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Archives of “stop loss” tag
rss10 Foolish Things a Trader are Doing
- Try to predict the future movement of a stock, and stay in it no matter what.
- Risk your entire account on one trade with no stop loss plan.
- Have a winning trade but no exit strategy to get out, no trailing stop or exhaustion top signal.
- Ask for and follow the advice of others instead of trading with your own trading plan, method, rules, and system.
- Trade your emotions instead of signals: buy when you are greedy and sell when you are afraid.
- Trade your opinions, not a quantified method.
- Do not bother to do your homework on trading, just jump in and trade, you are smart, you will figure it out.
- Short the best and most expensive stocks in the stock market and buy the cheapest junk stocks.
- Put on trades you are 100% sure are winners so you do not even need a stop loss or risk management.
- Buy more of a trade that you are losing money in and sell your winners quickly to lock in small profits.
Weakest Part of Trading
The weakest part of any trading method is the trader themselves. There are many, many, robust trading systems and methods that do make money in the long term. The problem is the trader having the discipline and mental toughness to trade one of them consistently. The vast majority of time it is not a system failure but traders that fail in this game through one of seven common errors. If you can understand these error and overcome them you could make a lot of money in the right market conditions.
- The trader must have the discipline to take the system’s entries and exits.
- The trader must have the discipline to take the stop loss on a losing trade when it is hit and not keep holding and start hoping.
- No matter the method the trader has to manage risk through proper position sizing, getting greedy and trading too big will blow up even the best systems.
- It is the trader that must have the perseverance to stick to the method even during losing periods, and also stick with trading until success is reached.
- If a trader can not manage their mind then the stress will break them, I have seen this happen many times. If you can’t handle losing you can’t trade.
- The trader must find a robust method, must understand why it has an edge, and must believe in their methodology.
- The trader has to know themselves and trade the method that fits their risk tolerance levels and own psychology.
The good news is that if none of these error fit you when you lose money in a trade then the market was just not conducive to your methodology, and it is not your fault so don’t dwell on it.
Mastering Reward/Risk
Most traders ignore reward/risk ratios, hoping that luck will save them when things start to go bad.
This is probably the main reason so many of them are destined to fail. It’s really dumb when you think about it, because reward/risk is the easiest way to get a definable edge on the market house.
The reward/risk equation builds a safety net around your open positions. It’s designed to tell you how much can be won, or lost, on each trade you take. The secondary purpose is to remove emotion so you can focus squarely on the cold, hard numbers.
Let’s look at 15 ways that reward/risk will improve your trading performance.
1. Every setup carries a directional probability that reflects a specific pattern. Always execute positions in the highest-odds direction. Exit your trades when a price fails to respond according to your expectations.
2. Every setup has a price level that violates the pattern. Only take trades where price needs to move a short distance to hit this “risk target.” Look the other way and find the “reward target” at the next support or resistance level. Trade positions with the highest reward target to risk target ratios. (more…)
10 Foolish Things a Trader Can Do
01. Try to predict the future movement of a stock, and stay in it no matter what.
02. Risk your entire account on one trade with no stop loss plan.
03. Have a winning trade but no exit strategy to get out, no trailing stop or exhaustion top signal.
04. Ask for and follow the advice of others instead of trading with your own trading plan, method, rules, and system.
05. Trade your emotions instead of signals: buy when you are greedy and sell when you are afraid.
06. Trade your opinions, not a quantified method. (more…)
A Bird’s Eye View of Yourself
When did position management enter my consciousness? I think it stems from experiences that gave me an appreciation for the psychology behind our behavior. Sure, I had read the classic from Edwin Lefevre, and believed in William O’Neil stop-loss rules. The image that still sticks with me comes from a tiny book I read in 1994 that doesn’t get the pub it deserves.
