Archives of “position sizing” tag

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About Winning, About Losing

  
  Education
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People lose money at the stock market for very simple reasons:

1. They don’t have a method at all. They rely on other people opinions.

2. People don’t have a winning method. The method they are trading has a negative expectancy. Being disciplined about stop losses and position sizing won’t help, if you are trading a losing method. Expectancy changes with volatility. When your method stops providing satisfying results, you either find another that is working in the current market conditions or stay on the side until things change.

3. Those who have a winning strategy often don’t use it. They get emotional and forget about their strategy.

“Good trading is 10% technology and 90% psychology. People defeat themselves. It doesn’t matter how often you repeat basic trading principles when almost no one will practice them” (Maoxian)

Everybody knows the four cardinal rules of trading, but so few people follow them — 1) Trade with the trend. 2) Cut losses short. 3) Let profits run. 4) Manage risk.

There is a big difference between knowing something and applying it. Most people don’t use what they know.

 

5 Steps for Traders

  
  Education
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  1. STAY DISCIPLINED AND ONLY TRADE YOUR METHOD. If you do not have a robust system, method, or strategy do not trade again until you have one.
  2. ONLY TAKE TRADES WITH IN THE PARAMETERS OF YOUR TRADING PLAN. Trade your plan not your emotions. If you do not have a plan that defines entries, exits, and position sizing do not trade again until you have one.
  3. YOUR FIRST LOSS IS YOUR BEST LOSS. When your planned stop is first hit just get out. In trading hoping is a very expensive emotion
  4. UNDERSTAND THE MARKET ENVIRONMENT. There are times to be short, times to be long, and times to be out. Volatility is many traders kryptonite.  If the market itself is not conducive to your strategy wait until it is.
  5. CHOOSE YOUR SPOTS CAREFULLY. Do not rush trades, wait until you get the right set up, trend, or break out you are waiting for, the market isn’t going anywhere, wait for the fat pitch.

Characteristics of Successful Trader

  
  Education
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SUCESS1From time to time I have been asked to offer my perspectives on things I have found common in successful traders. I have always struggled with my reply to that question because there are only a few traders of which I have gained enough understanding of what they do every day to achieve their results.

However, in Van Tharp’s latest book “Super Trader,” he provides 10 common characteristics frequently found among the best of the best among the hundreds of traders he’s worked with throughout his career. Like me, I think you may find it of interest!

  1. They all have a tested, positive expectancy system that’s proved to make money for the market type for which it was designed.

  2. They all have systems that fit them and their beliefs. They understand that they make money with their systems because their systems fit them.

  3. They totally understand the concepts they are trading and how those concepts generate low-risk ideas. (more…)

Trading Wisdom

  
  Education
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If we want to be successful as traders it is crucial that we have great filters. We must filter out all the noise that separates us from the actual price action. In the end it is just us versus the market. We need to seek  to learn how to trade from others and not look for trades. We have to play a lone hand because we have our own tolerance for pain, our own goals, and we should have our own trading plan with a robust methodology. Others do not know our time frame and we do not know theirs. Their position sizing may be ten times what ours is.

Before we trade we should have a watch list, a risk percent per trade, a methodology, and a trading plan. We should be running our trading like a business not a casino. Information and opinions can bias our trading. Be very careful about the information that you let into your mind. You should attempt to trade as close to your system and methodology as possible without allowing anyone’s opinions our thoughts to come between you and the charts. Actual price action is the king everyone’s opinions are just that, opinions. (more…)

Why 90% Traders fail ?

  
  Education
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90percent“Trading consists of three parts: personal psychology, money management and system development. We also agreed that trading psychology contributes about 60% to success and position sizing contributes another 30%, which leaves about 10% for system development. Furthermore, most traders ignore the first two areas and don’t really have a trading system. That’s why 90% of them fail.”

