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6 Ways to Separate Lies From Statistics

1. Focus on how robust a finding is, meaning that different ways of looking at the evidence point to the same conclusion. Do the same patterns repeat in many data sets, in different countries, industries or eras?

2. Results that are Statistically Significant means it’s unlikely findings simply reflect chance. Don’t confuse this with something actually mattering.

3. Be wary of scholars using high-powered statistical techniques as a bludgeon to silence critics who are not specialists.

4. Don’t fall into the trap of thinking about an empirical finding as “right” or “wrong.”

5. Don’t mistake correlation for causation.

6. Always ask “so what?” The “so what” question is about moving beyond the internal validity of a finding to asking about its external usefulness.

Eight Cognitive Biases That Affect Trading

8

  1. Loss Aversion – The tendency for people to have a strong preference for avoiding loses over acquiring gains.
  2. Sunk Costs Effect – The tendency to treat money that already has been committed or spent as more valuable than money that may be spent in the future. (more…)

Confidence-No Ego

 Confidence: There is nothing worse than seeing a great opportunity but not having the courage to “pull the trigger” and execute the trade. Freezing up due to fear does NOT happen to great traders. These thoughts don’t even enter their mind because they are confident in their plan. They know wht they will do if the trade goes their way, and perhaps more importantly, they know what to do if it goes against them. Confidence cannot be taught. It comes from making decisions, taking action, and learning from experience.

 No ego:  Successful traders may have big personalities, but they separate their ego from their trading. They might have serious conviction behind their positions, but when the market proves them wrong, they don’t argue with it. They simply move on and accept it.

Links For Traders

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Learn from your mistakes

“The single most important advice I can give anybody is: Learn from your mistakes. That is the only way to become a successful trader.”

David Ryan

Make it a habit to review all your trades once a month. Notice where you entered and ask yourself why did you initiated such a position. What was the underlying reason behind your move. Was it pure emotional reaction or strictly following a plan. What were your exit rules and how well did they help you to preserve capital and maximize profits. No other exersize will teach you more about your weaknesses and strengths.

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