold betting leads to spectacular ruin. A bold trader placing large bets feels pressure — or heat — from the volatility of the portfolio. A hot portfolio keeps more at risk than does a cold one. Portfolio heat seems to be associated with personality preference; bold traders prefer and are able to take more heat, while more conservative traders generally avoid the circumstances that give rise to heat. In portfolio management, we call the distributed bet size the heat of the portfolio. A diversified portfolio risking 2% on each of five instrument & has a total heat of 10%, as does a portfolio risking 5% on each of two instruments.

Our studies of heat show several factors, which are:

1. Trading systems have an inherent optimal heat.

2. Setting the heat level is far and away more important than fiddling with trade timing parameters.

3. Many traders are unaware of both these factors.

Neuroscience in Trading :Anirudh Sethi

Image result for Neuroscience in tradingTrading is an interesting field to say the least. It revolves around a great deal of decision making, and a lot of choices which will have diverse effects. What is responsible for the decisions made? Naturally, the trader’s thoughts and considerations in relation to his or her trading experience. So, to a certain extent neuroscience comes into the picture.

Neuroscience refers to the way the brain works, along with its cognitive functions. In fact neuroscientists focus their studies on the human brain, and how it has an impact on behavior and thinking functions.

Financial decisions are very important, and it goes without saying that they are affected by the individual’s financial literacy, experience as well as cognitive constraints. Decisions are also affected by one’s level of confidence, level of objectivity, and the element of risk involved. The amount of money involved is also prevalent, as the higher it is, the bigger the risks are and the more cautious one is more likely to be, as long as greed and over confidence do not cloud one’s decision. Thus, there are several factors which all have an effect on the decision that is finally made.

Therefore the neuroscience behind trading decisions is a very complex matter. Despite efforts to try to understand how the brain works and how it effects trading psychology and the subsequent decisions made by traders, one cannot say for sure how it all works out as there are so many factors and issues involved. There are however some patterns and trends that were noted after neuroscientists conducted certain studies in this regard.

For instance, there is a general belief that traders invest in a diversified portfolio in order to limit risk, and once this is done, they are less pressured to make substantial trading decisions since they have their investments spread out quite well. There are others who prefer to take bigger risks because they want to stick to certain stocks only, because they have a belief that they are going to do better off that way. Evidently in this case pride and confidence comes into play. (more…)

3 Important contributors to lack of trading confidence

1)  Not putting in the work – When we try to borrow ideas from others, we never really deeply understand those ideas.  The process of independently generating an idea ensures that the idea makes sense to us.  That gives us staying power during temporary periods of adverse price action;
2)  Negative self-talk – When we focus on everything we could have done better and everything we did wrong, we create mini failure experiences for ourselves over time.  Our self-talk reflects our relationship with ourselves.  How can we feel confident in who we are and in what we do if we’re constantly tearing ourselves down?
3)  Not playing to our strengths –  Many traders attempt trading styles that don’t match their personality and cognitive strengths.  Over time that generates frustration and erodes confidence.  Trading frequently when we function best as big picture idea generators inevitably exposes us to noise and randomness.

Probability in Trading

The indulgence of probability

Probability in day trading is an extremely flexible and equally subjective authority. It is one such aspect that provides for a comprehensive room in terms of making decisions and analysing the potential effects of the decision as well. It can be envisioned as a semi-mechanical process which is based on an automated system comprising of various probabilities that depict two possible results at the end of it all.

Application of the laws of probability to determine market curve

The laws of probability are majorly applied to the stock market arena in speculating the growth curve. One of the most common examples is the influence of present growth on a stock. For instance the laws of probability in stock market confers to the fact that a stock is expected to underperform following an adverse growth session since major players tend to reap in the benefits without further risk involvement.

The substantial loss is incurred since major proportions of the people seemingly think alike and want to either cash out with the profits they have made or simply by virtue of the fear of losing money. Either way the scenario is completely structured owing to the presumptuous thinking of the common people and the misguiding statistical analysis with probability at its core.

It is therefore easily understandable that probability plays a comprehensive role at the crux of shaping the stock market manoeuvres. Probability in day trading is completely speculative yet self-induced as well. In an easier and subtle language it can be envisioned as a pseudo element that helps to shape the movements. It is significantly a common entity that is extensively present at the back of the mind in each trader.  