In his tiny 1930 classic, Fred Kelly gives the example of the farmer who had 12 chickens in a cage, and one slipped out. So he propped open the door and set food out in an attempt to lure the chicken back. Of course, 2 more chickens now escaped. Surely, he can’t accept having only 9 chickens when he just had 11. His repeated efforts to get back to “breakeven” left him panicking to salvage 2 at the end…sound familiar with anyone’s early trading efforts?
The lessons stayed personal until managing an order desk stamped those lessons as universal. Seeing these episodes play out over and over among traders led to a true appreciation of the human wiring that wreaks havoc with our trading. These observations led me in the late 90′s to step outside of myself on every trade and ask if I was that person. Am I holding a short against a wave of strength that will sweep me away tomorrow anyway? If so, why not cover now instead of panicking with my fellow (wrong) shorts later? It was in those moments that I realized the power of anticipating group emotions. I already had a respect for taking losses, but I gradually moved from exiting in panic, to exiting in fear, to exiting when the slightest bit of hope creeped in.
Remember this…if you’re hoping a position bounces back to being a winner, you’re not alone at that moment. Hope is said to be a good companion, but a poor guide. Turn that on its head by realizing that you have a chance to act in defense of your equity by taking your loss before the other “hopers” are forced by emotions to act. Sure, you’re putting yourself in a position of huge regret if the position then recovers, but you’re also preventing the possibility of acting in a panicked state later. Stops can be great teachers…if you find yourself repeatedly getting stopped out just before your idea gets recognized, then you need wider stops. Been there…I now operate with smaller positions and wider stops, giving myself room to be right but not putting my equity at undue risk.
If the image of the farmer doesn’t do it for you, consider 2 traders, Roger and Andy. Both are caught in a bad situation, hoping for the best. Andy decides to come clean and admit his mistake. Roger decides to dig in and show he’s right. Bad idea. A small lie today will be a bigger lie tomorrow…rip the band aid now. Any idea who played that trade right?
It’s OK to be wrong, not OK to stay wrong…that’s the difference between champ and chump. The longer we stay in a trading range, the more explosive the resulting trend will be, and there will be no place for hope. Be ready to trade today’s ego hit for a chance to play again tomorrow, and you give yourself a chance to replace any negative episode with your best one yet.
5 Ways to Reduce Your Losses When Trading
Trading is an evolutionary process. Nobody can wake up being a Master Trader. Unfortunately there is no book or magic trick that can turn you into the highly profitable trader . Although the belief and the hope to obtain those skills instantly is still in place.
The statistics say that only the ones with the self-dedication and discipline succeed in this business.
The most common mistakes leading to losses:
-Trading against the market;
-No trade potential;
-No serious buyers or sellers in the stock;
-Wide stop-loss;
-Fear of loss.
Traders should stay calm during the trading, this helps to observe and analyze the situation on the market much better, see some small details and make a competent decision.
Panic, stress or fear, always lead to mistakes.
One of the serious problems in trading is rush and mania to be present on the market all the times, opening positions when there is no potential for a trade or where the market is either flat or going the other direction.
Tips to resolve the mistakes:
1. Always look at the market. If there is no clear picture of the market’s behavior, don’t risk your money.
2. Always look at a trade potential.
3. Always look either at the Open Book or Market Maker window and Tape.
4. Always know where you are going to place you stop-loss order.
5. If you’re just not sure, or if the situation is uncertain, don’t enter the trade.
Following these tips requires some work and changes to our habits. It is not easy at all! We always hear sayings that the trader should be disciplined. What it actually means is changing your old habits and training yourself to have new ones. It is not comfortable, but it brings positive results, which will be noticeable on your month-end P/L report.
James P. Arthur Huprich's Market Trusms And Axioms
1. Commandment #1: “Thou Shall Not Trade Against the Trend.”
2. Portfolios heavy with underperforming stocks rarely outperform the stock market!
3. There is nothing new on Wall Street. There can’t be because speculation is as old as the hills. Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again, mostly due to human nature.
