Archives of “Li (surname 李)” tag

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Major indices close mixed. Dow down. Nasdaq higher.

  
Analysis, US Market
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Dow moves down over -300 points. S&P down after record close yesterday

The major indices are closing mixed.
  • NASDAQ closes with a three day win streak
  • S&P closes lower after yesterday’s record close
  • Dow, S&P close near session lows
  • Dow was down -325 points at the low. Close just off that low level
  • Dow has its worst day in more than two weeks
  • Russell 2000 closes at session lows
  • communications +0.24%, technology +0.19% show gains
  • energy -2.9%,industrials -1.37%, consumer Staples -1.26%, materials -1.26% we the declines

The final numbers are showing

  • Dow industrial average -323.34 points or -0.92% at 34793.06
  • S&P index -20.46 points or -0.46% at 4402.69
  • NASDAQ index up 19.24 points or 0.13% at 14780.53
  • Russell 2000 fell -27.24 points or -1.23% at 2196.34
If you were an investor in RobinHood, you are saying, “what declines?”.
Those shares of the retail broker surged higher today and reached an intraday high of $85, before moving lower. The price still closed at $70.39, up $23.59 or 50.41% on the day.
Recall the shares went public on Thursday at $38 share and close the first day at $34.82.
Other big gainer today included:
  • Novavax, +18.68%
  • Zoom, +6.91%
  • AMD, +5.5%
  • Roblox, +5.39%
  • Snap, +4.82%
  • Tencent, +4.28%
  • Chewy, +3.94%
  • Crowdstrike, +3.87%
  • Nvidia, +2.33%
The biggest Dow gainer (there were only 2 of 30) were:
  • salesforce, +1.26%
  • Nike, +0.42%
Losers today included:
  • AMC, -11.18%
  • GM, -8.95%
  • Koss, -7.17%
  • Worthington industries -5.18%
  • Ford Motor, -4.99%
  • Bed Bath and Beyond, -4.67%
  • Schlumberger, -4.46%
  • Snowflake, -3.95%
  • Gamestop, -3.78%
  • Delta Air, -3.57%
  • Southwest Air, -3.46%
The biggest Dow losers were:
  • Amgen, -6.46%
  • Chevron, -2.26%
  • Dow, -1.99%
  • Walgreens, -1.98%
  • Caterpillar, -1.89%

Russia raises its inflation, GDP, capex forecasts

  
Analysis, Economy
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Russian economy ministry issues revised forecasts

 

  • 2021 GDP growth forecast up to 3.8% from 2.9%
  • lifts Urals oil price forecast to $65.9/bbl from $60.3/bbl
  • 2021 inflation forecast to 5% from 4.3%
  • 2021 capital investment growth forecast to 4.5% from 3.3%
  • 2021 average dollar/rouble rate to 72.8 from 73.3 seen in April

 

The ministry comments on the higher forecasts:

  • We see the economy is recovering faster than we had expected
  • Our experts say the economic recovery potential is not exhausted yet
On the currency:
  • We all realise that the rouble price should be different at oil prices of $75 per barrel
  • current rouble weakness blamed on sanction risks, OPEC+ uncertainty around global oil output.
Russia’s inflation target is 4%, the latest reading has it at 6.5%. Russia’s central bank is expected to raise its key rate again from 5.5% on July 23.
USD/RUB daily chart:
USD/RUB daily chart

The Dow industrial average closes at another record high

  
Analysis, US Market
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NASDAQ snaps four days losing streak.

The US stocks rallied into the close with the Dow ending the session at a new record and at the highs of the day. The index is closing up 315.76 points for the fourth higher close in as many days. The NASDAQ index is also closing higher for the first time in five trading days.
A snapshot of the final numbers are showing:
  • Dow industrial average rose 318.19 points or 0.93% at 34548.53. The high reached 34561.29
  • S&P index rose 33.51 points or 0.8% at 4201.10. The high reached 4202.80
  • Nasdaq index closed up 50.42 points or 0.37% at 13632.84. The high reached 13635.74
The Russell index eked out a tiny gain by closing up 0.05 points or 0.002% at 2241.42.
At the lows:
  • Dow was down -45.28 points or -0.13%
  • S&P was down -20.09 points or -0.48%
  • Nasdaq was down -143.03 points or -1.05%
  • Russell 2000 index traded down -42.37 points or -1.89%
The major indices snatch victory from the jaws of defeat today.  Tomorrow the nonfarm payroll report (and other employment statistics) will be released at 8:30 AM ET.

NASDAQ snaps four days losing streak.