Probability based trading (more…)

Perfection in Trading :Anirudh Sethi

Image result for perfectionBeing perfect is certainly not easy. Perfection is debatable, and needless to say, as challenging as can be. Matters become increasingly difficult when this is attributed to a trading environment or situation. Many traders end up setting their trades by focusing on what they want the results to be. They focus on the outcome of the trade, and do not give a lot of attention to the actual execution of that trade. This is in fact one of the main reasons why trading is so difficult. A trader can never hope to be perfect in his or her decisions. And, one can never hope for a perfect scenario, where any decision that is made results in a favorable result. Therefore the general rule of thumb that traders need to appreciate and get used to is that they need to perfect the decision making process and the execution of the trade, rather than hoping to make the results perfect. The choices, research, knowledge and information discerned are the steps that need to be perfected in the hope of perfecting the results of the trade in question.

Perfection also revolves around another issue in trading. The vast majority of traders worry a great deal about the outcome of their trading decisions. They experience a fear of losing out, and they do not want to risk a lot of their money either. They realize that in trading it is practically impossible to be perfect, and no matter how many years pass, and how many trades they do, they are still going to end up being imperfect.

Moreover, especially in the case of novice traders, it is normal to think that being a trader is a somewhat simple way to make money. They see the future as being rewarding and profitable – typically, a perfect way to become rich. Yet, they tend to underestimate the risks involved in trading and the various issues that revolve around making sound trading decisions and choices. (more…)

A Winning Mindset is Required To Succeed

  • A losing trader can do little to transform himself into a winning trader. A losing trader is not going to want to
    transform himself. That’s the kind of thing winning traders do.
  • The winning traders have usually been winning at whatever field they are in for years.
  • It is a happy circumstance that when nature gives us true burning desires, she also gives us the means to
    satisfy them. Those who want to win and lack skill can get someone with skill to help them.
  • The “doing” part of trading is simple. You just pick up the phone and place orders. The “being” part is a bit more subtle. It’s like being an athlete. It’s commitment arid mission. To the committed, a world of support appears. All manner of unforeseen assistance materializes to support and propel the committed to meet grand destiny.
  • In your recipe for success, don’t forget commitment – and a deep belief in the inevitability of your success.

10 Quotes from the Book “Hedge Fund Market Wizards”

  1. All markets look liquid during the bubble (massive uptrend), but it’s the liquidity after the bubble ends that matters.

  2. Markets tend to over discount the uncertainty related to identified risks. Conversely, markets tend to under discount risks that have not yet been expressly identified. Whenever the market is pointing at something and saying this is a risk to be concerned about, in my experience, most of the time, the risk ends up being not as bad as the market anticipated.

  3. Traders focus almost entirely on where to enter a trade. In reality, the entry size is often more important than the entry price because if the size is too large, a trader will be more likely to exit a good trade on a meaningless adverse price move. The larger the position, the greater the danger that trading decisions will be driven by fear rather than by judgment and experience.

  4. Virtually all traders experience periods when they are out of sync with the markets. When you are in a losing streak, you can’t turn the situation around by trying harder. When trading is going badly, Clark’s advice is to get out of everything and take a holiday. Liquidating positions will allow you to regain objectivity.

  5. Staring at the screen all day is counterproductive. He believes that watching every tick will lead to both selling good positions prematurely and overtrading. He advises traders to find something else (preferably productive) to occupy part of their time to avoid the pitfalls of watching the market too closely.

  6. When markets are trending up strongly, and there is bad news, the bad news counts for nothing. But if there is a break that reminds people what it is like to lose money in equities, then suddenly the buying is not mindless anymore. People start looking at the fundamentals, and in this case, I knew the fundamentals were very ugly indeed.

  7. If you don’t understand why you are in a trade, you won’t understand when it is the right time to sell, which means you will only sell when the price action scares you. Most of the time when price action scares you, it is a buying opportunity, not a sell indicator.

  8. Normally, I let winners run and cut losers. In 2009, however, as a result of the posttraumatic effects of going through the September 2008 to February 2009 period—talking to clients who are going out of business and seeing 50 percent of your fund redeemed is all very wearing—I got into the habit of snatching quick 10 to 15 percent profits in individual positions. Most of these positions then went up another 35 to 40 percent. I consider my pattern of taking quick profits in 2009 a dreadful error that I think came about because I had lost a degree of confidence due to experiencing my first down year in 2008.

