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12 Things I’ve Learned from Steve Jobs about Business

1. “The difference between the best worker on computer hardware and the average may be 2 to 1, if you’re lucky. With automobiles, maybe 2 to 1. But in software, it’s at least 25 to 1. The difference between the average programmer and a great one is at least that. The secret of my success is that we have gone to exceptional lengths to hire the best people in the world. And when you’re in a field where the dynamic range is 25 to 1, boy, does it pay off.” [1995]

“The problem is, in hardware you can’t build a computer that’s twice as good as anyone else’s anymore. Too many people know how to do it. You’re lucky if you can do one that’s one and a third times better, or one and a half times better… Then it’s only six months before everybody else catches up. But you can do it in software. As a matter of fact, I think that the leap that we’ve made is at least five years ahead of anybody.” [1994] This phenomena described by Steve Jobs, when combined with supply-side economies-of-scale and demand-side economies-of-scale, creates a lollapalooza. The existence of lollapaloozas in an environment where scaling happens digitally over networks means that digital businesses are nonlinear in terms of its outcomes. This point is so fundamental to any digital business today that the Jobs quotes above must come first in my list. Once the offering of a business is digital, even small advantages tend to lead to a “few winners-take-most-all” result.

The power law distributions that exist in business flow from this “few winners-take-most-all” phenomenon. The great wealth of a tiny number of technology business founders is one outcome of this phenomenon. As another example, both (1) the power law distribution inside a venture capital firm’s portfolio and (2) the power law distribution of financial returns between venture capitalists, are driven by digital businesses being part ofExtremistan. That financial outcomes tend to produce an unequal distribution of income is not a new phenomenon. The rich get richer phenomenon is at least as old recorded history. What is new is that digital systems are an accelerant of the Matthew effect (rich get richer) phenomenon. (more…)

A Good Trade -One Liner

  • A good trade is based on your trading plan; a bad trade is based on emotions and beliefs.
  • A good trade is based on your own personal edge; a bad trade is based on your opinion.
    • “A trader should have no opinion.  The stronger your opinion, the harder it is to get out of a losing position.”  -Paul Rotter
  • A good trade is made using your own time frame; a bad trade changes timeframe due to a loss.
  • A good trade is made in reaction to current price reality; a bad trade is made based on personal judgment.
    • Your plans can make you money because you’re not trying go predict what will happen; you’re adjusting in real time to what is happening.
    • Always trade in the direction of the longer-term trend of your time frame where the easiest money is located.
  • A good trade is made after identifying and trading with the trend; a bad trade fights the trend.
    • “The answer to the question, ‘What’s the trend?’ is the question, ‘What’s your timeframe?”  -Richard Weissman
  • A good trade is made using the trading vehicles you are an expert in; a bad trade is when you trade unfamiliar markets.
    • In the markets you will see that money flows from those who have not done their homework to those who have”

Psychopaths

Every once in awhile the wrong person ends up working at a Wall Street firm and lives to tell their story upon exiting.

Ben Younger, the auteur behind the 2000 film ‘Boiler Room’ had, in fact, trained at one – the film is more autobiographical than you might have thought. he was an outsider and it didn’t take him long to realize what was going on around him. My own experiences have been chronicled here and in my book – it had taken me too long to realize that I couldn’t be a “good broker” no matter how hard I tried because the entire business model is set up to reward conflicted action and avarice – he with the least scruples and fear of regulators wins.

This weekend we hear from former Lehman Brothers trader Nicholas Chirls. Nichols worked at the epicenter of credit bubble psychosis in the 2007-2008 period and was every bit as out of place as I was, mainly owing to his possession of a soul and priorities other than compensation… (more…)

Trading Emotions


Confidence Without confidence it is not possible to achieve much in other streams of life. In the equity markets, it is doubly true. If you lack in self-confidence, doubts may creep up in your mind. This may lead to indecision, which in turn lead to missed opportunities and losses. For day-trading and short interval trades, confidence is of utmost importance.On the other hand, on down days be careful. In many instances, you may be tempted to book small profits just to make your day balance sheet look pretty. This is not the issue. When you are faced with loss-making trades sooner or later, that same daily balance sheet will not look pretty at all.Never be far away from the correct principles of trading no matter what your mind is tempted to think. It is just too painful to reinvent the wheel.
Discipline
In order to be a successful investor/trader, you must be very disciplined. Stick to the plan of action. This means that you will stick to trading policies, trading plans and so on. Know your objective and work accordingly.
Ideas
Do not seek to implement new ideas that come all the time during markets. Remember, ideas are just ideas. If you feel there is value in them, they have to be thought about, refined, tested and then brought to the trading room. If you try to implement new ideas immediately to trading all you will do is to erode capital and confidence.
Hope
Do not allow hope to loiter anywhere close to your trading system. Hope has the potential to do maximum damage to your capital.

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