Archives of “Economy of the United States” tag

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What’s on calendar today? Trump.

  
  Analysis
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That’s about it….

The calendar is bare. There will be no economic releases from NY or Canada.
As far as events, the focus will be squarely on the speech by Pres. Trump at the Economic Club of New York. That will be at 12 PM ET.  Will it be a rah-rah speech or will he speak more on China? If on China, the evergreen story always has the ability to push stocks higher on increased optimism for a trade deal (or lower on decreased optimism for a trade deal if he is particularly ornery).
There is another speaker… Fed Harker will speak also in New York at a Reuters event. There is no text expected, however, Q&A from audience is likely. The speech will start at 12:55 PM ET/1755 GMT.

US President Trump expected to delay auto tariff decision for 6 more months

  
Analysis, Politics
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US political reporting website Politico with the info

  • Trump is expected to announce this week
  • putting off a decision on whether to impose tariffs on European Union autos for another six months
Poltico cite “a person familiar with the decision”
Link for more
And … bear this in mind:
  • The person with familiar the decision cautioned there is always uncertainty surrounding Trump’s final determination when it comes to trades and tariffs. But barring some unforeseen development, the president is expected to announce another six-month delay, the person said.

Global Debt Tops $188,000,000,000,000 – Officially The Biggest Debt Bubble The World Has Ever Seen

  
Analysis, Economy
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The world is now 188 trillion dollars in debt, and that number continues to grow rapidly each year.

It is a form of enslavement that is deeply insidious, because most of those living on the planet do not even understand how the system works, and even if they did most of them would have absolutely no hope of ever getting free from it. The borrower is the servant of the lender, and the global financial system is designed to funnel as much wealth to the top 0.1% as possible. Of course throughout human history there has always been slavery, and the primary motivation for having slaves is to extract an economic benefit from those that are enslaved. And even though most of us don’t like to think of ourselves as “slaves” today, the truth is that the global elite are extracting more wealth from all of us than ever before. So much of our labor is going to make them wealthy, and yet most people don’t even realize what is happening.

Let’s start with a very simple example to help illustrate this. (more…)

The US/China deal can be delayed until December: Senior Trump administration official

  
  Analysis
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Negative moves in stocks… Yields move lower… Gold moves higher

  • Trump/Xi meeting to sign US–China trade deal could be delayed until December as discussions continue over terms and venue
  • Still possible US – China trade deal pack will not be reached, but deal more likely than not
  • Europe a likely venue for the Trump-Xi meeting with Switzerland and Sweden among sites under consideration. Iowa is not a likely
  • Push for more tariffs rollbacks not seen derailing progress toward trade deal
  • Believes China sees quick trade deal as best chance for favorable terms, given Trump’s electoral and impeachment pressures
The stocks have moved to a new session lows (modest declines are picking up steam a bit).
  • S&P index fell to a low of 3067.26. We currently trade at 3069.5
  • NASDAQ fell to a low of 8387.61. We currently trade at 8389.32
  • Dow fell to 27420.17 with the price currently at 27435
US yields moved lower as well with the 10 year at 1.824%, -3.5 basis points.
Gold prices have moved higher with spot gold up $9 or 0.61% at $1493 currently.
WTI crude oil futures have moved lower they trading near session lows at $56.33 (currently at $56.42).
The USDJPY has moved to a new session low at 108.83. The 200 hour moving average comes in at 108.659.  There is a risk off in risk pairs like USDCAD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD.

Trump invites southeast Asian leaders to US for special summit

  
  Analysis
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Trump makes a move

The geographical battleground of the trade war is in southeast Asia.
It’s an area where China is trying to expand and solidify ties while the US is trying to beat back Beijing. There’s a military component as well as China tries to dominate the South China Sea.
This weekend, Trump skipped the ASEAN summit, which is attempting to finalize the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership — a massive trade deal.
Trump’s move to invite Southeast Asian leaders will undoubtedly raise eyebrows in Beijing and further convince leaders there that the Phase One deal will probably only be a ceasefire and that the US is planning to curb China’s growth and influence.

