Archives of “emotions” tag

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Chess and Trading

  
  Education
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As an avid fan of the game of the KINGS, I have never paid attention before between the amazing similarities between chess and trading, until I read a BRUCE PANDOLFINI book called “Every move must have it’s purpose”

This is an amazing game that is not fully devoted to trading but to the concepts of business and chess and how they look alike.

Understanding the concepts is basic in chess or trading. Concepts are more important than theory.

Let me do a quick lecture about those concepts.

 

The first concepts he points is “Play the board not the opponent”. This is an amazing concept and clearly fits any trader and their psychology. The board is the chart and the opponent in this case is our own emotions. A player must focus on the board and his game only. Same the trader.

 

The second concepts is “ Don’t ignore a good hunch” This can clearly applies to the traders especially like me, who trades intuitive. Many times You do not have an entry setup that fits your rule but it doesn’t violate either but You know there is a big move coming, I can not explain it butyou feel the move and you take it and voila clink$$.You may not understand it because we try to rationalize but our right side of the brain is telling us “this is correct”. Go for it.

 

Third concept “Play with a plan”.We need to have an edge, a methodology and stay with it. In chess if you do not have a strategy you are going to be massacred. Same in the markets. Move your pieces in a nonsensical way and you are out of the game in less than 12 moves. (more…)

The Hidden Variable in Your Trading Success

  
  Education
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Most traders realize that trading involves a lot of psychology. And most traders readily admit that a significant portion of their trading losses, or lack of performance, is due to “psychology”.  Although the term ‘psychology’ isn’t always mentioned as an explanation, you can see it easily enough in the following statements ……”I froze just as I was about to pull the trigger”….. ”I hesitated and missed that trade and was so pissed that I got myself into an impulse trade right after”…..  “That large loss was not what I wanted, I held it thinking it would come back because last time I bailed out of this type of trade I got stopped out right before it reversed”….. “I was really nervous about losing money again so I got out of my winning trade way before my target”

Those are four common examples of trading psychology issues manifesting in one’s trading.  Do you recognize yourself in the above statements?

All four of those statements have in common one thing, fear. Whether it’s the fear of not being perfect, the fear of being wrong, fear of losing money, fear of missing out, the fear of not being approved by others, or some other fear, the common theme is fear.  Most trading mistakes are a maladaptive attempt to deal with fear or anxiety. (more…)

Jesse Livermore’s Money Management Rules

  
  Education
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If you haven’t read this book “Reminiscences of a Stock Operator” written in 1923, read it! It is purpordetly the unofficial biography of one of the greates traders ever; Jesse Livermore.  The rules Jesse followed back at the turn of the last century are still very much applicable today.

1) Don’t lose money. Don’t lose your stake. A speculator without cash is like a store-owner with no inventory. Cash is your inventory, your lifeline, and your best friend. Without cash, you are out of business. Don’t lose your line. There is no place in speculating for hoping, for guessing, for fear, for greed, for emotions. The tape tells the truth.

2) Always establish a stop. A successful speculator must set a firm stop before making a trade and must never sustain a loss of more than 10 percent of invested capital. I have also learned that when your broker calls you and tells you he needs more money for a margin requirement on a stock that is declining; tell him to sell out the position. When you buy a stock at 50 and it goes to 45, do not buy more in order to average out your price. The stock has not done what you predicted; that is enough of an indication that your judgment was wrong. Take sour losses quickly and get out. Remember, never meet a margin call, and never average losses. Many times I would close out a position before suffering a 10 percent loss. I did this simply because the stock was not acting right from the start. Often my instincts would whisper to me: “J.L., this stock has a malaise, it is a lagging dullard. It just does not feel right,” and I would sell out of my position in the blink of an eye. I absolutely believe that price movement patterns are repeated and appear over and over with slight variations. This is because humans drive the stocks, and human nature never changes. Take your losses quickly. Easy to say, but hard to do. (more…)

The 10 Signs You Might Have a Fear of Failure

  
  Education
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The following are not official diagnostics but if you feel these criteria are very characteristic of you (‘very’ being an important distinguishing marker as we all feel these things to some extent), you might want to examine this issue further, either by doing more reading about it or talking to a mental health professional.

1. Failing makes you worry about what other people think about you.

2. Failing makes you worry about your ability to pursue the future you desire.

3. Failing makes you worry that people will lose interest in you.

4. Failing makes you worry about how smart or capable you are.

5. Failing makes you worry about disappointing people whose opinion you value.

6. You tend to tell people beforehand that you don’t expect to succeed in order to lower their expectations.

7. Once you fail at something you have trouble imagining what you could have done differently to succeed.

8. You often get last minute headaches, stomachaches, or other physical symptoms that prevent you from completing your preparation.

