Archives of “random distribution” tag

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Trading in the Zone with these 12 steps

  
  Education
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The 5 Fundamental Truths of Trading:

1. Anything can happen.
2. You don’t need to know what is going to happen next to make money.
3. There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of
variables that define an edge.
4. An edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing
happening over another.
5. Every moment in the market is unique.

The 7 Principles of Consistency:

1. I objectively identify my edges.
2. I predefine the risk of every trade.
3. I completely accept the risk or I am willing to let go of the trade.
4. I act on my edges without reservation or hesitation.
5. I pay myself as the market makes money available to me.
6. I continually monitor my susceptibility for making errors.
7. I understand the absolute necessity of these principles of consistent success
and, therefore, I never violate them.

4 Trading Quotes From Mark Douglas

  
  Education
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There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge. In other words, based on the past performance of your edge, you may know that out of the next 20 trades, 12 will be winners and 8 will be losers. What you don’t know is the sequence of wins and losses or how much money the market is going to make available on the winning trades. This truth makes trading a probability or numbers game. When you really believe that trading is simply a probability game, concepts like ‘right’ and ‘wrong’ or ‘win’ and ‘lose’ no longer have the same significance. As a result, your expectations will be in harmony with the possibilities.

If you really believe in an uncertain outcome, then you also have to expect that virtually anything can happen. Otherwise, the moment you let your mind hold onto the notion that you know, you stop taking all of the unknown variables into consideration. Your mind won’t let you have it both ways. If you believe you know something, the moment is no longer unique.

To whatever degree you haven’t accepted the risk, is the same degree to which you will avoid the risk. Trying to avoid something that is unavoidable will have disastrous effects on your ability to trade successfully.

The less I cared about whether or not I was wrong, the clearer things became, making it much easier to move in and out of positions, cutting my losses short to make myself mentally available to take the next opportunity.

5 Fundamental Truth about Trading

  
  Education
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5 Fundamental Truth about Trading

  1. Anything can happen.
  2. Does not need to know what’s going to happen next to make money.
  3. Random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that defines an edge
  4. Edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing happening over another
  5. Every moment in the market is unique.

If you truly believe in this as well, I’d encourage you to write this down and look at it every day before you look at your charts. Make it a point to remember, embrace and apply it.

5 Naked Truth about Trading

  
  Education
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  1. Anything can happen.
  2. Does not need to know what’s going to happen next to make money.
  3. Random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that defines an edge
  4. Edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing happening over another
  5. Every moment in the market is unique.

If you truly believe in this as well, I’d encourage you to write this down and look at it every day before you look at your charts. Make it a point to remember, embrace and apply it.

Great Quotes of Mark Douglas

  
  Education
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“I know it may sound strange to many readers, but there is an inverse relationship between analysis and trading results. More analysis or being able to make distinctions in the market’s behavior will not produce better trading results. There are many traders who find themselves caught in this exasperating loop, thinking that more or better analysis is going to give them the confidence they need to do what needs to be done to achieve success. It’s what I call a trading paradox that most traders find difficult, if not impossible to reconcile, until they realize you can’t use analysis to overcome fear of being wrong or losing money. It just doesn’t work!”
-Mark Douglas

“There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that defines an edge. In other words, based on the past performance of your edge, you may know that out of the next 20 trades, 12 will be winners and 8 will be losers. What you don’t know is the sequence of wins and losses or how much money the market is going to make available on the winning trades. This truth makes trading a probability or numbers game. When you really believe that trading is simply a probability game, concepts like “right” and “wrong” or “win” and “lose” no longer have the same significance. As a result, your expectations will be in harmony with the possibilities.”
-Mark Douglas (more…)

The 5 Fundamental Truths Of Trading

  
  Education
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If you hold these core trading beliefs you will tend to do well in trading:
I. “Anything can happen” – the market can go up, down or sideways from any point and negate my edge;
II. “You Don`t need to know what is going to happen next in order to make money”
III. “To win in the markets you need an edge” – an edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing happening over another
IV. “There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any set of variables that define an edge”
V. “Every moment in the market is unique” – so the last trade is independent from the next

Trading in the Zone

  
  Education
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These Beliefs are the Seven Principles of Consistency from Mark Douglas’s “Trading in the Zone” I highly recommend picking this book up to add to your collection, because it has benefited me tremendously in understand how beliefs and values play a vital role in one’s trading and ultimate success.