4. Sell when you can, not when you have to.
5. Bulls make money, bears make money, and “pigs” get slaughtered.
6. We can’t control the stock market. The very best we can do is to try to understand what the stock market is trying to tell us.
7. Understanding mass psychology is just as important as understanding fundamentals and economics.
8. Learn to take losses quickly, don’t expect to be right all the time, and learn from your mistakes.
9. Don’t think you can consistently buy at the bottom or sell at the top. This can rarely be consistently done.
10. When trading, remain objective. Don’t have a preconceived idea or prejudice. Said another way, “the great names in Trading all have the same trait: An ability to shift on a dime when the shifting time comes.”
11. Any dead fish can go with the flow. Yet, it takes a strong fish to swim against the flow. In other words, what seems “hard” at the time is usually, over time, right.
12. Even the best looking chart can fall apart for no apparent reason. Thus, never fall in love with a position but instead remain vigilant in managing risk and expectations. Use volume as a confirming guidepost.
13. When trading, if a stock doesn’t perform as expected within a short time period, either close it out or tighten your stop-loss point.
14. As long as a stock is acting right and the market is “in-gear,” don’t be in a hurry to take a profit on the whole positions. Scale out instead.
15. Never let a profitable trade turn into a loss, and never let an initial trading position turn into a long-term one because it is at a loss. (more…)
Trading With A Plan
A planned trade is one that is guided consciously, filtered according to a variety of criteria that are designed to provide a positive expectancy. The opposite of a planned trade is an impulsive one, in which traders enter markets before explicitly identifying what they are doing and why. The difference between planned and unplanned trading is one of intentionality: being proactive in taking controlled risks vs. being reactive to what has already occurred in markets. Even the most intuitive and active trader can trade in a planned manner, if many of the elements of planning are achieved prior to entering positions.
So what are these elements of planning? The ideal trade identifies:
1) What you’re trading – Why are you selecting one instrument to trade (one stock, one index) versus others? Which instruments maximize reward relative to risk?
2) How much you’re trading – How much of your capital are you going to allocate to the trade idea versus other ideas?
3) Why you’re trading – What is the rationale for the trade? Why does the trade idea provide you with an “edge”?
4) What will take you out of the trade – What would lead you to determine that your trade idea is wrong? What would tell you that the trade has reached its profit potential?
5) Where you will enter the trade – Given the criteria that would take you out of the trade, where will you execute your idea to maximize the reward you’ll obtain relative to the risk you’ll be taking?
6) How you will manage the trade – What would have to happen to convince you to add to the trade, scale out of it, and/or tighten your stop loss? (more…)
Don't Let Negative Emotions Control You
Successful traders do not allow negative emotions to affect their decision-making. Trading is a stressful process, and you will experience many setbacks. Expect them, however, and don’t see losses as indications that you will never succeed. Instead, be prepared to identify your negative reactions and act on them in positive ways.
Successful traders turn fear into gain. They realize that losses are a part of their business, and they expect them. But while they know that some trades will cost them money, they let those same trades become a gain in knowledge. Remember that each time you have a loss, this gives you some guidelines on how to alter your strategy. Perhaps your stop loss needs to be set higher, perhaps you need to alter how you identify trends, or perhaps you need to use new indicators.
The key point is to remember to turn fear of loss into anticipation of learning. Otherwise, your fear can cause you to forget to ask why that trade was unsuccessful and, in the worst cases, to unwisely overtrade to try to compensate for your loss.
Along similar lines, successful traders do not blame anyone or anything for their losses. They accept their setbacks and refuse to dwell on them. Instead, they learn from their mistakes and move on with their trading. Focusing on blame can cause you to feel insecure and lead you to make unwise trades to compensate for your losses. Or you may feel a desire for revenge against some non-existent enemy that “caused” your loss. Both of these emotions will distract you from your real goal of understanding how to revise your strategy based on what you learned from this trade.