Once U Understand These Two Charts -U will become Great Trader
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rssAnticipation ,Action & Reinforcement
The ANTICIPATION Phase: this is where all the left hand chart reading takes place in preparation for the right hand chart battle. It’s the PROCESS that precedes the ACTION to put on a trade. A technical trader anticipates that a past price pattern will repeat again, so he identifies the pattern, locates a current one and determines a suitable match is present. Technical analysis is nothing more than finding previous price patterns matched with current market conditions. Traders anticipate such repetitive behavior based on human nature and seek to take advantage of it.
The ACTION phase involves hitting the BUY key based on the previous ANTICIPATION process. Since no one can tell the future or what the right hand side of the chart will reveal, the ACTION is based on the confidence that the trader will do what is right once a trade is put on, which is to exit gracefully at a pre-determined loss line or exit humbly at a pre-determined profit target (P2), fully accepting either/or, or an OUTCOME between one or the other, depending on current market conditions.
The REINFORCEMENT phase occurs after the trade is closed. Whether or not the trade is a win, lose, or draw, the self-talk immediately following trade closure is vitally important for the next trade, and even the next series of trades, as future trades can be negatively or positively affected by building pathways to future success. These pathways are neurologically based and can make or break a successful trading career. While it is important to ANTICIPATE right side chart OUTCOMES, what is more important is DEVELOPING right side brain reinforcement.
Twelve Months -12 Rules
1. BE STRONG. have the courage to say “no”, separate yourself from somebody who doesn’t bring out the best of you, put yourself up when your world seems to be falling apart.
2. BE PATIENT WITH YOURSELF. don’t give up when something is being hard to you, don’t think you can’t do anything because it’s hard. work until you can do that because you can. don’t forget: “it never gets easier, you just get better”.
3. DON’T LET ANYBODY BRING YOU DOWN. don’t let what the others say about you, bring you down. be self-aware. your value and what you really are, aren’t defined by others.
4. SUPPORT THE OTHER PEOPLE. give them the strenght they need to believe in themselves, tell them they look flawless, tell them how much you love their personality.
5. DON’T LET ANYBODY DOWN. don’t tell him/her you don’t like his/her clothes because they like and you have nothing to do with that, don’t comment about the pimple he/she has on his/her forehead, don’t tell he/she should or shouldn’t wear makeup, don’t tell them their dreams are too high, don’t tell them they can’t do something.
6. WORK/STUDY HARD AND THE GOOD RESULTS WILL COME.
7. RELAX. you can’t do a good work when you’re stressed or tired. you can take 20 minutes or a day to rest.
8. CELEBRATE EVERY TINY VICTORY.
9. DON’T BE SHY. go to a concert and scream 374718 times that you love the artists, tell that boy/girl that his/her eyes look like stars, sing and dance when your jam comes up when you’re in the grocery store, tell your teacher that you like the way he/she is doing his/her work.
10. BE GENEROUS TO OTHER PEOPLE. help them when they’re in trouble without expect nothing in return – but, believe me, they will help you when you need.
11. BE YOUR OWN BESTFRIEND. take a relaxing bath when you’re stressed, tell yourself you look beautiful today, give yourself advices.
12. FIGHT FOR YOUR DREAMS. don’t think you’re not good enough and the others are way better than you. dreams don’t work unless you do. don’t try to be the best in the world from one day to another but try to be better than yesterday. your dreams will come true if you fight for them. it’s worth it.
Market Rules to Remember
1) Markets tend to return to the mean over time.
2) Excesses in one direction will lead to an opposite excess in the other direction.
3) There are no new eras — excesses are never permanent.
4) Exponential rapidly rising or falling markets usually go further than you think, but they do not correct by going sideways.
5) The public buys the most at the top and the least at the bottom.
6) Fear and greed are stronger than long-term resolve.
7) Markets are strongest when they are broad and weakest when they narrow to a handful of blue chip names.
8) Bear markets have three stages — sharp down, reflexive rebound, and a drawn-out fundamental downtrend.
9) When all the experts and forecasts agree — something else is going to happen.
10) Bull markets are more fun than bear markets.
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The 7-Trading Rules
Here are the rules – they are not unique or new. They are time tested and successful investor approved. Like Mom’s chicken soup for a cold – the rules are the rules. If you follow them you succeed – if you don’t, you don’t.
1) Sell Losers Short: Let Winners Run:
It seems like a simple thing to do but when it comes down to it the average investor sells their winners and keeps their losers hoping they will come back to even.
2) Buy Cheap And Sell Expensive:
You haggle, negotiate and shop extensively for the best deals on cars and flat screen televisions. However, you will pay any price for a stock because someone on television told you too. Insist on making investments when you are getting a “good deal” on it. If it isn’t – it isn’t, don’t try and come up with an excuse to justify overpaying for an investment. In the long run – overpaying will end in misery.
3) This Time Is Never Different:
As much as our emotions and psychological makeup want to always hope and pray for the best – this time is never different than the past. History may not repeat exactly but it surely rhymes awfully well.
4) Be Patient:
As with item number 2; there is never a rush to make an investment and there is NOTHING WRONG with sitting on cash until a good deal, a real bargain, comes along. Being patient is not only a virtue – it is a good way to keep yourself out of trouble.
5) Turn Off The Television:
Any good investment is NEVER dictated by day to day movements of the market which is merely nothing more than noise. If you have done your homework, made a good investment at a good price and have confirmed your analysis to correct – then the day to day market actions will have little, if any, bearing on the longer-term success of your investment. The only thing you achieve by watching the television from one minute to the next is increasing your blood pressure.
6) Risk Is Not Equal To Your Return:
Taking RISK in an investment or strategy is not equivalent to how much money you will make. It only relates to the permanent loss of capital that will be incurred when you are wrong. Invest conservatively and grow your money over time with the LEAST amount of risk possible.
7) Go Against The Herd:
The populous is generally right in the middle of a move up in the markets but they are seldom right at major turning points. When everyone agrees on the direction of the market due to any given set of reasons – generally something else happens. However, this also cedes to points 2) and 4); in order to buy something cheap or sell something at the best price – you are generally buying when everyone is selling and selling when everyone else is buying.
These are the rules. They are simple and impossible to follow for most. However, if you can incorporate them you will succeed in your investment goals in the long run. You most likely WILL NOT outperform the markets on the way up but you will not lose as much on the way down. This is important because it is much easier to replace a lost opportunity in investing – it is impossible to replace lost capital.
As an investor, it is simply your job to step away from your “emotions” for a moment and look objectively at the market around you. Is it currently dominated by “greed” or “fear?” Your long-term returns will depend greatly not only on how you answer that question, but how you manage the inherent risk.
“The investor’s chief problem – and even his worst enemy – is likely to be himself.” – Benjamin Graham