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Coronavirus – US Chamber of Commerce official sees risk that India could be a drag on the global economy

  
Analysis, COVID-19
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A US Chamber of Commerce official sees risk of a slowdown in India’s economy as a result of the Covid-19 jump, which could be a drag on the global economy.

Headlines via Reuters (perhaps today’s Captain Obvious award?)
  • “We expect that this could get worse before it gets better”
  • a “real risk” the Indian economy would falter given the circumstances
  • “There’s a big concern about the draft on the economy by a devastating, spreading virus in India.”

Maurice Pernot Autograph Manuscript Signed – Incredible Content About Gandhi #Mypersonalcollection #AnirudhSethi

  
  Analysis
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Autograph manuscript in French, signed “Maurice Pernot” seven pages, 8.25 x 10.5, circa 1930. An untranslated article entitled “Gandhi, l’Inde et l’Empire,” discussing Mohandas Gandhi’s non-violent protest against the salt tax with the Salt March, the social condition of the ‘untouchables’ and women in India, English fabrics, and global opinion. In small part (translated):

Why did he choose his choice of Ahimsa (non-violence)? It is because he took as his starting point, not an abstract idea, but a present reality, India with its diverse peoples, its religious beliefs, its social traditions, India with its virtues and with its faults…He is still an active and a realist. inspires, it is on reality that it is based…The result? No one would dare to predict its importance…The logical solution of the Indian problem—as of all colonial problems—should undoubtedly be sought in a formula of political and economic association.

India reports record daily new coronavirus cases of 66,999 in latest update today

  
  Analysis
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That brings the total confirmed cases in the country to nearly 2.4 million

India is among the countries that have been hit the hardest by the pandemic as the struggle to balance between the health crisis and the economic fallout is particularly stark.

As for the health crisis, the bright side is that over 1.6 million of those infected has recovered from the disease. However, the spread is still outpacing the number of recoveries:
India
At the start of July, India reported ~220,000 active cases in the country. That figure is now ~643,000. The only positive – if you really want to look at it that way – is that the mortality sits at just ~1.9%. That is better than the ~3.2% seen in Brazil and the US.
In the bigger picture, as long as the health crisis worsens in India, it will have an impact on the global economic situation in general. Before the pandemic, there have been talks that India’s share of global growth might rival that of US, China in the next decade.
They were already among the top five – some would argue top three – contributors of global growth over the past few years, so any major setback to India will also be a setback for the global economy in that sense.

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