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Apple says it doesn’t expect to meet revenue guidance this quarter- Full Report

  
  Analysis
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Apple issues update

Apple says they now expect a slower return to normal conditions in China with demand curbed within the country.
Here is the statement:
Our quarterly guidance issued on January 28, 2020 reflected the best information available at the time as well as our best estimates about the pace of return to work following the end of the extended Chinese New Year holiday on February 10. Work is starting to resume around the country, but we are experiencing a slower return to normal conditions than we had anticipated. As a result, we do not expect to meet the revenue guidance we provided for the March quarter due to two main factors.
The first is that worldwide iPhone supply will be temporarily constrained. While our iPhone manufacturing partner sites are located outside the Hubei province – and while all of these facilities have reopened – they are ramping up more slowly than we had anticipated. The health and well-being of every person who helps make these products possible is our paramount priority, and we are working in close consultation with our suppliers and public health experts as this ramp continues. These iPhone supply shortages will temporarily affect revenues worldwide.
The second is that demand for our products within China has been affected. All of our stores in China and many of our partner stores have been closed. Additionally, stores that are open have been operating at reduced hours and with very low customer traffic. We are gradually reopening our retail stores and will continue to do so as steadily and safely as we can. Our corporate offices and contact centers in China are open, and our online stores have remained open throughout.
Outside of China, customer demand across our product and service categories has been strong to date and in line with our expectations.The situation is evolving, and we will provide more information during our next earnings call in April. Apple is fundamentally strong, and this disruption to our business is only temporary.
Our first priority – now and always – is the health and safety of our employees, supply chain partners, customers and the communities in which we operate. Our profound gratitude is with those on the front lines of confronting this public health emergency.
How can three things all be your ‘first priority’? Judging by all the Foxcon reports, it’s tough to make the argument that health and safety is exactly the priority.

Apple on the cover of Economist

  
Analysis, Education, Life
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Individual companies seldom make it to the cover of Economist. When they do, it might be  a kiss of death. You can not go by cover alone , but something to keep an eye on. Jobs was also named CEO of the Decade by Fortune recently. As they say when CEO is on cover, it might be a top.

The 10 Best things Steve Jobs Ever Said

  
Education, Life
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How did one of the greatest entrepreneurs of the last 50 years think? How did he create one of the most successful companies of all time? Here are ten of the best things that he ever said . I believe they give us clues at identifying the next company that could have their stock become the monster stock of this decade.  As you read through these quotes does it make any other company come to mind besides Apple?

Steve Jobs Quotes:

“We’re gambling on our vision, and we would rather do that than make “me too” products. Let some other companies do that. For us, it’s always the next dream.” Interview about the release of the Macintosh (24 January 1984)

“Do you want to spend the rest of your life selling sugared water or do you want a chance to change the world? ” A comment he made in persuading John Sculley to become Apple’s CEO.

“You‘ve got to start with the customer experience and work back toward the technology – not the other way around.” May 1997, World Wide Developers Conference

“Being the richest man in the cemetery doesn’t matter to me … Going to bed at night saying we’ve done something wonderful… that’s what matters to me.”

“That’s been one of my mantras — focus and simplicity. Simple can be harder than complex: You have to work hard to get your thinking clean to make it simple. But it’s worth it in the end because once you get there, you can move mountains.” –BusinessWeek Interview May 1998

“It’s really hard to design products by focus groups. A lot of times, people don’t know what they want until you show it to them.” –BusinessWeek Interview May 1998

“Innovation distinguishes between a leader and a follower.”

“Quality is more important than quantity. One home run is much better than two doubles.”

“You can’t just ask customers what they want and then try to give that to them. By the time you get it built, they’ll want something new.” Inc Magazine

“Stay Hungry. Stay Foolish.”

You might be a bad trader if……….

  
  Education
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There are young people in the market that are really bad traders and there is also old traders that are very good, but there are no old bad traders in the market because they went broke and gave up a long time ago.

You might be a bad trader if……….

…your primary method is to try to call tops and pick bottoms.

“Don’t try to buy at the bottom and sell at the top. It can’t be done except by liars.”  -Bernard Baruch

 You might be a bad trader if……….

…instead of benefiting from the 200 point run in Apple this year you actually lost money by fighting the trend.

“Cardinal Rule #1 is to sell short only during what you believe is a developing bear market, not a bull market.” -William O’Neil (more…)

The Innovation Secrets of Steve Jobs

  
Analysis, Education, Life, LINKS
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No one can deny that Steve Jobs is very successful and runs a very successful company. As head of Apple (AAPL), he has provided numerous direct and indirect jobs (have you seen how many iPhone apps there are now?) and dozens of very, very popular and useful products.

The book The Innovation Secrets of Steve Jobs: Insanely Different Principles for Breakthrough Success by Carmine Gallo, presents a very clear road map to follow in Jobs’ footsteps, showing how to be truly successful in your occupation. Look at a few of the principles covered in the book:

Put a Dent in the Universe
Kick-Start Your Brain
Sell Dreams, Not Products
Say No to 1,000 Things

This book is especially useful to the self-employed, showing how to be more creative, have more effective work strategies, and become more successful.

The author had previously written the best-selling book The Presentation Secrets of Steve Jobs: How to Be Insanely Great in Front of Any Audience. He writes in a clear and concise manner with plenty of supporting anecdotes.

If you are looking for a good read that can help you achieve the success you want and deserve, get The Innovation Secrets of Steve Jobs. You won’t be disappointed.

Risk Management for Traders

  
  Education
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RISK-MANAGEMENT

  • Your first loss is the best loss.
  • Let winning positions run and cut losing positions short. The market is always right.
  • I finally understand why Kirk always says risk management is the most important thing.
  • Always know your exit. Before any trade is made, you must always identify your stop beforehand and then follow it without hesitation if it triggers.
  • Patterns and trends matter more than I thought…paying attention to them can provide better entry/exit points.
  • Patterns and measured moves are key but you have to wait until a pattern is triggered and the trigger holds.
  • Being patient and waiting for confirmation instead of trying to anticipate market movements.
  • Risk is greatest when everyone who wants to buy has already done so – Apple is the latest example!
  • Position sizing is my first and last line of defense.
  • Leverage is for losers.
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