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7 Weakest Points of Trading

The weakest part of any trading method is the trader themselves. There are many, many, robust trading systems and methods that do make money in the long term. The problem is the trader having the discipline and mental toughness to trade one of them consistently. The vast majority of time it is not a system failure but traders that fail in this game through one of seven common errors. If you can understand these error and overcome them you could make a lot of money in the right market conditions.

  1. The trader must have the discipline to take the system’s entries and exits.
  2. The trader must have the discipline to take the stop loss on a losing trade when it is hit and not keep holding and start hoping.
  3. No matter the method the trader has to manage risk through proper position sizing, getting greedy and trading too big will blow up even the best systems.
  4. It is the trader that must have the perseverance to stick to the method even during losing periods, and also stick with trading until success is reached.
  5. If a trader can not manage their mind then the stress will break them, I have seen this happen many times. If you can’t handle losing you can’t trade.
  6. The trader must find a robust method, must understand why it has an edge, and must believe in their methodology.
  7. The trader has to know themselves and trade the method that fits their risk tolerance levels and own psychology. (more…)

10 Trend Commandments

  1. You shall learn from successful trend followers to make big returns in the market.

  2. You shall follow the trend only, and have no guru that you bow down to.
  3. You shall not try to predict the future in vain, but follow the current price trend.
  4. You shall remember the stop loss to keep your capital safe, you shall know your exit before your entry is taken.
  5. Follow your trend following system all the days that you are trading, so that through discipline you will be successful.
  6. You shall not give up on trading because of a draw down.
  7. You shall not change a winning system because it has had a few losing trades.
  8. You shall trade with the principles that have proven to work for successful traders.
  9. You shall keep faith in your trend following even in range bound markets, a trend will begin anew eventually.
  10. You shall not covet fundamentalists valuations, Blue Channels talking heads, newsletter predictions, holy grails, or the false claims of black box systems.

If you want news and entertainment watch BLUE CHANNELS, if you want to learn how to trade & Mint Money then Read www.AnirudhSethiReport.com 

3 Alexander Elder’s Words of Wisdom

You can be free. You can live and work anywhere in the world. You can be independent from routine and not answer to anybody. This is the life of a successful trader. Many aspire to this but few succeed. An amateur looks at a quote screen and sees millions of dollars sparkle in front of his face. He reaches for the money – and loses. He reaches again – and loses more. Traders lose because the game is hard, or out of ignorance, or lack of discipline or because of both. – ALEXANDER ELDER

Every winner needs to master three essential components of trading; a sound individual psychology, a logical trading system and good money management. These essentials are like three legs of a stool – remove one and the stool will fall, together with the person who sits on it. Losers try to build a stool with only one leg, or two at the most. They usually focus exclusively on trading systems. Your trades must be based on clearly defined rules. You have to analyze your feelings as you trade, to make sure that your decisions are intellectually sound. You have to structure your money management so that no string of losses can kick you out of the game. – ALEXANDER ELDER

Markets offer unlimited opportunities for self-sabotage, as well as for self-fulfillment. Acting out your internal conflicts in the marketplace is an expensive proposition. Traders who are not at peace with themselves often try to fulfill their contradictory wishes in their market. If you do not know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere you never wanted to be. You can succeed in trading only if you can handle it as a serious intellectual pursuit. Emotional trading is lethal. To help ensure success, practice defensive money management. A good trader watches his or her capital as successfully as a professional scuba-diver watches his or her air supply. – ALEXANDER ELDER

A trader is the weakest link of any trading system

So true. Tony Robbins also said “Success for anything is 80% of psychology and 20% of mechanics”. A trading system is mechanics of trading. If a trader has an absolutely winning trading system, but he/she has failed to execute it. This system is failure. For who can follow it consistently, it is a great system. So who is more important? It is the trader or the system?

Some people say it is hard to design a winning system. Or I don’t know how to do? Does it really true? Read what Richard Dennis said.

The key is consistency and discipline. Almost anybody can make up a list of rules that are 80% as good as what we taught. What they can’t do is give (people) the confidence to stick to those rules even when things are going bad.

Richard Dennis has also proved that trading is a skill not talent. Tony Robbins also said “Every skill is learnable”

 

Paul Tudor Jones – 60 Minutes Interview

Jones is considered one of the best traders in the business for one main reason: CONSISTENCY!He has produced positive returns for 25 straight years! I don’t know the exact number of years, but you get my point. The fuel behind his consistency is his discipline, specifically his ability to manage risk and cut losses.

Besides his tremendous success as a trader and a hedge fund manager, what makes Jones an even bigger hero in my view is his philanthropy. I love the phrase “The secret to living is giving” and Jones truly exemplifies this quote. In other words, what’s the point of being successful if you never give back to others? As Jones says in this 60 Minutes interview: “You find your joy in life through service and sacrifice.” Enjoy the video!

 

Apply Will Power in Trading

Much of successful trading has to do with having the discipline, the willpower, to follow the trading plan. And much of a good trading plan goes counter to a human’s natural reactions to the market. Hence the greater your willpower, i.e. the better you are able to have self-control or self-regulation, the better your trading.

Below are some key points from the article and Roy Baumeister’s YouTube videos, and my thoughts on how they apply to trading.