  9. As an equity trader, I learned the short-selling lessons relatively early. There is no high for a concept stock. It is always better to be long before they have already moved a lot than to try to figure out where to go short.

  10. Now that you have switched from net long to net short, what would get you long again? – Buying. If all of a sudden stocks stopped going down on bad news that would be a positive sign.

12 Trading Mantras from Trading Legend Mark Douglas

Fill the “profit gap” with the right things…

In his books and seminars, Mark Douglas often refers to something he calls the “profit gap”. What he is talking about is basically the difference or “gap” between the potential profit you could achieve if you had just followed your trading method and what your actual bottom line results are.

Traders often begin trading a method with very high hopes. They want to produce an income they can rely on and get consistent results from their trading. However, this is only possible if you are trading an effective method with discipline and consistency, which most people simply do not do and as a result, they experience the profit gap that Mark refers to.

The key point that Mr. Douglas makes about this profit gap is that traders typically try to fill the gap by learning more about the market, changing methods, spending more time in front of their computers etc. However, what they really need to learn is more about themselves and how they interact with the market. Essentially, they need to acquire the “proper mental skills” to trade their method as they should and to get the most out of it, in order to properly fill the profit gap.

Winning and being a winning trader are two different things…

Anyone, and I literally mean anyone, even a 5-year-old child, can find themselves in a winning trade. It does not require any special skill to get lucky on any particular trade and hit a winner. All you have to do is open your trading platform and push a few buttons and if you get lucky, you can make a lot of money in a short amount of time.

As a result of the above, it’s natural for a trader who has not yet developed his or her trading skills to take the leap from “it’s easy to win” to “it can’t be that much harder to make a living from this”.

This is how many traders’ careers get started. Needless to say, it is also how they get on the path to losing a whole lot of money just as fast or even faster than they made it.

A winning trader has the mental skills to realize, understand and utilize the FACT that any particular trade he or she takes has basically a random outcome. That is to say, they cannot possibly know the outcome of that trade until it is over. The winning trader knows this and they also know that they must trade in-line with this belief over a large series of trades and ignore all the temptations and feelings that get kicked up on each trade they take. They are able to do this because they keep their eyes on the bigger picture. That bigger picture is the fact that IF they execute their method flawlessly, over and over, over a long enough period of time / series of trades, they will come out profitable.

Thus, do not mistake a winning trade for you being a winning trader, yet. A very easy trap to fall into. (more…)

Mental Fitness Tips that Every Trader Should Know -Anirudh Sethi

Mental Fitness for Traders makes no thought of your money related conditions. All material introduced inside is not to be viewed as venture exhortation, but rather for general enlightening purposes as it was. Trading stocks, fates, Forex, and choices do include chance, so alert should dependably be used. We can’t ensure benefits or flexibility from misfortune. You accept the whole cost and danger of any trading you attempt. You are exclusively in charge of settling on your own speculation choices. Trading achievement is needy more on the dealer’s enthusiastic state than on the system utilized, paying little respect to how vigorous it might be. We are people so having feelings like fear and voracity is ordinary in our everyday life yet not in trading when we are trading we need to act like machines or robots. Regardless of whether you’re a specialist trader or only a tenderfoot, a great tip can measurably affect your main concern. A couple of the world’s best Forex dealers we’re made a request to uncover the best three hints, traps, and strategies that assist them trade gainfully. The great ones are found and developed. The Bad ones… well, you see achievement is just a couple of basic orders, honed each day; while disappointment is essentially a couple of blunders in judgment, rehashed each day. Up to 75-80% of traders are, for the most parts. Make a bigger number of misfortunes than benefits. With such low achievement rates, stock trading may be among the more unsafe calling around. Be that as it may, the 20%+ that do profit reliably, appears to take after the same mental chain of considerations and we thought it may be fascinating to represent some of those musings here for the advantages of our pursuers.

Passion for Trading

The larger topic of good trading propensities is the absence of feelings. The less passionate you are, the more effective you can apply your psyche. When you put your brain to trading you have a tendency to pose more inquiries, actually! A few things that may ring a bell when you make inquiries could be:

Does this flag demonstrate a long or short position?

  • How is the market, in general?
  • How huge would a position it be advisable for me to take?
  • What would I be able to manage?
  • Are more individuals discussing my stock now, than prior?
  • Is the market assumption evolving? Which way?


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