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The Wisdom of the Legendary Paul Tudor Jones

  
  Education
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At 56, Paul Tudor Jonesis a  self made billionaire with a net worth of 3.3 billion and is ranked as the 336th richest  person in the world, he  knows exactly how to trade the biggest money for the biggest returns. One of Jones’ earliest and major successes was anticipating and trading through Black Monday in 1987, tripling his money during the event due to large short positions. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 508 points to 1738.74 (-22.61%) on that day. While the majority of others lost more than they ever had in their lifetime, Jone’s was on the other side of their trade making a fortune. That is the sign of a truly great trader making money at the tipping points that most others miss.  Paul Tudor Jones has returned double digit annual returns to his investors for decades. He is one of the greatest traders to have ever lived, we need to sit up and listen closely to his advice, it is priceless.

Risk Management

“Don’t focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.”

“Where you want to be is always in control, never wishing, always trading, and always, first and foremost protecting your butt.”

“At the end of the day, the most important thing is how good are you at risk control.”

Trader Psychology

“Every day I assume every position I have is wrong.”

“Losers average losers.”

“Trading is very competitive and you have to be able to handle getting your butt kicked.”

Method

“I believe the very best money is made at the market turns. Everyone says you get killed trying to pick tops and bottoms and you make all your money by playing the trend in the middle. Well for twelve years I have been missing the meat in the middle but I have made a lot of money at tops and bottoms.”

“The secret to being successful from a trading perspective is to have an indefatigable and an undying and unquenchable thirst for information and knowledge.”

“The concept of paying one-hundred-and-something times earnings for any company for me is just anathema. Having said that, at the end of the day, your job is to buy what goes up and to sell what goes down so really who gives a damn about PE’s?”
“The whole world is simply nothing more than a flow chart for capital.”
That cotton trade was almost the deal breaker for me. It was at that point that I said, ‘Mr. Stupid, why risk everything on one trade? Why not make your life a pursuit of happiness rather than pain?’

10 Common Trading Errors

  
  Education
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What are the common errors, the improprieties, the lack of attention to proper mores, the p’s and q of trading that cause so much havoc and could be rectified with a proper formal approach? Here are a few that cost one fortunes over time.10-Common Errors

1. Placing a limit order in and then leaving the screen and not canceling the limit when you wouldn’t want it to be filled later or some news might come out and get you elected when the real prices is a fortune worse for you

2. Not getting up or being in front of screen at the time when you’re supposed to trade.

3. Taking a phone call from an agitating personage, be it romantic or the service or whatever that gets you so discombobulated that you go on tilt.

4. Talking to people during the trading day when you need to watch the ticks to put your order in.

5. Not having in front of you what the market did on the corresponding day of the week or month or hour so that you’re trading for a repeat of some hopeful exuberant event which never happens twice when you want it to happen.

6. Any thoughts or actual romance during the trading day. It will make you too enervated or too ready to pull the trigger depending on what the outcome was.

7. Leaving for lunch during the day or having a heavy lunch.

8. Kibbitsing from people in the office who have noticed something that should be brought to your attention.

9. Trying to get even when you have a loss by increasing your size and risk.

10. Not having adequate capital to meet any margin calls that mite occur during the day, thereby allowing your broker to close out your position at a stop while he takes the opposite side. What others do you come up with?

Writing your trading plan?

  
  Education
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  1. Why am I trading? This is not a trivial question to ask; and you must answer it honestly. Are you trading to make money? Or are you trading for the thrill? In other words, are you trading like an investor or like a gambler?
  2. What are my trading goals? Again, not a trivial question. Are you trying to gain a few dollars for extra spending money? Trying to fund your retirement? Trade for a living? Or are you trying to amass a fortune and retire early to a life of luxury? How you answer this question will identify the level of risk that you will have to endure.
  3. What is the size of my trading account? An obvious question.
  4. What is my skill level? Be honest.
  5. What is my tolerance for risk? And does that tolerance bear any relation to my skill level? It’s no good having a high tolerance for risk if your skills are inadequate.
  6. What must I do to improve my skill level?
  7. If my skill level is low, what trading size can I use to ensure that a single bad decision will not wipe me out? Preserving capital and staying in the game long enough to LTP good trading practices is crucial.
  8. What is my preferred trading instrument and have I familiarized myself with the behavior, range and velocity of that instrument? Some trades, like bonds and the ETF’s can move at a glacial pace.
  9. What indicators will I use to identify my entries and exits? Here, “the more, the merrier” may not be the wisest choice. Remember, there can be paralysis by (over)analysis.
  10. Where will I place my initial stop; and how will I manage them? You may have a trailing stop strategy, or you may plan to just exit when your indicators say, “Get out!”
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The secrets Apple keeps