The Nature of Willpower

  • Willpower is a limited resource that gets depleted when you use it.
    • I typically find that my trading at the early part of the session is good. I would follow my trading plan well and profits usually follows. However towards the later part of the morning, I start to make mistakes and go counter to my trading plan, that’s when my results suffer.
    • Be aware of when you have run out of juice. I find that once I start make a few consecutive trades that violate my trading plan, I recognize that my willpower has been depleted, I am not making good decisions, so I go take a break, or stop trading for the day entirely.
    • Some traders recommend not trading for more than 3 hours a day. Yes you may miss a run away market after you stop trading, but recall your experiences when the market trended very well the entire day but yet you lost money. To extract money from the marketsrequires willpower to make the right trading decisions. When you are not able to follow your trading plan, the probabilities favor you giving money to the markets instead, regardless of the market situation.
  • When your willpower is depleted, you feel your emotions more intensely (more…)

Trading Wisdom From Legend Bruce Kovner

On protecting emotional equilibrium:
To this day, when something happens to disturb my emotional equilibrium and my sense of what the world is like, I close out all positions related to that event.
On the first rule of trading:
The first rule of trading — there are probably many first rules — is don’t get caught in a situation in which you can lose a great deal of money for reasons you don’t understand.
On making a million:
Michael [Marcus] taught me one thing that was incredibly important… He taught me that you could make a million dollars. He showed me that if you applied yourself, great things could happen. It is very easy to miss the point that you really can do it. He showed me that if you take a position and use discipline, you can actually make it.”
On allowing for mistakes:
He also taught me one other thing that is absolutely critical: You have to be willing to make mistakes regularly; there is nothing wrong with it. Michael taught me about making your best judgment, being wrong, making your next best judgment, being wrong, making your third best judgment, and then doubling your money.
On elements of a successful trading:
I’m not sure one can really define why some traders make it, while others do not. For myself, I can think of two important elements. First, I have the ability to imagine configurations of the world different from today and really believe it can happen. I can imagine that soybean prices can double or that the dollar can fall to 100 yen. Second, I stay rational and disciplined under pressure.
[Successful traders are] strong, independent, and contrary in the extreme. They are able to take positions others are unwilling to take. They are disciplined enough to take the right size positions. A greedy trader always blows out.
On having a market view:
I almost always trade on a market view; I don’t trade simply on technical information. I use technical analysis a great deal and it is terrific, but I can’t hold a position unless I understand why the market should move.
…there are well-informed traders who know much more than I do. I simply put things together… The market usually leads because there are people who know more than you do.
On technical analysis:
Technical analysis, I think, has a great deal that is right and a great deal that is mumbo jumbo… There is a great deal of hype attached to technical analysis by some technicians who claim that it predicts the future. Technical analysis tracks the past; it does not predict the future. You have to use your own intelligence to draw conclusions about what the past activity of some traders may say about the future activity of other traders.
…For me, technical analysis is like a thermometer. Fundamentalists who say they are not going to pay any attention to the charts are like a doctor who says he’s not going to take a patient’s temperature. But, of course, that would be sheer folly. If you are a responsible participant in the market, you always want to know where the market is — whether it is hot and excitable, or cold and stagnant. You want to know everything you can about the market to give you an edge.
…Technical analysis reflects the voice of the entire marketplace and, therefore, does pick up unusual behavior. By definition, anything that creates a new chart pattern is something unusual. It is very important for me to study the details of price action to see if I can observe something about how everybody is voting. Studying the charts is absolutely critical and alerts me to existing disequilibria and potential changes.
On trading ranges and price patterns: (more…)

Positive awareness trumps negative self talk

The language you use as a trader can provide either positive reinforcement through honest self awareness or negative results through demeaning self talk.  In other words, when discussing your trading with others or in your journal become aware of how you view yourself.  Do you see yourself as an amateur, a whipping post, a loser?  Do you blame an indicator or the market or an advisor for your failures and lack of discipline?  When you are with others do you brag about your winners and hide your losers?  All of this talk is based on fear:  fear of being wrong, fear of what others might think of you and your decisions; fear of the market; fear of being afraid.  When you practice positive self awareness  you create a fertile learning environment that allows you to grow and progress as a BETTER trader, not focus on BECOMING a GOOD trader (implying that you are a bad one).  When I work with individuals I often hear the following:  “If I would just do this I would become a good trader” or “If I had your discipline I would be a able to make money.”  These statements are grounded in a sense of doubt and fear.  Instead, these statements should be replaced with “I am becoming a BETTER trader because I know the market cannot hurt me” AND “I am becoming a BETTER trader the more I stick with my rules.”  See the difference between the two?  One is focused on the joy of progress; the other on the fear of not being good enough.  Are you focused on progress or failure? Listen to yourself and you will quickly figure it out.  It is EASY to get down on yourself and much HARDER to remain positive in the face of adversity.

The Best Rupee You Can Spend

A few days ago, I printed myself a little label and adhered it to the base of my monitor:
print-
 

Now, before I close a position, I glance at it. If necessary, I will say the phrase out loud (I stop at nothing to enforce discipline). That little sticker has already made me a lot of money. I suggest you consider one for yourself.

 

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