What I am saying is, the market is just a bunch of blinking lights on a computer screen. Up or down, good days or bad, your account is just a bunch of numbers. It is not life. It is not who we are. It does not define who we are. As Larry Miller once said, If you are healthy, if you have somebody who loves you, if you are able to get up out of bed in the morning and make your own coffee, the game is over — and you have won.
Archives of “game” tag
rssDiscipline
Learning to accept losses as part of the game and cutting them short is the single most important step towards becoming consistently profitable. It sounds simple, but in reality is extremely difficult for everybody. Why? Because we’ve been taught that giving up is for losers and we should fight till last breath. I certainly agree that you should not give up quickly, but only if you can influence the end result. Let me be clear, the stock doesn’t know that you own it and it doesn’t care that you cannot afford to lose the money. The market will strip your last cloth if you don’t know how to manage risk. You have to understand and accept your power. You cannot move the market. You cannot tell him where to go and how fast. This is why so many people, who are successful as entrepreneurs and engineers, have troubles breaking even in the capital markets. It takes a special kind of person. Someone, who can forget his ego and concentrate on what actually works. Very few people are able to reach that level and to distinguish their trading life from their personal life.
Trading or investing is a skill that can be learned. There are two ways to learn a new skill in general. Through the school of hard knocks and through the mentorship of others that have the gift of teaching. To become a successful trader, you need to somehow implement both approaches. Nothing can replace personal experience. You can hire the best mentors in the world to teach you and purchase the most expensive equipment and trading software, but this is not going to help you to build a new skill. Skill building is subdued to eternal physical laws. There are a hundred billion neurons in your brain. For every skill that you possess (speaking a language or driving a car), there is a certain combination of connections between some of your neurons. To build a new skill, you need to build a new net of connections. This is why every beginning is hard, this is why big changes do not happen overnight. You have to establish new connections, which takes hard work via repetition and visualization. (more…)
Trading To Win – The Psychology of Mastering the Markets
The Ten Cardinal Rules
1. Learn to function in a tense, unstructured, and unpredictable environment.
2. Be an independent thinker versus a conventional thinker.
3. Work out a way to handle your emotions and maintain objectivity.
4. Don’t rely on hope and fear in the conventional sense.
5. Work continuously to improve yourself, giving importance to self-examination and recognizing that your personality and way of responding to events are a critical part of the game. This requires continuous coaching.
6. Modify your normal responses to certain events.
7. Be willing to face problems, understand them, and recognize that they are in some way related to your behavior.
8. Know when problems can be resolved and then apply methods to solve them. That may mean giving up some control in order to gain a different control. It may mean changes in your personality, learning self-reliance, or giving up independence and ego to become part of a trading team.
9. Understand the larger framework in which trading occurs—how the complexity of the marketplace and your personality both must be taken into account in order to develop the mastery of trading.
10. Develop the right mind-set for trading—a willingness to commit to the kinds of changes in personal habits and beliefs that will drastically alter your life. To do this requires a willingness to surrender to the forces of the game. In order to be able to play at a maximum level, you have to let go of your egoand your need to have things your way.
Trading Losses
Those who have chosen this very unique career of “trader” face a mountain of challenges each day based on ever-changing market conditions. Added to the market challenges are emotions, which can be 90% of the game. You can have a great method, strategy and be taught by the best, but if fear, apprehension or hesitation come up the trader won’t take the trade…..this is an emotional block. All successful and experienced traders learn quickly to become the masters of their emotions. To accept and manage their weaknesses and leverage their strengths.
At first most traders start by researching and determining a method to trade. They do little to emotionally prepare for what’s to come. Yet they quickly find out that their emotions come into play early on, especially if they experience immediate losses. Losing money coupled with one’s own emotional “baggage” can impact the minds thought process and outcome.
My work focuses on the power of the mind and in particular the power of thought. These three problems and solutions do too. Nothing happens without the some form of thought, be it sub-conscience or conscience. After all, isn’t this what we’re left with when sitting in front of our monitors trading? What comes into our minds, as we trade can be avalanches of different thoughts. These thoughts then have the ability to assist us and add to our success or become our worst nightmares resulting in multiple losses.
Traders over time, come to the realization that trading will force them to face ALL their old and current emotional baggage and blocks. And that NOT being able to manage or “dump” the baggage, can hit the bottom line quickly.
When a trader’s plan doesn’t work they tend to blame it on the method, when in reality it usually comes down to an emotion causing them to react inappropriately. We can pick up automatic emotional blocks that prevent us from implementing a method effectively. Many try to get over these emotions on their own, but few master the changes needed.
But lets get specific and to the heart of these three trading problems. The first reason traders lose may seem obvious but in reality it stems from long term social conditioning. It’s their inability to ACCEPT LOSS. Losing generates powerful emotions, such as fear, uncertainty, apprehension, and self-doubt especially with men. And while women today can also be as affected, the data is supported mostly by men as they represent a larger portion of the client base.
Men are socially conditioned to succeed from the time they enter the world. From little boys being read, “The Little Train That Could” to the environments that surround them as they grow up. They are guided to be become achievers. Influenced by family, friends, education, and career environments they are encouraged to seek professions of Doctors, Lawyers, and Bankers. Images and social metaphors reinforce them. Striving to be right, number one, the breadwinner, and the best, always seeking perfectionism. They are socially conditioned to be the family providers. Add to this various cultural pressures and demands and men have a built-in fundamental obligation to succeed. (more…)
Jesse Livermore quote
If you had read Livermore, the guy’s puzzled too.