Trump takes another shot at the Federal Reserve

  
Analysis, Politics
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Trump with the usual stuff

People are VERY disappointed in Jay Powell and the Federal Reserve. The Fed has called it wrong from the beginning, too fast, too slow. They even tightened in the beginning. Others are running circles around them and laughing all the way to the bank. Dollar & Rates are hurting..our manufacturers. We should have lower interest rates than Germany, Japan and all others. We are now, by far, the biggest and strongest Country, but the Fed puts us at a competitive disadvantage. China is not our problem, the Federal Reserve is! We will win anyway.
If you’ve been watching CNBC lately, it sure sounds like Jim Cramer is making a real pitch to be the next Fed chair. There was also talk about turfing Powell after the election in a move that would undoubtedly cause a legal fight.

US stocks close the session higher. Record close for the S&P

  
Analysis, US Market
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New record close for the S&P

The US stocks are closing the session higher after the FOMC cut rates by 25 basis points and Fed chair Powell said that rates would not go higher unless inflation goes higher.
  • The S&P index rose 9.88 points or 0.33% at 3046.77
  • The Nasdaq rose 27.125 points or 0.33% at 8303.97
  • The Dow rose 115.27 points or 0.43% at 27186.69.
In after hours, Facebook beat on the revenues and earnings-per-share
  • EPS $2.12 versus $1.91 expected
  • Revenues $17.65 billion versus an estimate $17.35 billion

Facebook shares are up 2.3% in volatile trading after the close.

China issued 10m tonnes quota for US soybeans purchases – report

  
  Analysis
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It’s not the 40-50m tonnes Trump talked about but it’s a start

The idea was never to buy all the soybeans at once, but over the course of a year. China nees the food.
Reuters reports that Chinese officials gave tariff-free quotas to soybean buyers for up to 10m tonnes.
It’s a sign of concrete progress and good faith in the trade war but it could all fall apart very quickly.

Tariffs being imposed Dec.15 if no China trade deal, says Mnuchin

  
  Analysis
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U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said on Monday that an additional round of tariffs on Chinese imports will likely be imposed if a trade deal with China has not been reached by then, but added that he expected the agreement to go through.

“I have every expectation – if there’s not a deal, those tariffs would go in place – but I expect we’ll have a deal,” he said in an interview with CNBC, when asked about a round of tariffs scheduled for Dec. 15.

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Friday that China and the United States had reached the first phase of a trade deal that covered agriculture, currency and some aspects of intellectual property protections, and would ease the reciprocal trade restrictions that the world’s two largest economies have been imposing for 15 months.

But officials on both sides have said more work is needed to finalize the accord, and Trump acknowledged the agreement could still collapse. U.S. Trade Representative Lighthizer said on Friday that Trump had not made a decision about the December tariffs.

Mnuchin said more trade negotiations at various levels would take place over the coming weeks, including a phone call between himself, Lighthizer and Chinese Vice Premier Liu He, and talks between Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping.

Asked about a dispute between China and the U.S. National Basketball Association stemming from a tweet by Houston Rockets manager Daryl Morey expressing support for pro-democracy protests in Hong Kong, Mnuchin said he hoped the two sides could come to a solution.

US stocks end near the lows but give up gains

  
Analysis, US Market
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Early declines still holding the lows

The US stocks are ending the day near, but above) the day’s lows (from earlier in the day) but they gave up gains in the processs in what was an up and down day.
The final numbers are showing:
  • The S&P index fell -13.22 points or -0.45% at 2938.79. The high reached 2959.75. The low extended to 2935.68
  • The NASDAQ index fell -26.181 points or -0.33% at 7956.29. The high reached 8013.316. The low extended to 7942.08
  • The down industrial average fell -95.70 points or -0.36% at 26478. The high reached 26655.84. The low extended to 26424.54

The NASDAQ index closed below its 100 day moving average at 7967.39. The index close back above that MA on Friday. Failure to keep the momentum to the upside going is a disappointment for the bulls.

The S&P index remains above its 100 day moving average at 2928.07, but is closing below its 50 day moving average at 2940.64
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