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Learning From Losers

Traders will typically approach a large loss in one of two ways. First is the dumb way, and that is to become a petulant whiner and throw a fit. Next is the more-constructive way, and that is to use the loss as a means of developing as a trader and to “quote” — learn from your mistakes. But there is a third way. And that is to view the loss as the cost of information.

I don’t mean the cost of doing business per se. This is not typically associated with large losses. Small losses, yes. Because to make money you have to lose some along the way, as casinos do every day.  And not the cost of tuition where the market charges a fee to school us. No, I mean information.

Instead of asking yourself about where you placed your stops and getting all personal about the whole thing, ask yourself what happened. Why did the market move the way it did? If you haven’t suffered a capital depletion, you are not likely to demand an answer and more likely to throw off the question with a wave of the hand and a shrug. “Who knows, who cares. I only play odds.”

Markets are a beast and if you want to play with them, you’ll have to be careful. Wear protective goggles and gloves. If you want to tame them though, you’ll need to wrestle with them. And sometimes you lose some body parts along the way. 

PSYCHOLOGY & RISK for New Traders

 

The issues faced by the New Trader are greed, stress, impatience, fear, and lack of desire to learn.

“When a new trader enters the stock market with money but no experience, the odds are he will quickly gain experience by losing money.”

RISK

The New Trader must make managing money a priority, run trading like a business, control trading size, admit when he is wrong, and lock in strategy driven profits.

“When you go to your computer to trade, you should approach it as if you are entering an auction, not a casino.” 

Insightful quotes from Trading legend, Larry Hite

No matter what information you have, no matter what you are doing, you can be wrong.

One of the great things about the market is, the markets don’t care about you. The market doesn’t care what color you are. The markets don’t care if you are short or tall. They don’t care about anything. They don’t care whether you leave or stay. 

… the beautiful thing about the markets, they don’t like you, they don’t dislike you, they just don’t care. They are there everyday. You want to play, you can play. You don’t want to play, don’t play.

We approach markets backwards. The first thing we ask is not what can we make, but how much can we lose. We play a defensive game.

There are just four kinds of bets. There are good bets, bad bets, bets that you win, and bets that you lose. Winning a bad bet can be the most dangerous outcome of all, because a success of that kind can encourage you to take more bad bets in the future, when the odds will be running against you. You can also lose a good bet, no matter how sound the underlying proposition, but if you keep placing good bets, over time, the law of averages will be working for you.

You Are A Bad Trader ….If

…You are 100% sure about a trade being a winner so you have no need to manage risk.

…You go all in on one trade and  it will make you are break you.

…You like to buy deep out of the money stock options not understanding how bad the odds are on them.

…You love directly giving unsolicited advice to other traders due to not understanding they have different trading plans and time frames.

…You are so new to trading you think it is a place of easy money.

…You think traders that talk about risk management and trader psychology are silly and that you are above that.

…You brag to much about your account size and last trade, it indicates to me you do not understand the long term in the markets.

…You are very loud about your winners but never discuss your losing trades.

…You brag to much.

And You Might really be a bad trader if: If you attack trading principles that you do not even fully understand due to lack of real trading.

Self awareness for Traders

1) the recognition that our thinking and our emotions are intertwined and both influence our perception and judgment that leads to our decisions and actions (this view also happens to be consistent what the leading brain scientists are now saying)

2) much of our motivation – the intertwined thinking/emotion that drives our behavior – is actually subconscious, e.g. we assume we are trading the market but on other levels we are also trading our P&L and our feelings about our P&L  (and what our P&L represents to us) is just one example.

3) when we understand (self-awareness) the underlying/subconscious motivation for our behavior we are in a better position to choose an alternative.

Obviously, nothing can guarantee change or improvement (contrary to many claims made by pseudo “experts”), but at least an approach that emphasizes expansion of awareness puts the odds in your favor.

And I have to play the probabilities here. Because more people tend to respond to a change process that includes an emphasis on self-awareness, I choose to use this  approach in my own trading and in my coaching….it simply has the highest probability
of actually helping.