BOJ March monetary policy meeting minutes – full text

  
  Analysis
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Bank of Japan Minutes not shedding too much further light on policy deliberations

Headlines via Reuters:

 

  • members agreed YCC exerting intended policy effect
  • some members said review confirmed some fluctuations in bond yields won’t diminish impact of monetary easing
  • some members said must scrutinise financial system developments due to accumulating side-effects of easing on banking system
  • members agreed BOJ must respond flexibly, effectively without hesitation to changes in economic, price and financial developments
  • a few members said appropriate to stress anew that excessive falls in super-long bond yields could hurt economy in long run

 

 

The full text is here if you wish

 

Bank of Japan Minutes not shedding too much further light on policy deliberations

Major averages close near unchanged levels

  
Analysis, US Market
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The S&P index did close at a new record high

The major indices are closing their unchanged levels give or take. The broader S&P index traded to a high of 4083.16. That was just short of the all-time high reached yesterday at 4086.23 (but it did close at a new record high).

  • The NASDAQ index is down for the second consecutive day but with only modest declines over each day (the NASDAQ fell -0.05% yesterday and declined -0.07% today)
  • The volatility index (VIX) trades at the lowest level since February 2020. The low reached 16.87% today
  • S&P is up for the fourth of five sessions but only marginally today. The S&P fell -0.10% yesterday.
  • The S&P index did close at a new all-time record high at 4079.95. That took out the high close from Monday at 4077.91.
  • Dow closes higher for the third day in the last four
A look at the final numbers shows;
  • S&P index rose 5.79 points or 0.14% at 4079.73. The high reached 4083.13. The low extended to 4006 8.31
  • NASDAQ index fell -9.536 points or -0.07% at 13688.84. The high reached 13733.03. The low extended to 13653.58
  • Dow rose 15.96 points or 0.05% at 33446.20 . The high reached 33521.76. The low extended to 33347.96
Large cap growth stocks all rose with percentage gains above the averages today:
  • Square, +3.6%
  • Facebook, +2.23%
  • Amazon, +1.72%
  • alphabetic, +1.35%
  • Apple, +1.34%
  • Intel, +1.05%
  • PayPal, +0.95%
  • Microsoft, +0.82%
  • Netflix, +0.45%
The Russell 2000 index of small-cap stocks did not fare well today. That index fell -37.12 points or -1.64% at 2222.05.

Overnight US Market : The stock rotation continues out of high-tech and into cyclicals

  
Analysis, US Market
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Higher yields remain the catalyst

The longs in the technology stocks continue to get hammered and the rotation into the cyclical continues as fears of interest rates have traders repricing the high flyers of 2020.

The final numbers are showing:
  • S&P index -20.72 points or -0.54% at 3821.23
  • NASDAQ index -310.98 points or -2.41% at 12609.16
  • Dow industrial average rose 306.21 points or +0.97% at 31802.51
The NASDAQ index closed below its 100 day moving average for the 1st time since October 30.
Some of the oversized decliners today included:
  • Doordash -11.92%
  • Snowflake, -10.74%
  • Chewy, -8.01%
  • Zoom, -7.91%
  • Nio, -7.66%
  • Nvidia, -6.99%
  • Square, -6.74%
  • Broadcom, -6.57%
  • Palantir, -5.91%
  • Tesla, -5.86%
On the positive side, some of the Reddit meme stocks were in the big gainers:
  • Express, +62.6%
  • Gamestop, +40.1%
  • Koss, +26.79%
  • AMC, +15.52%
  • Bed Bath and Beyond, +10.32%
Airlines also rose sharply:
  • United airlines, +7.03%
  • Southwest Airlines, +6.41%
  • American Airlines, +4.94%
  • Delta Air Lines, +3.61%
Big cap high flying names of 2020 had a tough time of it today as well:
  • Facebook -3.35%
  • Amazon -1.58%
  • Apple, -4.13%
  • Netflix, -4.48%
  • Microsoft -1.79%
  • Alphabet -4.3%
Other winners included:
  • Walt Disney, +6.27%
  • Whirlpool, +3.46%
  • Ford, +3.10%
  • MasterCard, +2.9%
  • Citigroup, +2.82%
  • Cisco Systems, +2.79%
  • Exxon, +2.39%
  • General Motors, +2.29%
  • Home Depot, +2.16%

S&P and Dow close at record levels at year end

  
Analysis, US Market
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Nasdaq the big winner in 2020