I remember the first time I picked this book up I didn’t “get” it and put it away. About a year later I read it again and it just clicked. I now reference it on a weekly schedule just so the principles in the book stay fresh in my mind and to reinforce what I had learned.

I am a Consistent Winner Because:
1.  I objectively identify my edges.
2.  I predefine the risk in every trade.
3.  I completely accept the risk or I am willing to let go of the trade.
4.  I act on my edges without reservation or hesitation.
5.  I pay myself as the market makes money available to me.
6.  I continually monitor my susceptibility for making errors.
7.  I understand the absolute necessity of these principles of consistent success and , therefore, I never violate them.
Five Fundamental Truths: 
1. Anything can happen.
2. You don’t need to know what is going to happen next.
3. There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge.
4. An edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing happening over another.
5. Every moment in the market is unique.

Addional Mark Douglas Material in PDF form. (more…)

Probability game

  
  Education
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ProbabilitygameThere is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that defines an edge.In other words ,based on the past performance of your edge ,you may know that out of the next 20 trades ,12 will be winners and 8 will will be losers.What you don’t know is the sequence of wins and losses or how much money the market is going to make available on the winning trades.This truth makes trading a probability or numbers game.When you really believe that trading is simply a probability game ,concepts like “right “and “wrong ” or “win ” and “lose ” no longer have the same significance.As a result ,your expectations will be in harmony with the possibilities.

Trading Wisdom

  
  Education
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THE 5 FUNDAMENTAL TRUTHS OF TRADING:

 1. Anything can happen.
2. You don’t need to know what is going to happen next to make money.
3. There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of
variables that define an edge.
4. An edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing
happening over another.
5. Every moment in the market is unique.

THE 7 PRINCIPLES OF CONSISTENCY:

 
1. I objectively identify my edges.
2. I predefine the risk of every trade.
3. I completely accept the risk or I am willing to let go of the trade.
4. I act on my edges without reservation or hesitation.
5. I pay myself as the market makes money available to me.
6. I continually monitor my susceptibility for making errors.
7. I understand the absolute necessity of these principles of consistent success
and, therefore, I never violate them.

Great -Mark Douglas Trading Quotes

  
  Education
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In trading your mind may be the ultimate technical indicator that determines whether you persevere and win in the markets or get broken in half by fear, greed, ego, stress, and uncertainty. No matter whether you are a an investor, retail trader, prop trader, or professional money manger your success will still be determined on the management of your mind. Never underestimate the importance of keeping a cool head in rough times.

Here are ten of the best quotes from Mark Douglas, an author who verbalizes the real nature of trading as well as I have ever seen it captured. If you can absorb these teachings it will help you get through that rough period when you have 10 losing trades in a row or experience a 10% draw down in your trading capital. If you are not matching risk correctly you may have to come back from a complete wipe out of your account like many other have had to do. But do not give up, you can do this if you really want to.

“I know it may sound strange to many readers, but there is an inverse relationship between analysis and trading results. More analysis or being able to make distinctions in the market’s behavior will not produce better trading results. There are many traders who find themselves caught in this exasperating loop, thinking that more or better analysis is going to give them the confidence they need to do what needs to be done to achieve success. It’s what I call a trading paradox that most traders find difficult, if not impossible to reconcile, until they realize you can’t use analysis to overcome fear of being wrong or losing money. It just doesn’t work!”
-Mark Douglas

“There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that defines an edge. In other words, based on the past performance of your edge, you may know that out of the next 20 trades, 12 will be winners and 8 will be losers. What you don’t know is the sequence of wins and losses or how much money the market is going to make available on the winning trades. This truth makes trading a probability or numbers game. When you really believe that trading is simply a probability game, concepts like “right” and “wrong” or “win” and “lose” no longer have the same significance. As a result, your expectations will be in harmony with the possibilities.”
-Mark Douglas (more…)

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