9. You often get distracted by tasks that prevent you from completing your preparation that in hindsight were not as urgent as they seemed at the time.

10. You tend to procrastinate and ‘run out of time’ to complete you preparation adequately 

7 Points for Traders

  
  Education
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  1. You don’t choose the stock market; it chooses you.  A little bit of early trading success can have a profound effect on a person’s soul.  If it does choose you, you’ll have to accept that your life and investing will become forever connected.7numbers
  2. Your methodology must provide an unshakeable foundation that you believe in totally, and you must have the conviction to trade based upon it.   If your belief is tentative or if you don’t have complete faith in your methodology, then a few bad trades will destabilize and erode your confidence. 
  3. A calm mindset that can focus on the execution and not on the outcome is what produces profits.  It takes total emotional control.  You must maintain your balance, rhythm and patience.  You need all three to stay in the game.
  4. The markets are always conniving with ingenious techniques to get you to lose your patience, to get you frustrated or mad, to bait you to do the wrong thing when you know you shouldn’t.  A champion doesn’t allow the markets to get under his skin and take him out of his game.
  5. Like a great painting, all good trades start with a blank canvas.  Winning traders first paint the trade in their mind’s eye so that their emotional selves can reproduce it accurately with clarity and consistency, void of emotions as they play it out in the markets.
  6. The “here and now” is all that matters.  You can’t think about the last trade or the last shot or worry about the future.  You need to put on your “amnesia hat” in order to remain completely unfazed by what came before.  Only by doing so can you be totally absorbed in executing your present trade.
  7. Being prepared and having put in the work results in the bringing together of your intuition and confidence.  The two go hand in hand.  Extraordinary results can be expected when you are able to see it, feel it and trust it. 

FEAR

  
  Education
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No, not the fear you’re thinking of, the other kind of fear, the fear of missing out.

Many people believe there are two emotions that traders feel, fear and greed, I disagree, it’s only fear.  The fear of loss and the fear of not having enough.  There’s a difference between being greedy and being fearful of not having enough, and it’s important.  Greed is defined by the excessive desire to possess wealth or goods.  Synonyms include lust and gluttony.  The fear of not having enough is very different, and I believe that is what drives market participants.

Trading is inherently a competitive exercise.  We look across the desk at the guy next to us and see that he made X amount of dollars today and we made less.  We look at the major averages as benchmarks, we listen to people taking profits on our StockTwits stream and feel both happy for them and wanting to punch them in the face for making a better trade on the same stock.  It’s only natural.  And when the market is moving well, not being involved while everyone else is, while your benchmark is climbing, traders can feel a considerable amount of fear.

I’ve felt this many times, the fear of not having enough.  And I’ve become pretty good at gauging both my own emotions regarding this and the pulse of the market as a whole.  Many times this emotion can be seen exhibited in the price action through a blow off top where price accelerates at the end of a big move and then reverses sharply.  Intermediate term swing and position trading is about staying with the trend and not getting shaken out, while managing your risk well. (more…)

OPTIMISTIC & PESSIMISM in Trading

  
  Education
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PESSIMISM 

Pessimism is defined as a tendency to stress the negative or unfavorable or take the gloomiest possible view.  Obviously, the successful trader is not pessimistic. If so, then he would never trade in the first place or if he did, he would only trade short; a “permabear” if you will.  A purely pessimistic trader would also doubt his edge, doubt any market direction, only trade after the move has happened, cut his winners short while allowing his losers to run, overtrade, under invest, etc etc.  In other words, a purely pessimistic trader would break all the rules.

OPTIMISM

Optimism is defined as the inclination to anticipate the best possible outcome while believing that most situations work out in the end for the best.  The unsuccessful trader, especially the beginning trader, is optimistic about getting rich in the stock market.  No matter what every trade will eventually make money he reasons.  The optimistic trader also loads up on a “sure thing”, seeks to justify every trade via confirmation bias, adds to losers, brags about winners while hiding losers, refuses to develop as a trader, etc etc. Just as with pessimism, the optimistic trader breaks the rules.

How many of these actions or beliefs apply to you?

