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Fauci says COVID-19 vaccine could be available earlier if clinical trials overwhelmingly positive

Dr. Anthony Fauci is director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, interview.

  • Referring to two ongoing clinical trials of 30,000 volunteers are expected to conclude by the end of the year
Fauci said an independent board has the authority to end the trials weeks early if interim results are overwhelmingly positive or negative.

  • Data and Safety Monitoring Board could say, “‘The data is so good right now that you can say it’s safe and effective,'” Fauci said. In that case, researchers would have “a moral obligation” to end the trial early and make the active vaccine available to everyone in the study, including those who had been given placebos – and accelerate the process to give the vaccine to millions.
Here is the link to the piece for more.
Dr. Anthony Fauci is director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, interview. 

US Q2 GDP second reading -31.7% vs -32.5% expected

The second reading on Q2 gross domestic product

US GDP second reading Q2 2020
  • The first estimate was -32.9%
  • Q1 was -2.5%
  • Final sales -28.5% vs -29.3% prelim
  • Business investment -26.0% vs -27.0% prelim
  • Consumer spending -34.1% vs -34.6% prelim
  • Exports -63.2% vs -64.1% prelim
  • Imports -54.0% vs -53.4% prelim
  • Inventory change -$286.4B vs -$315.5B prelim
  • GDP deflator -2.3% vs -2.0% expected
  • Full release
Despite the headline, there’s more good news here than bad. The revision higher in inventories means that inventory rebuilding will be less of a tailwind in Q3 and Q4 than anticipated. The drop in inflation also added to real GDP.
“In the second estimate, real GDP decreased 31.7 percent in the second quarter, an upward revision of 1.2 percentage points from the previous estimate issued last month. The revision primarily reflected upward revisions to private inventory investment and PCE,” the BEA said in the release.

Reminiscences of a Stock Operator by Edwin Lefevre -My favorite 15 quotes

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1/ The desire for constant action irrespective of underlying conditions is responsible for many losses in Wall Street even among the professional.

2/ In this business a man has to think of both theory and practice. A speculator must not be merely a student, he must be both a student and a speculator.

3/ When you know what not to do in order not to lose money, you begin to learn what to do in order to win.

4/ Not even a world war can keep the stock market from being a bull market when conditions are bullish, or a bear market when conditions are bearish. And all a man needs to know to make money is to appraise conditions.

5/ They say you never grow poor taking profits. No, you don’t. But neither do you grow rich taking a four-point profit in a bull market.

6/ When you are as old as I am and you’ve been through as many booms and panics as I have, you’ll know that to lose your position is something nobody can afford.

7/ The big money was not in the individual fluctuations but in the main movements— that is, not in reading the tape but in sizing up the entire market and its trend. It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It always was my sitting.

8/ One of the most helpful things that anybody can learn is to give up trying to catch the last eighth—or the first. These two are the most expensive eighths in the world.

9/ The average man doesn’t wish to be told that it is a bull or a bear market. What he desires is to be told specifically which particular stock to buy or sell. He wants to get something for nothing. He does not wish to work. He doesn’t even wish to have to think.

10/ I don’t buy long stock on a scale down, I buy on a scale-up. Remember that stocks are never too high for you to begin buying or too low to begin selling.

11/ When I am long of stocks it is because my reading of conditions has made me bullish. But you find many people, reputed to be intelligent, who are bullish because they have stocks. I do not allow my possessions—or my prepossessions either—to do any thinking for me

12/ The trend has been established before the news is published, and in bull markets bear items are ignored and bull news exaggerated, and vice versa.

13/ A speculator must concern himself with making money out of the market and not with insisting that the tape must agree with him.

14/ A man can excuse his mistakes only by capitalizing them to his subsequent profit.

15/ Of all speculative blunders, there are few greater than trying to average a losing game. Always sell what shows you a loss and keep what shows you a profit.

India reports record daily new coronavirus cases of 66,999 in latest update today

That brings the total confirmed cases in the country to nearly 2.4 million

India is among the countries that have been hit the hardest by the pandemic as the struggle to balance between the health crisis and the economic fallout is particularly stark.

