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Evaluating Yourself as a Trader

  
  Education
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FAILSIGN1) What is the quality of your self-talk while trading?

2) What work do you do on yourself and your trading while the market is closed?

3) How would your trading profit/loss profile change if you eliminated a few days where you lacked proper risk control?

4) Does the size of your positions reflect the opportunity you see in the market?

5) Are trading losses often followed by further trading losses due to frustration?

6) Do you cut winning trades short because, deep inside, you don’t think you’ll be able to achieve large profits?

7) Is trading making you happy, proud, fulfilled, and content, or does it more often leave you feeling unhappy, guilty, frustrated, and dissatisfied?

8) Are you making trades because the market is giving you opportunity, or are you placing trades to fulfill needs–for excitement, self-esteem, recognition–that aren’t being met in the rest of your life? (more…)

THE STOCK MARKET IS DESIGNED TO FRUSTRATE

  
  Education
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Our frustration is greater when we have much and want more than when we have nothing and want some.  – Eric Hoffer
Most plans are just inaccurate predictions. – Ben Bayol

While technical analysis is a wonderful tool, traders who abuse it will lose to a market designed to frustrate even the best laid plans. 

-Last week ,We had written on Friday we will see unexpected level.It made High of 6182.On Monday we had written either Today or Tuesday ….Mkt will reverse !!

-Our Hurdle-Laxman Rekha was :6231 (It kissed 6208 ,6210 ) and crashed.

-On Monday written sell everything with stop of 6231 ,Same on Tuesday……!!

-Wed ,Thur & Today too…We were Highly Bearish in NF ,BANK NF ,Bank Stocks ,Fertilizer Stocks and Yesterday written :Sell AUTO Stocks !

-What happened u all know !

Today our Target below 6066 was of 5950 level !!

Have u Read our Bank NF levels ??No……U had not read !!

-Do u What happened ??It kissed 11040 level !!

Today During Trading hrs ,Written to Buy NF with stoploss of 5980- 5950.

It was mentioned not breaksing 5980 & remains above 6010 will create fire work !!

-So your stoploss was of 25-30 points !!

Now if u are not able to take risk of  30 points was first support and there after 5950 was rock solid last support.

-Don’t act smart ,If u had bought had 6010 level and stoploss was triggred at 5980…Risk was 30 points and if u had hold upto 5950 then u had lost Rs.60 points maximum……Below 5980 it took 15 minute to break 5950 level.

Same Happened with Bank NF too !

Here we track every moment of market.Don’t think writing comments wiill give u something.Stoploss was triggred (that too u all traded blindly )read again…our Intraday update.

-Don’t worry about us.From 6200 to 6000 level….nobody sold NF ,Bank NF ,Bank Stocks ,Auto Stocks……just losing 30-40 points and started doing bla-bla.Next time u post comment or write …do mention your contact number !!

Technically Yours/ASR TEAM/BARODA

Emotions

  
  Education
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Emotions are at the root of trading problems. Yes, emotions can interfere with concentration and performance, but that doesn’t mean that they are a primary cause. Indeed, emotional distress is as often the result of poor trading as the cause. When traders fail to manage risk properly, trading size that is too large for their accounts, they invite outsized emotional responses to their swings in P/L. Similarly, when traders trade untested patterns that possess no objective edge in the marketplace, they are going to lose money over time and experience an understandable degree of emotional frustration. I know many successful traders who are fiercely competitive and highly emotional. I also know many successful traders who are highly analytical and not at all emotional. Trading is a performance field, no less than athletics or the performing arts. Success is a function of talents (inborn abilities) and skills (acquired competencies). No amount of emotional self-control can turn a person into a successful musician, football player, or trader. Once individuals possess the requisite talents and skills for success, however, then psychological factors become important. Psychology dictates how consistent you are with the skills and talents you have; it cannot replace those skills and talents.

Trading Mantra

  
  Education
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There are some things we can control as traders and some things that we can not. We need to learn the difference to limit our frustration and win in this game.

We can control:
How much we risk per trade.
How big a position size we take.
What time frame we trade.
What market we trade.
Our style of trading.
Whether we stick with our trading plan or go off of it.
If we honor our stop losses and trailing stops.
How we react to a winning or losing trade.

 

 
We can not control:
Whip saws when the trend reverses on us.
Gaps in opening prices both up and down.
Headline risk.
Natural disasters.
Whether a trend continues or reverses the moment we open a position.
Whether any individual trade wins or loses.
How many winning or losing trades we have in a row.
 

 

The battle for your long term trading success is won or loss in your head. The decision to whether keep going after losing money or to quit is made at the point of maximum frustration with the markets. To keep going you have to keep positive, and keep trading. Knowing the difference between you making a mistake or the market simple not matching your style will go a long way in keeping down your stress and negative self talk. 

FOCUS

  
  Education
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Have you ever stopped to consider how many different trading strategies there are? How about time frames for each strategy? And what about the best instrument to trade that strategy within the time frame selected? What about the indicators? Which ones are we planning to apply to the strategy? If we were to add it all up there are literally hundreds, if not thousands of strategies, just in one time frame! And what about the other traders trading one of these strategies that may be designed specifically to trade the opposite of what you trade? There is absolutely no way humanly possible to master all, or even a large number of, the strategies available to us. Therefore, we must focus on a particular strategy and become a strategic specialist. In doing so, we defeat the ego’s need to know everything, which we know is impossible in the first place.  With focus, we can think clearly about our specialized strategy knowing when and where to enter and exit the market since we know exactly what the market is supposed to look like to do either one.  This focus helps eliminate the confusion and frustration we experience when the market does not make sense (which is most all of the time!).

