Archives of “risk” tag

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How do *your* coping efforts work for you?

  
  Education
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Take a look at how well you trade after a position has gone against you. Do you trade better after a drawdown or worse?

How about after you have a few winning trades, days, or weeks in a row? Do you trade better or worse? Breaking down your performance as a function of recent performance will tell you a great deal about how effective you are in coping with risk and reward.

The other excellent indicator of whether your coping is working for you is your emotional experience during trading. If you find that anxiety, overconfidence, frustration, and stress are pushing you into poor decisions, you know that you’re not coping well with the uncertainties of markets.

Finally, it is helpful to identify the sequences of coping behaviors that you utilize when you’re making good decisions and the sequences when you’re trading poorly. Knowing how your individual coping responses come together to form coping strategies can help you cultivate your coping strengths.

Tracking how you deal with challenges when you are at your most effective enables you to create a mental model of that coping that you can call upon during periods of high stress. We cannot avoid the stresses of trading, but those do not have to generate distress and biased decisions.

The story of 2 monks and the power of letting go

  
  Education
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I believed you have heard of many versions of the story about 2 monks. No? Let me refresh your memory, and explain to you how it is applicable to trading.

There were two Buddhist monks walking along the bank of a river, making their way to back to the temple.

As they were walking, they came across a beautiful lady standing at the side of the river. She stopped them and asked if one of them is willing to help her across the river. The junior monk did not bulge but the senior monk without any doubt, carried her on his back and across the river. The senior monk put her down on the other side and she thanked him profusely and hurried off. The junior monk was taken aback by the gesture but kept to himself. The senior monk returned and they carried on with the journey.

As they walked, the junior monk kept brooding about the incident until it was unbearable and broke the silence, “why did you carry that woman across the river? Knowing that our religion forbid us to touch women!”

The senior monk replied peacefully, “I put her down a moment ago and you are still carrying her.” (more…)

Crawl, Walk, Run

  
  Education
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Do everything you can to survive your learning curve and to ensure that you can support yourself financially (and emotionally) through your learning curve. Trade in simulation mode before you put money at risk, trade one lots before you trade larger size. Make your mistakes when your exposure is lowest. If you can break even after trading costs/expenses, you’re doing very well. Don’t push the curve or you’ll find yourself deep in a hole.

Two Trading Plan for Traders

  
  Education
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The Trading Plan comes first and should account for the following parameters:

1.  Entering a trade.

2.  Exiting a trade.

3.  Stop Placement.

4.  Position Sizing.

5.  Money Management.

6.  What to Trade.

7.  Trading Time Frames.

8.  Back Testing.

9.  Performance Review.

10.  Risk vs. Reward.

The Game Plan consists of putting the parameters of the Trading Plan to work in day to day trading with the following benefits:

1.  It will force the trader to select a trading style.

2.  It will encourage market study.

3.  It will aide in helping pick the correct trades.

4.  It will prepare the trader for what the market has to offer.

5.  It will help in properly monitoring and exiting trades.

6.  It will keep the trader from overtrading.

7.  It will help with finances.

8.  It will keep the trader focused.

9.  It will take the gambling out of trading.

10.  It will make a better trader out of you.

Trading Thought

  
  Education
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Know what your tolerance for risk is.Traders who are able to make smart decisions can beat the market. However, the greatest hurdle to doing so is overcoming the emotional traps that cause traders to make bad decisions.The reason we succumb to our emotions is because we are afraid of losing. It is the risk we take that creates emotion; take too much risk and you are likely to make bad decisions.Therefore, you need to know what your limits are. What dollar amount of risk causes you anxiety? If you can not make a trade with out fear then you are taking too much risk. For some, that means never trading since they simply can not handle the risk of financial loss. However, over time and with success you will begin to build up your tolerance for risk, just take it one step at a time.

Mark Douglas :Quotes

  
  Education
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page 121

1) Anything can happen

2) You don’t need to know what is going to happen next in order to make money.

3) There is a random distribution between the wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge.

4) An edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing happining over another.

5) Every moment in the market is unique.