Top Ten Side Effects of Greedy Trading

  1. Greed causes the trader to only look at the best case scenario for profits and ignore the worst case scenario for losses in every trade.
  2. Greedy traders trade WAY to big a position size.
  3. A Greedy trader’s #1 priority is getting rich quick while ignoring the risk of ruin.
  4. Traders that are greedy tend to believe they can have returns bigger than the best traders in the world right at the beginning.
  5. Greed makes traders have absurd targets for their trades.
  6. Greedy traders tend to buy stocks that are down 50% believing they will double and go back to where they were.
  7. Greed distorts a trader to focus on the money not the homework involved to make the money.
  8. Traders take trades where the odds are way against them because of the greed of wanting to make huge returns on one trade. (Far out of the money options)
  9. Greedy traders trade with no plan and no method they are just pursuing profits randomly.
  10. Greedy traders are always looking for the easy path to money not to the real path of hard work and experience.

Ten Side Effects of Greedy Trading

  1. Greed causes the trader to only look at the best case scenario for profits and ignore the worst case scenario for losses in every trade.
  2. Greedy traders trade WAY to big a position size.
  3. A Greedy trader’s #1 priority is getting rich quick while ignoring the risk of ruin.
  4. Traders that are greedy tend to believe they can have returns bigger than the best traders in the world right at the beginning.
  5. Greed makes traders have absurd targets for their trades.
  6. Greedy traders tend to buy stocks that are down 50% believing they will double and go back to where they were.
  7. Greed distorts a trader to focus on the money not the homework involved to make the money.
  8. Traders take trades where the odds are way against them becasue of the greed of wanting to make huge returns on one trade. (Far out of the money options)
  9. Greedy traders trade with no plan and no method they are just pursuing profits randomly.
  10. Greedy traders are always looking for the easy path to money to the real path of hard work and experience.

Focus on Being

The one thing that is at the core of every person’s trading, no matter what tools are utilized, is a human being. The Professional Traders recognize that being is the start of the entire process, who they are as people, as traders. By focusing on yourself first and then on the rest, you address the core of your trading business. Just like every sports team looks up to its coach for direction or like a company looking up to its CEO for direction the results of your trading all begin and end with you as you are the captain of your own ship. It is you, the human being, making all the decisions about trading like what to trade, when to trade, what resources to use, what strategy to use, the knowledge you will acquire, who to listen to and so on. Professional Traders develop and maintain a very high quality of being. Being is more important than doing. If you are fatigued or stressed, your judgment can be impaired. If you are naive or ignorant you are more likely going to make mistakes. If you are anxious or scared you will not be able to think clearly as you would when relaxed. If you are emotional in trading you will see losses in your account. No matter what you do if you are not at 100% of what you should be you will not the results you wish for. (more…)

5 Quotes From – Market Wizard Victor Sperandeo

“I think successful trading, or poker playing for that matter, involves speculating rather than gambling. Successful speculation implies taking risks when the odds are in your favor. Just like in poker, where you have to know which hands to bet on, in trading you have to know when the odds are in your favor.” – Sperandeo 

It is interesting that Sperandeo makes a point to define the difference between speculating and gambling. He discusses how he never viewed playing poker to be gambling in the same respect that slot machines are gambling. In poker, he had the knowledge  of which hands had the highest probability of winning and the option to only play the highest probability hands. This draws a direct correlation to trading. We know from our study of historical winners what qualities make up stocks that go on big runs and we have the option to only play those key stocks.

Looking at trading in this respect breaks it down into two important goals. We have to know which kinds of stocks have the best odds of going on huge runs. We also have to have the timing skills and the guts to play those stocks when we encounter them and the patience to sit on the sidelines when when there aren’t good options.

“Trading the market without knowing what stage it is in is like selling life insurance to twenty-year-olds and eighty-year-olds at the same premium.” – Sperandeo 

Again here, we see Sperandeo drawing a real world comparison to stock trading. He discusses that you just as the odds would be better if you sell life insurance to a twenty-year-old compared to an eighty-year-old, the same can be said when trading a young trend compared to trading an extended trend. He doesn’t necessarily say you should trade a new trend or shouldn’t trade an extended trend, but that you should strongly factor that in to your timing decisions.  (more…)

To lose Money :Just follow 6 points

LoseMoney4_Full

Here is some common advice that I see all the time, that if you follow it you will lose.
Don’t fall into the trap of accepting it or following it.
Here are 6 of my favorites:

1. Day trading is a low risk high reward way to trade
How many writers do you see talk about day trading and how successful they are at it?
Lots!
Now:
How many of them can show a real time track record of profits over the long term?
None.
This is simply the dumbest way to trade there is. (more…)

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