Effectiveness Is the Measure of Truth

  
  Education
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In trading as in life, effectiveness has to be the measure of truth. If something doesn’t work, there is no point in continuing to do it. Misperceptions, false unconscious or conscious beliefs, and unhelpful behaviors can contaminate and desecrate your most sought after results.

Imagine the frustration of a trader who perceives that a market is changing direction when in fact it is persisting in its original thrust. Or consider, for further example, an investor who bought into the belief that buy and hold is a valid investment strategy. That investor had to have experienced devastating losses over the past year. Or ponder the trader who repeatedly fails to utilize stop losses and experiences numerous outsize losses because he won’t accept a loss.

When you choose effectiveness as your measure of truth, you can learn from your mistakes. You can make plans, take action, receive feedback, and assess the results. You can revise your plans, take new actions, receive new feedback, on and on, until you find a viable strategy that will work most of the time.

When you fear loss, when greed overcomes you, when you get reckless, or when you hesitate, you become grossly ineffective. When you’re confused or ambivalent yet think you need to take action, you do yourself no good. In each case you need to sort through your thoughts, develop a clear focus, search for the high probabilities, and take prompt and calm action. (more…)

100% You will lose Money

  
  Education
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You are entering a position out of EMOTIONS or ANTICIPATION at wrong price level in a WRONG scrip with GREED or HOPE with no pre-entry exit in the place – even worst, once in a trade, riding the position with HOPE without STOP LOSS even if it goes against the entry – adding more to average down in the entirely wrong trade – at last running out PATIENCES and out of FRUSTRATION booking huge LOSS.

Even the position is in PORFIT there is no STOP LOSS or pre-entry EXIT in place – exiting the position abruptly in FEAR booking just a small profit with FEAR that market may take this small profit too – these random small profits unable to compensate earlier big losses!

To cover big losses you try more and more RANDOM trades and above process continues – end result it challenges your EGO and creates more FEAR, more AGONY – cycle continues with small profits and big losses – until account is wiped off.

Three Myths of Trading Psychology

  
  Education
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Myth #1: Emotions are at the root of trading problems. Yes, emotions can interfere with concentration and performance, but that doesn’t mean that they are a primary cause. Indeed, emotional distress is as often the result of poor trading as the cause. When traders fail to manage risk properly, trading size that is too large for their accounts, they invite outsized emotional responses to their swings in P/L. Similarly, when traders trade untested patterns that possess no objective edge in the marketplace, they are going to lose money over time and experience an understandable degree of emotional frustration. I know many successful traders who are fiercely competitive and highly emotional. I also know many successful traders who are highly analytical and not at all emotional. Trading is a performance field, no less than athletics or the performing arts.Success is a function of talents (inborn abilities) and skills (acquired competencies). No amount of emotional self-control can turn a person into a successful musician, football player, or trader. Once individuals possess the requisite talents and skills for success, however, then psychological factors become important. Psychology dictates how consistent you are with the skills and talents you have; it cannot replace those skills and talents.

 Myth #2: Anyone, with dedicated effort, can get to the point of trading for a living. That is nonsense. How many people make their living from acting or musical performance? What proportion of people playing sports can actually make their livelihood from athletics? Many people play chess or poker, but how many can sustain a living from it?Quite simply, to make a living from any performance activity means that you are consistently good at what you do. Not everyone has the talent, skill, or drive to be that successful—in any field. Across the many traders I’ve met in various settings, from home-based, independent traders to professional ones in firms, the best predictors of trading success have been the size of the trader’s account and the resources available to the trader. If a person were to make 30% per year on their accounts year after year, they would be among the world’s most successful money managers. Most money managers of mutual funds, hedge funds, and pension funds cannot sustain such performance. This leads the trader to accept huge leverage and court a risk of ruin when an inevitable string of losing trades occurs. Indeed, such excess leverage is a main cause of emotional distress in trading. Take a look at how the Turtles made their money: they learned a trading method, learned to be consistent with that method, and were given enough money by Richard Dennis that they could trade multiple markets with enough size to scale into positions in each. Even with those resources, not all of the Turtle students could succeed. Talent, skill, and opportunity are the ingredients of success, and these are relatively normally distributed in the trading population, just as they are relatively normally distributed in the population at large. (more…)

FEAR

  
  Education
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There is nothing to fear except fear itself…’so said FDR when talking about America’s policies for exiting the great depression. Of all the known negative emotions that affect trading, I would argue that Fear is the most pervasive, and potentially the most destructicve. 

Even that other emotion we are always warned about – Greed can be alternatively described as ‘the fear of missing out’ and so it’s very essence is derived from fear. Frustration too is essentially born from fear as is Boredom, these being two other potentially harmful emotions that can afflict traders.

Fear in trading comes from the fear of a losing trade/losing run and the loss of money/not being right. This fear of losing stems from operating in an environment of uncertainty where the result is not known in advance. This uncertainty though does not have to result in fear per say.

The human brain is not naturally wired for trading in it’s evolutionary development. It takes years of practice and development for someone to re-train their brain to accept uncertainty and manage it. This is the necessary acquiring of the psychological skills required to trade successfully. Essentially when it is more natural to hope we fear and when it is more natural to fear – we hope….in trading we have to do the opposite. Add to this the technical skill requirement of having to be right at the right time as being right at the wrong time is still a losing trade, and it is not hard to see that a process has to be undertaken to train our brains from a fear based outlook of uncertainty to a risk management outlook toward it. (more…)

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