As for the health crisis, the bright side is that over 1.6 million of those infected has recovered from the disease. However, the spread is still outpacing the number of recoveries:
India
At the start of July, India reported ~220,000 active cases in the country. That figure is now ~643,000. The only positive – if you really want to look at it that way – is that the mortality sits at just ~1.9%. That is better than the ~3.2% seen in Brazil and the US.
In the bigger picture, as long as the health crisis worsens in India, it will have an impact on the global economic situation in general. Before the pandemic, there have been talks that India’s share of global growth might rival that of US, China in the next decade.
They were already among the top five – some would argue top three – contributors of global growth over the past few years, so any major setback to India will also be a setback for the global economy in that sense.

Fauci says its likely there will be tens of million of vaccine doses by the end of this year

US infectious diseases expert Fauci speaking in an interview with Reuters

Expects a safe and effective vaccine will have received approval by the end of 2020
  • says there is a middle ground where the country can prudently open amid the coronavirus
  • says some sections of the country have done well but other parts are on fire
  • says he does expect a safe and effective vaccine to receive approval by year end
  • says manufacturers say a billion doses of vaccine will be available by the end of 2021
  • we will likely have tens of millions of doses of vaccine by the end of this year
  • he would be satisfied by a trial that included thousands of people and showed no signs of unexpected severe adverse events
  • he has not seen any indication of pressure from white house on vaccine
  •  says regulatory authorities have promised that safety and efficacy of vaccine will be paramount concern

US infectious diseases expert Fauci speaking in an interview with Reuters 

THE 10 COMMANDMENTS FOR MAKING MONEY

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1.  BELIEVE IN THE DIGNITY AND MORALITY OF BUSINESS:  Making money is much harder if, deep down, you suspect it to be a morally reprehensible activity.

2.  EXTEND THE NETWORK OF YOUR CONNECTEDNESS TO MANY PEOPLE:  Befriend many people who are a rung or two above and below your financial level, then find ways to help them achieve their desires.  You will have discovered the secret of Partnership Power.

3.  GET TO KNOW YOURSELF:  To change the way others see you, first you have to learn to see yourself as others see you.

4.  DO NOT PURSUE PERFECTION:  Neither neglect the imperfect nor expend yourself on futile pursuit of perfection, while failing to make the most of less perfect circumstnaces.

5.  LEAD CONSISTENTLY AND CONSTANTLY:  Learning to lead is important, but it may not be what you think it is.  Leadership is not a noun; it is a verb.  It is not an identity; it is an action.  Don’t try to become a leader, just do it. Just lead.

6.  CONSTANTLY CHANGE THE CHANGEABLE WHILE STEADFASTLY CLINGING TO THE UNCHANGEABLE:  Convert change from enemy to ally by understanding when to enjoy the exhilaration of change and and when to fight it and steadfastly defend the unchangeable.

7.  LEARN TO FORETELL THE FUTURE:  Who is wise? One who can tell what will be hatched from an egg that has been laid. Not he who can see the future-that is a prophet.  Wisdom is seeing tomorrow’s consequences of today’s events.

8.  KNOW YOUR MONEY:  Your money is a quantifiable analog for your life force-the aggregate of your time, skills, experience, persistance, and relationships.

9.  ACT RICH: GIVE AWAY 10 PERCENT OF YOUR AFTER TAX INCOME:  Through the mystical alchemy of money, giving charity jump-starts wealth creation.

10.  NEVER RETIRE:  Integrate your vocation and your identity by thinking of life as a journey rather than a destination.

If you have not figured it out yet you soon will: learning to trade inside the charts finds its firm foundation outside the charts.  It is all in the way you think and in what you believe about money and wealth creation.

Coronavirus – Fauci says an antibody could be ready by fall

Director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Dr. Anthony Fauci spoke with (wait for it)  Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg in a YouTube event.

Some of Fauci’s remarks (via Bloomberg):
  • COVID-19 is very different from the severity of the 1918 virus
  • Monoclonal antibody drug could be ready for use by fall
  • No signs that face masks could cause harm to people
Director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Dr. Anthony Fauci spoke with (wait for it)  Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg in a YouTube event.
A little more on his timing remark …
  • by mid-to-late fall, early winter, we’ll know whether we have candidates that are safe and effective, and I hope and anticipate that we will have one or more.
  • If that’s the case, by the end of this year, beginning of 2021, we may have one or more candidate that is actually safe and effective. That being the case we can start distributing doses widely at that time.
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