Archives of “Li Li (badminton)” tag

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Dow and S&P post the 1st negative week in 4 weeks

  
Analysis, US Market
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NASDAQ down for the 2nd week in a row

US major indices are ending the session with declines. For the week each of the major indices are also lower. It was the 1st negative week for the Dow and S&P in 4 weeks. For the NASDAQ is on a 2 week losing streak. The NASDAQ led the way to the downside this week with a -1.33% decline.
The final numbers for the day show:
  • S&P index -20.03 points or -0.62% at 3215.63
  • NASDAQ index -98.24 points or -0.94% at 10363.13
  • Dow -182.44 points or -0.68% at 26469.89
For the week, the NASDAQ led the way to the downside:
  • S&P index -0.28%
  • NASDAQ index -1.33%
  • Dow industrial average -0.76%
Year to date, the S&P index turned back negative on the year:
  • S&P index -0.47%
  • NASDAQ index +15.5%
  • Dow industrial average -7.25%
For the last year:
  • S&P index +6.49%
  • NASDAQ index +24.53%
  • Dow -2.93%

“What Buffett wouldn’t do”

  
Analysis, Education
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Warren Buffett (@WarrenBuffett) | TwitterInvesting:

  • Don’t be too fixated on daily moves in the stock market (from Berkshire letter published in 2014)
  • Don’t get excited about your investment gains when the market is climbing (1996)
  • Don’t be distracted by macroeconomic forecasts (2004)
  • Don’t limit yourself to just one industry (2008)
  • Don’t get taken by formulas (2009)
  • Don’t be short on cash when you need it most (2010)
  • Don’t wager against the U.S. and its economic potential (2015)

Management:

  • Don’t beat yourself up over wrong decisions; take responsibility for them (2001)
  • Don’t have mandatory retirement ages (1992)
  • “Don’t ask the barber whether you need a haircut” because the answer will be what’s best for the man with the scissors (1983)
  • Don’t dawdle (2006)
  • Don’t interfere with great managers (1994)
  • Don’t succumb to the attitudes that undermine businesses (2015)
  • Don’t be greedy about compensation, if you’re my successor (2015)

Last, Buffett advises “Don’t worry about my health” — because Berkshire’s future success is is tied to reinsurance lieutenant Ajit Jain. “Worry about his.” (2001)

Australia NAB Business Survey – ” largest shock since the 1930s”

  
  Analysis
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Main points from NAB’s assessment of the survey:

  • shows a significant deterioration in both current conditions as well as expected outcomes for activity, capex and employment going forward
  • Current conditions lowest read since the early 1990s
  • weakening was driven by sharp declines across all three sub-indexes and was broad-based across industries
  • decline in confidence was more muted, likely reflecting survey timing, with activity starting to recover with the removal of restrictions and easing in lockdowns
  • The impact of shutdowns is evident in the record decline in capacity utilisation which was also at its weakest level since the last recession. Unsurprisingly given the massive hit to conditions and capacity utilisation, expectations for capex and employment have declined very sharply at both the 3- and 12-month horizons
  • While we know that conditions and confidence saw a rebound late in the quarter, the level of activity remains weak and confidence may remain fragile. These factors pose a risk to a rebound in hiring and investment intentions going forward and warrant close watching. These risks also warrant ongoing government support for a period while the economy recovers from the largest shock since the 1930s.
Bolding mine.

TSLA (Tesla) earnings released, Q2 EOPS

  
  Analysis
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Q2 EPS 50c (vs. loss/share $2.310 y/y)

  • Free cash flow $418m, estimate loss $617.9m
  • revenue $6.04bn, estimate $5.40bn
Says delivering half million vehicles in 2020 remains the target
  • Says its Shanghai factory is progressing as planned
  • remains difficult to predict whether there will be further operational interruptions or how global consumer sentiment will evolve in H2 2020
It appears there is some financial engineering involved in generating that positive EPS number, generated a record amount from sales of regulatory credits of 428m USD

US MARKET : S&P on a 4 day winning streak. Dow on a 3 day streak

  
Analysis, US Market
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NASDAQ pushes higher and erases declines.