Page 185

I AM A CONSISTENT WINNER BECAUSE:

1) I objectively indentify my edges.

2) I predefine the risk of every trade.

3) I completely accept the risk or I am willing to let go of the trade.

4) I act on my edges without reservation or hesitation.

5) I pay myself as the market makes money available to me.

6) I continually monitor my susceptibility for making errors.

7) I understand the absolute necessity of these principles of consistent success and, therefore, I never violate them.

Trading Rules: Strategies For Success

  
  Education
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tradingrulesforsuccess
1. Divide your trading capital into ten equal risk segments
2. Use a two-step order process
3. Don’t overtrade
4. Never let a profit turn into a loss
5. Trade with the trend
6. If you don’t know what’s going on, don’t do anything
7. Tips don’t make you any money
8. Use the right order to get into the markets
9. Don’t be whimsical about closing out your trades
10. Withdraw a portion of your profits
11. Don’t buy a stock only to obtain a dividend
12. Don’t average your losses
13. Take big profits and small losses
14. Go for the long pull as an outside speculator
15. Sell shorts as often as you go long
16. Don’t buy something because it is low priced
17. Pyramid correctly, if at all
18. Decrease your trading after a series of successes
19. Don’t formulate new opinions during market hours
20. Don’t follow the crowd – they are usually wrong
21. Don’t watch or trade too many markets at once
22. Buy the rumor, sell the fact
23. Take windfall profits when you get them
24. Keep charts current
25. Preserve your capital
26. Nothing new ever occurs in the markets
27. Money cannot be made every day from the markets
28. Back your opinions with cash when they are confirmed by market action
29. Markets are never wrong, opinions often are
30. A good trade is profitable right from the start
31. As long as a market is acting right, don’t rush to take profits
32. Never permit speculative ventures to turn into investments
33. Don’t try to predetermine your profits
34. Never buy a stock because it has a big decline from its previous high, nor sell a stock because it is high priced
35. Become a buyer as soon as a stock makes new highs after a normal reaction
36. The human side of every person is the greatest enemy to successful trading
37. Ban wishful thinking in the markets
38. Big movements take time to develop
39. Don’t be too curious about the reasons behind the moves
40. Look for reasonable profits
41. If you can’t make money trading the leading issues, you aren’t going to make it trading the overall markets
42. Leaders of today may not be the leaders of tomorrow
43. Trade the active stocks and futures
44. Avoid discretionary accounts and partnership trading accounts
45. Bear markets have no supports and bull markets have no resistance
46. The smarter you are, the longer it takes
47. It is harder to get out of a trade than to get into one
48. Don’t talk about what you’re doing in the markets
49. When time is up, markets must reverse
50. Control what you can, manage what you cannot

Larry Hite on “Being Wrong”

  
  Education
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One final important gem from Larry Hite is that being wrong is okay. He says he was never very good in school and not much of an athlete either. But he turned that to his advantage because he was able to grasp the idea that he could be wrong. In fact, it came as no surprise to him when he was wrong. Hite recalls with pride: “I’ve always built in an assumption of wrongness [in my trading]. I always ask myself: What is the worst thing that can possibly happen in this scenario? Then I use that worst-case scenario as my baseline. I always want to know what I’m risking, and how much I can lose. And sometimes, when you really look at it, there’s really not all that much risk [which is why you can get rich].”

How to Stay Objective in your Trades

  
  Education
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1. Acknowledge that you have lost objectivity. Now that you are aware of the problem, you can begin to deal with it.

2. Remove yourself from the day-to-day noise and write down what your original thesis was. Clearing off your mirrors will tell you what direction you are moving.

3. Begin to Think Backwards by creating three columns with the following headings (Support, Do Not Support, Undecided). This will force you to Objectively lay out and evaluate the situation.

4. Talk to yourself: “Based on the data points I wrote down in each column, if I did not have a position on, what would I do?” Asking yourself this question forces you re-evaluate the trade from an unbiased perspective.

5. Compare your response with your original position/thesis to create a WIN-WIN (more…)

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