  
  Education
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1You do not believe in yourself.If you do not think you can do it, how can you build the confidence you need to do battle with seasoned traders?
2You do not trust in your ability.If you do not have the proper education, how can you honestly think you can compete in the world’s largest playground, which is ruled by the two most powerful emotions: Fear and Greed. Lack of conviction manifests itself in many ways in this business (for example early exits or entries).
3You fail to treat trading as if it were a business.If you do not start thinking of this as a business and filling in your areas of weakness with solid reason and education, how can you achieve any level of success? You may hit a streak, but dumb luck runs out and then what?
4You fail to plan.Failure to define and achieve specific short-, medium- and long-term goals is a recipe for failure.
5You are just lazy.Your self-motivation and continued education are the lifeblood of your business. You must be eager to learn at all times regardless of past experiences or level of current knowledge.
6You fail to equip your business properly.You must have the proper tools. Do you think a doctor would perform surgery with a shank instead of a scalpel? How does a carpenter build without a saw or hammer? You get the idea. Use a reliable data and charting provider; get high-speed Internet access, and so forth.
7You fail to understand how to accept a loss.The markets do not know you. You do not exist to them in any other form than as the other side of a transaction. They do not care if it is your last dime, and your kids will not have shoes, and on, and on. We need losers to make money in this zero-minus-sum game, but taking an acceptable risk-reward ratio position and being wrong is not losing.
8You fail to control your emotions.Whether you win or lose, you should strive to remain at a comfortable emotional state while trading. Building the proper business plan for trading is enormously helpful in getting you to do just that.
9You fail to learn and execute the fundamentals of trading.Read, listen to CDs, attend seminars, read the Trade2win forums daily and practice your newfound knowledge. Everything you seek to know about trading has already been written or spoken about by successful traders. Try to learn something everyday.
10You cannot cope with change.There are three paradigms your mind should be a slave to: Patience, discipline and money management. The markets change everyday, and it is these three skills that allow us to be rigid and flexible at the same time in order to take consistent profits. Fight it and fail.
11You cannot follow rules.Losing traders often think that the rules of trading are made for others. Think that they are not for you? Think again. Fight them and you will have a very short trading career.
12You are too greedy.Thinking about trading profits instead of how you could better execute your plan is an obvious sign of greed.
13You fail to do what you know.Many people know what to do; yet very few people are able to do what they know. It is the rules of trading that force one to take action.
14You fail to understand that hard work makes luck.Some people think good traders are just lucky. Quite the contrary. They are studious, knowledge-seeking people who understand the paradigms they need to operate by. Take a close look at the traders you see as successful, and you will find years of education and hard work that created that “luck.” You can be just as “lucky.”
15You blame others when the full responsibility is yours.Accepting responsibility is the fulcrum point for succeeding in anything, especially trading. Doing something about it is the criterion. Execution is the reward, not the money. Money is the by-product of executing to plan. Do not blame the broker for a bad fill, when it was you who hesitated. This is just one example, but we are all aware of many others.
16Your lack of persistence.Be willing to take a stop loss at a particular price and time and just accept it without a fight. Be equally able to jump right back in at the same spot if the chart patterns and price action dictate that it is prudent. Or, even reverse your position if that is the prudent course to take. If your plan is drafted properly, you can be successful over time, but only if you are still around to be in business.
17You fail to follow the first law of learning.The first law of learning is repetition. Write it down and study it several times a day. Commit it to memory. Execute your plan.
18You fail to establish and maintain a positive attitude.This one is self-explanatory.
19Yes, that’s right; this is the 19th reason for failure: BTNA (Big Talk No Action).Many “traders” are not honest with themselves regarding the actual results of their trading; therefore, it is impossible to build the level of trust in themselves needed to act in the proper manner as situations arise. For example they put on a trade and then change their stop loss, or, even worse, they don’t place a stop order. This is a self-defeating cycle that is hard to break. However, if you are honest with yourself, you have a shot at improvement.

Patience in Trading

  
  Education
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The most important lesson I’ve learned over the years of trading is staying patient throughout the journey. There will always be loosing trades as well as winning trades, the key is not being greedy as well as staying consistently patient with the market whilst gaining experience.

Re-reading books, trading scripts as well as regularly topping up knowledge of all the relevant price action technicalities is crucial, although I’d say the main attribute to achieving consistent results is not only sticking to your own specific trading plan and rules, but remaining patient and never giving up. The use of repeated trading affirmations can help dramatically with this.

In the world of trading, those who remain patient over the years and ‘slowly but surely’ carve out a positive equity curve will surely gain the vital skills needed to make trading a full time, long term career.

Most traders have only the ‘destination’ in mind, with the ‘journey’ aspect as secondary. This is the wrong approach. Without the long journey testing your patience, including all the difficulties and hurdles, the destination would be too easy to obtain and everyone would be doing it. This is why learning to trade can be seen as easy, however its the journey that most amateur traders find too difficult to sustain. This can all be overcome with the right trading mindset and understanding.

:Anything that comes quick goes quick. Patience is required for outstanding results.

Deception Theory

  
  Education
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Deception theory often refers to the eight basic emotions communicated through facial expressions: anger, fear, sadness, joy, disgust, curiosity, surprise, acceptance. Are these emotions manifested in markets? Are they predictive? Do they change? Is the theory of deception useful for studying, understanding and predicting markets?

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