The major indices are closing higher on the day with the Dow industrial average leading the way today with a 0.62% gain. IT is the 3rd day in a row that the Dow has moved higher.
The S&P is on a 4 day winning streak. It closed up 0.58%.
The final numbers for the day are showing:
  • S&P index up 18.76 points or 0.58% at 3276.06
  • NASDAQ index up 25.765 points or 0.24% at 10706.12
  • Dpw up 165.33 points or 0.62% at 27005.73
Microsoft has reported better top line and bottom line numbers after the close. The revenues came in at $38.0 billion vs. estimate of $36.54 billion
The earnings-per-share came in at $1.46 vs. estimate of $1.37.
Microsoft shares are trading down 2.19% in early after close trading at $206.65. Shares closed at $211.75.

European indices end the session lower on the day

  
Analysis, Global Indices
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German DAX, -0.54%, UK’s FTSE 100 -0.96%

The major European indices are ending the day lower. The provisional closes are showing:

  • German DAX, -0.54%
  • France’s CAC, -1.28%
  • UK’s FTSE 100, -0.96%
  • Spain’s Ibex, -1.42%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB, -0.74%
The 10 year yields showed meaningful moves to the downside. Italian yields fell the most at -5.7 basis points. German yields declined by -3.3 basis points
European yields are lowerIn other markets as London/European traders look to exit:
  • spot gold continues its move to the upside with a gain of $19.60 or 1.07% at $1861.50. Sobers doing even better with a $1.09 gain or 5.13% to $22.39.
  • WTI crude oil futures for September delivery are down $0.57 or -1.36% at $41.35. Inventory data confirmed the private data with a build of 4.892M barrels. The expectations was for a -2.2M draw.
In the US stock market the major indices are mixed:
  • S&P index is up 4.9 points or 0.15% at 3262.69
  • NASDAQ index is down -1 point or -0.1% at 10679.30
  • Dow industrial average is up 82 points or 0.31% at 26923.
In the forex market, the EUR is the strongest while the JPY is the weakest of the majors. The US dollar is down vs. all the major currencies with the exception of the JPY. It is near unchanged vs. the GBP and has recovered losses of around 90 basis points at the London morning session lows.

USD facing more questions about its status as the primary reserve currency

  
Analysis, Forex
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Here is an item on the US dollar from Bloomberg that may be of interest.

It cites analysts from Credit Agricole and Mizuho
  • USD accounts for more than 60% of global reserves
  • the most widely used currency for international transactions
  • But it risks ceding ground to the euro after European Union leaders agreed on a 750 billion euro stimulus package that enhances the appeal of the shared currency and euro-denominated assets
CA say that the recovery fund will facilitate diversification out of the US dollar
offering liquid, high-rating, euro-denominated debt
Here is an item on the US dollar from Bloomberg that may be of interest.
I’d not be getting too gung-ho on this, and note that the analysts say ‘risks ceding ground’, they are not writing off the dollar.

US Indices end the session mixed.

  
Analysis, US Market
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NASDAQ closes lower for the 1st time in 3 days

US stocks are ending the session mixed.

  • The S&P index moved higher close at the highest level since February 21.
  • The S&P is up for the 3rd consecutive day
  • The NASDAQ index close lower after 2 days of gains
  • the Dow industrial average is on a today winning streak
A look at the closing levels shows:
  • S&P index up 5.46 points or 0.17% at 3257.30
  • NASDAQ index -86.72 points or -0.81% at 10,680.36
  • Dow industrial average rose 159.53 points or 0.60% at 2684.40

European shares end the session higher but off the highest levels.

  
Analysis, Global Indices
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The German Dax risse by 0.95%

The major European shares are ending the session higher. However, they are also closing near the lows for the day (and well of the highs for the day).

  • German DAX, +0.96%. The high reached +2.05%
  • France’s CAC, +0.18%. The high reached +1.57%
  • UK FTSE 100, +0.06%. The high reached +0.86%
  • Spain’s Ibex, +0.18%. The high reached +2.36%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB, +0.42%. The high reached +2.48%
Meanwhile in the US, the major indices are mixed with the NASDAQ currently trading down -0.39% and near session lows. The S&P index is trading midrange at +0.56%. The Dow industrial average is trading near its highs at +1.14%.

China president Xi Jinping: Chinese economic recovery leads the world

  
Analysis, Economy
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Comments by China president Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping
  • Will strive to make up economic losses caused by coronavirus pandemic
  • Will strive to achieve good results for economic growth this year
  • Will make fiscal policy more proactive, prudent monetary policy more flexible
  • Will continue to cut taxes and fees
There isn’t much of anything new here from Xi, but this just reaffirms that China will continue to maintain the current set of policies and keep bolstering the economy for many more months as they deal with the fallout from the virus outbreak earlier in the year.
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