  
Analysis, Education
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FORTUNE — Among the many amazing things about Apple is how scrutinized it is. Rarely have a company, its products, and its top executive — the late Steve Jobs — been so thoroughly examined. And yet, for a corporation so frequently discussed, Apple is poorly understood. Its products are ubiquitous, but information about the institution is scarce — which is exactly how Apple wants it. Apple steers the conversation to its gadgets — for sale at an Apple store near you! — not its modus operandi. InInside Apple: How America’s Most Admired — and Secretive — Company Really Works, I hope to shine a light on how this company labors to keep the world from knowing what’s going on inside its walls, with secrecy, both external and internal, being one of Apple’s key tools. It’s ironic, really. The business world keeps nattering on about the importance of corporate transparency, yet the most successful company in the world is beyond opaque. Born from a feature I wrote for Fortune last year, Inside Apple dissects Apple’s covert ways and provides a road map for less-buttoned-up companies to follow. –Adam Lashinsky

Apple employees know something big is afoot when the carpenters appear in their office building. New walls are quickly erected. Doors are added and new security protocols put into place. Windows that once were transparent are now frosted. Other rooms have no windows at all. They are called lockdown rooms: No information goes in or out without a reason.

READ MORE HERE…………………………..http://bit.ly/xo7ecZ

9 Trading Wisdom for Traders

  
  Education
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NEVER THROW MORE MONEY AFTER A LOSING POSITION

Never add to a losing position under any circumstances. Throwing more money at a losing trade will burn your capital faster than you can imagine. This is the main contributor that eliminates losing investors from the trading game. The only thing that happens when you buy more of a losing position is that your net worth declines. You hope that it may turn around eventually and your decision to buy will prove fortuitous. For every example of a fortune from an unexpected turnaround, there are ten examples of bleak outcomes.  

 

ALWAYS INVEST ON THE WINNING SIDE

Do not worry about trading on the bullish or bearish side, but always trade on the winning side. This is a brilliant piece of wisdom. Learn to master the art and science of investing on the winning side. You should be willing to change sides immediately when one side has gained the upper hand. You cannot stay rigid in your positions because the market is dynamic. Keep a close eye to see if the facts have changed regarding the company. If the facts have changed, you must change.

 

DO NOT HANG ONTO A LOSING POSITION

Failure to admit you were wrong and holding onto losing positions will cost you money. Watching your capital deplete in front of your eyes is de-motivating and mentally exhausting. However, your mind will be even more exhausted if you hold onto a losing trade. You will get more and more fearful with each passing minute, day and week.

In the meantime, you are missing out on a treasure chest of potentially profitable stocks that are waiting to make you money. Bad decisions are valuable sources of learning to master your trading technique. Cut your losses, adapt your trading strategy to include your new knowledge, and search for stocks that will make you money. In the stock market, time is money; there is no time to watch your stock fall all the way to the bottom. (more…)

Livermore on speculation

  
  Education
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Just remember, without a discipline, a clear strategy and a concise plan, the speculator will fall into all the emotional pitfalls of the market and jump from one stock to another, hold a losing position too long, cut-out of a winner too soon and for no reason other than fear of losing the profit. Greed, fear, impatience, ignorance and hope, will all fight for mental dominance over the speculator. Then after a few failures and catastrophes, the speculator may become demoralized, depressed, despondent, and abondon the market and the chance to make a fortune of what the market has to offer.

Develop your own strategy, discipline and approach to the market. I offer my suggestions as one, who has traveled the road before you. Perhaps I can act as a guide for you and save from falling in some of the pitfalls that befell me. But in the end the decisions must be your own”.

Apple on the cover of Economist

  
Analysis, Education, Life
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Individual companies seldom make it to the cover of Economist. When they do, it might be  a kiss of death. You can not go by cover alone , but something to keep an eye on. Jobs was also named CEO of the Decade by Fortune recently. As they say when CEO is on cover, it might be a top.