The S&P and Dow are closing at record levels at the year end.
  • The Nasdaq led the charge in 2020 with a gain of 43.64% That was the largest gain since 2009
  • S&P was up 16.26%.  Since 2010 the S&P is up 240%
  • 57% of the gain in the S&P was from Microsoft, Amazon and Apple
  • The Dow is closing up 7.25% after spending most of the year in the negative. It wasn’t until the gap break higher on November 9th, that the index moved above and stayed above the closing level from 2019 at 28538.44. The Dow was down over -36% at the March low
The final numbers today are showing:
  • S&P index rose 24.03 points or +0.64% to 3756.07
  • NASDAQ index rose 18.279 points or 0.14% at 12888.28
  • Dow industrial average rose 196.92 points or 0.65% to 30606.48
Some of the big gainers for the year include:
  • Nio, +1112.94%
  • Tesla, +743.03%
  • Zoom, +395.71%
  • Crowdstrike, +324.74%
  • Square, +247.89%
  • Chewy, +209.97
  • Nvidia, +121.93%
  • Paypal, +116.51%
  • Albemarle, +101.97%
  • AMD, +99.98%
  • US steel, +88.93%
  • Slack, +88.03%
  • Apple, +80.75%
  • First Solar, +76.77%
  • Amazon, +76.26%
Some big losers for the year include:
  • United Airlines, -50.9%
  • Raytheon, -46.77%
  • Exxon Mobil, -46.03%
  • Schlumberger, -45.7%
  • American Airlines, -45.01%
  • Wells Fargo, -43.9%
  • Boeing, -34.29%
  • Walgreens, -32.36%
  • Delta Air Lines, -31.24%
  • Chevron, -29.92%
  • AT&T, -26.41%
  • Raytheon technologies, -24.12%
  • Citigroup, -22.82%
  • under armor, -22.42%
  • Boston Scientific -20.50%
  • Intel, -16.76%
  • General Dynamics, -15.61%
  • Southwest air, -13.65%
For the Dow 30, the biggest winners included:
  • Apple, +80.75%
  • Microsoft, +41.04%
  • Nike, +39.64%
  • Salesforce, +36.82%
  • Walt Disney, +25.27%
  • Home Depot, +21.63%
  • Walmart, +21.3%
  • Honeywell, +20.17%
The biggest losers from the Dow 30 include:
  • Boeing, -34.29%
  • Walgreens, -32.36%
  • Chevron, -29.92%
  • Intel, -16.76%
  • Bank of America, -13.94%
  • Merck, -10.06%
  • J.P. Morgan, -8.85%
  • Cisco, -6.69%

Major indices close higher but come off highs in the last hour or so of trading

  
Analysis, US Market
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S&P and NASDAQ index is still close at record highs

The major indices close higher but come off the highs and last hour so trading. Nevertheless both the NASDAQ and S&P closed at record high levels. The NASDAQ closed at record highs for the 46th time this year.

A snapshot of the close shows:
  • S&P index up 40.81 points or 1.13% at 3662.44.  The new all time high price comes in at 3678.45
  • the NASDAQ index close up 156.36 points or 1.28% at 12355.10. The new all-time intraday high price reached 12405.70
  • the Dow industrial average rose 185.28 points or 29823.92. The high price did extend back above the 30,000 level to a high price of 30083.31

US indices close lower but rebound into the close eases the pain

  
Analysis, US Market
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NASDAQ index leads the way to the downside

The major indices are closing lower on the day but did rebounded into the close which eased some of the downside pain.
  • Dow close that is lowest level since July 31
  • Amazon, Apple close over 5% lower. Apple closes 20% below its all-time high
  • Twitter plunged 21%
  • Facebook fell -6.3%
  • Major indices post the 2nd straight monthly declines
  • Dow has it’s worst month since March
  • NASDAQ closes nearly 10% below its all-time high
  • S&P closes just 1.21% from the 2019 close
  • S&P closes 9% from all time high
The final numbers are showing:
  • S&P index fell -40.15 points or -1.21% at 3269.96
  • NASDAQ index fell -274 points or -2.45% at 10911.59
  • Dow industrial average fell 157.51 points or -0.59% at 26501.68
Looking at the ranges and changes for the major indices in North America and Europe, Portugal led the way to the upside. Other gainers were the France’s CAC, Spain’s Ibex, and Italy’s FTSE MIB. The NASDAQ index was the biggest loser for the day.
For the week,

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Amazon, Facebook, Twitter, Alphabet all come in better than expectations

  
Analysis, US Market
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Amazon:
  • revenues $96.15 billion vs.$92.70 billion estimate
  • EPS $12.37 vs. $7.41 estimate
  • the caveat is AWS numbers came in about expectations and apparently there was favorable taxes
  • Amazon shares are trading down at $3163 after closing at $3211
Facebook
  • EPS $2.71 vs. $1.91 estimate
  • revenues $21.47 billion vs. 19.28 billion estimate
  • Facebook shares are trading down at $275 after closing at $280.83

Twitter

  • revenues 936 million vs. 777 million estimate
  • earnings-per-share $0.19 adjusted vs. $0.06 estimate
  • Twitter is trading down at $46.33 after closing at $52.43
Alphabet
  • revenues 46.17 billion vs. 42.90 billion estimate
  • earnings-per-share $16.40 vs. $11.29 estimate
  • Alphabet shares are trading up at $1638 after closing at $1556.88
Starbucks
  • earnings-per-share $0.51 vs. $0.31 estimate
  • revenues $6.2 billion worth of $6.06 billion estimate
  • Starbucks shares are trading up at $89.40 after closing at$88.30
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