Let me quote an excerpt from Richard Smitten’s How to Trade Like Jesse Livermore
Livermore believed that the game of speculation is the most uniformly fascinating
game in the world. But it is not a game for the stupid, the mentally lazy, or the person of inferior emotional balance, or for the get-rich-quick adventurer. They will die poor.
There is a very true adage that Livermore loved: “You can beat a horse race, but you can’t beat the races.”
So it is with market operations. There are times when money can be made investing and speculating in stocks, but money cannot consistently be made by trading every day or every week during the year. Only the foolhardy will try it.
Trading Psychology
Are you trading because you want to trade? Consider trading a business not a game.
Are you not trading? This is the opposite of trading too often. You may be so scared
of taking a loss that you avoid trading altogether.
If you get stopped out of several stocks, walk away. Paper trade until the profits return.
Follow the system. Would you be making more money if you followed your trading
signals? Understand why you’re ignoring the signals you receive.
Don’t overtrade. Sometimes the best place for cash is in the bank. You don’t HAVE
to trade.
Learn from mistakes. Review your trades periodically. It’ll uncover bad habits.
Focus on the positive. The loss your suffered today pales to the killing you made last
week.
Ignore profits. If you find yourself getting nervous about a winning trade or making
too much money, then concentrate not on the bottom line but on improving your
trading skills. Get used to making too much money.
Obey your trading signals. Otherwise, what are you trading for? Plan your trade and
trade your plan.
Don’t trade when you’re upset. This also goes for being too excited.
Abandoning a winning system. Don’t become bored with your winning system and
search for new, more exciting ways to lose money.
Uncertain Outcome, Consistent Result
Every trader knows trading is a probability game. However, very few can internalize and live by the true meaning of what it means to be a probability game.
Mark Douglas, the author of “Trading in the Zone”, explains it well. Someone who masters the probability game produces uncertain outcome but consistent result. The best example to illustrate this concept is the casino business. The casino holds on the average 4.5% probability advantage over the player. It does not know whether the next hand will be a winner or a loser against the player, but the casino is certain that they always win given enough bets. Therefore casinos do not care if a player is going through a winning streak, as long as he is not cheating.
That’s exactly how traders need to think about his trades. Market is random. Anything can happen to the current trade. A trader can increase his probability of winning either through fundamental or technical analysis but the best analysis can never produce a 100% certainty. In reality, the highest win rate that the best analysis can produce is far from 100%. However, as long as the trader has a trading plan that can produce positive expected value, he can expect consistent result over a reasonably large number of trades, just like the casino. (more…)
Failing Successfully: How the Day Trader Survives
This one is pretty straight forward. I’m taking a profound queue from Michael Jordan, something he realized and adopted early in his stellar career, and applying it to day trading. And anything else you’re into. People don’t reach and stay at the top of their game by accident, without falling down, or undefeated.
Whether it is sports, music, science, software, business, trading, I think a major component of success is learning to fail … successfully.
A Delicate Balancing Game
“Damage control can prevent failure, but it will never elevate you to excellence.”
“Now Discover Your Strengths”, by Buckingham and Clifton
When I ran across this quote, I was stunned. “Is that true?” I pondered. Then almost immediately I said, “Of course.”
As traders we need to do both. We need to pursue excellence even as we maintain damage control. We must protect against undue loss even as we seek opportunities for maximum gain.
It’s an emotional, artistic, and technological balancing act summed up by the trading cliché, “Cut your losses, and let your profits run.”
It’s easier said than done. How many times have you skipped a promising trade because you sought to avoid loss? How many times have you jumped out of a winning trade to secure your current profits only to despair as the trade soars into the stratosphere without you?
Computers have been programmed to play checkers not to lose, but the set up turned out not to be sufficient. In order to succeed, the computer had to be trained to play to win.
Many traders have failed because they abhorred loss and feared consequent failure. Other traders have failed because they ignored the possibility of loss in their reckless hunt for gain.
Risk management is necessary, but if it is your primary focus, you’ll have a hard time getting to the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow. On the other hand, if all you think about is the possibility of gain and overlook the potential for loss, you could find yourself falling off a financial cliff.
Trading is a delicate balancing game where optimism requires a seasoning of caution, but the primary goal still needs to be excellence and profit.
Getting Comfortable with Uncertainty
A trader who is comfortable with uncertainty has the capacity to stay relaxed in unclear situations and make high probability decisions with a strong degree of conviction.
As a trader, how many times have you asked yourself “Is this the right call?”
If you are like most other traders, the answer should be “nearly all the time.”
How about we break this down and think about it from a different angle.
New Perspective:
Let’s consider the possibility that it is NOT your job to make “The Right Call” but rather to make an intelligent, data-point-supported guestimate of what “The Right Call” could be and then monitor, adjust, and possibly liquidate that decision as it develops over time.
Viewing it this way takes the pressure off, doesn’t it? In fact, it may even get you more Comfortable with Making Decisions during Uncertainty.
My point is, like golf, trading is not a game of perfect. Successful traders just don’t waste their time trying to be “RIGHT;” instead they are focused on MAKING MONEY.
Top performers in any field practice their game, establish a plan and TRAIN themselves to execute when the widow of opportunity appears. So why would we think trading should be any different? In the end, winning is not about being right, it is about getting the job done.
Keep your eye on the ball and your head in the game!