Stay humble

  
  Education
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More great lessons and trend following trading wisdom from Michael Covel’s book: ‘Trend Following – Learn to make millions in up or down markets’. I am quoting from page 282-283:

Fortune Favors the bold

Trend following, like any entrepreneurial endeavor, demands you be responsible for yourself. Charles Faulkner emphasized the point:

‘Trend trading and even trading in general isn’t for everyone. As too few people check out what the day-to-day life of a trader is like, and trend trading specifically, I strongly recommend they find out before making a life-changing commitment.’

What does ‘life-changing commitment’ involve? You commit to not wanting to be right all of the time. Most people, let’s face it, must be right. They live to have other people know they’re right. They don’t even want success. They don’t even want to win. They don’t want money. They just want to be right. The winners, on the other hand, just want to win.

What else can you do? You commit to patience and faith in a trading system that is not structured on quarterly performance or some artificial measure of the ‘mass’. You work hard to gain experience. Great experience leads to great intuition. You commit to thinking for the long term and not feeling insecure if you don’t have a steady earnings stream of 1-2 percent a month. You might have one year where you are down 10 percent. The following year you might be down 15 percent. The next year you might be up 115 percent. If you quit at the end of the second year, you will never get to the third year. That’s reality.

11 Trading Errors

  
  Education
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1. Placing a limit order in and then leaving the screen and not canceling the limit when you wouldn’t want it to be filled later or some news might come out and get you elected when the real prices is a fortune worse for you

2. Not getting up or being in front of screen at the time when you’re supposed to trade.

3. Taking a phone call from an agitating personage, be it romantic or the service or whatever that gets you so discombobulated that you go on tilt.

4. Talking to people during the trading day when you need to watch the ticks to put your order in.

5. Not having in front of you what the market did on the corresponding day of the week or month or hour so that you’re trading for a repeat of some hopeful exuberant event which never happens twice when you want it to happen.

6. Any thoughts or actual romance during the trading day. It will make you too enervated or too ready to pull the trigger depending on what the outcome was.

7. Leaving for lunch during the day or having a heavy lunch.

8. Kibbitsing from people in the office who have noticed something that should be brought to your attention.

9. Any procedures that violate the rules of the British Navy where only a 6 inch plank separated you from disaster like in our field.

10. Trying to get even when you have a loss by increasing your size and risk.

11. Not having adequate capital to meet any margin calls that mite occur during the day, thereby allowing your broker to close out your position at a stop while he takes the opposite side. What others do you come up with?

King of Turtle Traders

  
  Education
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I’m currently rereading “Complete Turtle Traders“ and if you’re not familiar with the story, I highly recommend this book. There aren’t many books that I reference often and this is one of them due to the psychological insight of trading and it’s impact on your performance. And what you’re going to read below is just a snippet from the first 27 pages of the book.

Richard Dennis is fast becoming one of my trading icons as I learn more about his attitude and methodology on trading and life. Here are a few quotes from the book that will offer some insight into what type of person and trader he was at that time:

His emotional attachment to dollars and cents appeared nonexistent.

He thought in terms of leverage.

You’re much better off going into the market on a shoestring, feeling that you can’t afford to lose.

Reacting to opportunities that others never saw was how he marched through life.

….you had to be able to accept losses both psychologically and physiologically.

I’m an empiricist through and through.

….the majority is wrong a lot of the time. The vast majority is wrong even more of the time.

He was an anti-establishment guy making a fortune leveraging the establishment.

Dennis read Psychology Today to keep his emotions in check and to remind him of how overrated intuition was in trading.

I think it’s far more important to know what Freud thinks about death wishes than what
Milton Friedman thinks about deficit spending.

You have to have mentally gone through the process of failure.

He has the ability under tremendous pressure to stand there with his own money and pull the trigger when other people wilted.

When he was wrong, he could turn on a dime.

One man’s volatility is another man’s profit.

SUBJECT: What makes a frustrating market?

I wanted to end with a quote from one of the most famous Turtle Traders of all, Curtis Faith, that very much resonates with my methodology of zentrading. This comes from “Inside the Mind of the Turtles”which is another book I recommend. Do not buy his second book “Way of the Turtle”. It was absolutely horrible and very poorly written. I’m still reading his new book (very promising) and I’ll let you know how that one goes. Anyhow…here’s the quote and pay special attention to the phase in italics and if you found this post especially useful please retweet and share with your networks. I look forward to reading your comments and any particular insight you may have.

Winning traders think in the present and avoid thinking too much in the future. They look at the future as unknowable in specifics, but foreseeable in character. To win you need to free yourself and your thinking of outcome bias. It does not matter what happens with any particular trade.

10 losing trades + sticking to your plan = bad luck.

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