5 Qualities of the Top Super Traders

  
  Education
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1. A belief that you create your results in life.
Most people don’t understand this concept. They repeat the same mistakes over and over again because they blame their mistakes on external factors. For example, if you blame your bankruptcy in one of my marble games on the person who pulled the 5R marble against you, you are not taking responsibility for your position sizing error of risking 20% (or more!) of your equity on a single trade. Consequently, you’ll repeat this mistake over and over again and there will always be someone to blame for pulling the 5R marble against you.
Conversely, top traders are constantly determining how they produced their results and working to correct their mistakes. They create their reality.
2. The interest and desire to really understand yourself.
You cannot understand how you create your own results if you don’t know yourself intimately. I believe that most people live their lives like the automatons in the movie, The Matrix. They just do their thing, not realizing how much they have been programmed by their culture, and their family and friends rather than understanding that they always have a choice in everything.
The great traders I know continually study and challenge themselves, their thinking, their actions, and their reactions.
3. Discipline to continually work to improve yourself.
Top traders often have a passion to work on themselves. A good trader will probably complete the Peak Performance Course once or twice and internalize many aspects of it. A top trader, or a potential top trader, will go through the course many times and develop a discipline that involves spending 1-4 hours each day working on improving himself or herself. (more…)

How to Trade Through the Pain

  
  Education
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10 painful aspects of trading and what to do about them.

  1. The pain of losing money. (Trade smaller so it is not as painful, it is just an outcome not an emotion).

  2. The pain of being wrong about a trade you were sure about. (You lost simply because the market didn’t match your trade, trend followers lose money in choppy markets, swing traders lose money in trending markets, it’s the market not you. As long as you followed your own plan.)
  3. The pain of a draw down in capital.
  4. Consecutive trading losses hurt. They make you doubt yourself, your method, and your system. (You need to remember your winning trades, your winning years, or your back-testing, or paper trading of the method. You have to keep the faith or get with a method you have faith in).
  5. The embarrassment of public losses. You told everyone who would listen about a great trade you were taking and you were wrong. Social media has given us all the ability to embarrass ourselves anytime we want. (Never be overconfident in any trade, but always be sure of your stop loss.)
  6. The pain of of admitting you were wrong. (Cut your loss and move on to the next trade, trade reality not your ego.)
  7. Losing paper profits, you are up 20% on a trade then a massive whip saw takes back those profits in one move. (Take your trailing stop and move on to the next trade, there is truly no reason to cry over spilled milk.)
  8. You are following a guru and come to realize he truly is a salesman not a trader. (You stop following gurus and look to learn how to trade for yourself using a method and a trading plan).
  9. You buy a super hot stock that you have researched for many weeks then it goes down due to a bear market. (Only trade stocks long in up-trending markets)

  10. You start trading a system that did amazing in back-testing and promptly lose 10% of your account. (You have to stick with it so it can win in the long term, you may need to make slight adjustments in position sizing or stops to account for volatility that you may have missed.)

Basic principles

  
  Education
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Risk management- Plan your loss before planning your profit.

Diversification- Be bullish, be bearish, be involved in various groups/markets.

Proper Position Sizing- Trade small, trade safe.

Effective Trading Plan- Make sure your plan works, and/or makes money.

Cutting Losses Short- Enter a trade that offers a small loss.

Letting Winners Run- Don’t kill your winners.

Curbing Your Emotion- This is a bi product of trading small.

Long: My rules

Short: My emotion

Update: If you took any part of this post personal, don’t. You know I am not in the business of attacking, just trying to get a message across. If I were mad, I wouldn’t have addressed it at all.. When all else fails, “Fresh Tactics.”

Six Positive Trading Behaviors

  
  Education
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Number61) Fresh Ideas – I’ve yet to see a very successful trader utilize the common chart patterns and indicator functions on software (oscillators, trendline tools, etc.) as primary sources for trade ideas. Rather, they look at markets in fresh ways, interpreting shifts in supply and demand from the order book or from transacted volume; finding unique relationships among sectors and markets; uncovering historical trading patterns; etc. Looking at markets in creative ways helps provide them with a competitive edge.
2) Solid Execution – If they’re buying, they’re generally waiting for a pullback and taking advantage of weakness; if they’re selling, they patiently wait for a bounce to get a good price. On average, they don’t chase markets up or down, and they pick their price levels for entries and exits. They won’t lift a market offer if they feel there’s a reasonable opportunity to get filled on a bid.
3) Thoughtful Position Sizing – The successful traders aren’t trying to hit home runs, and they don’t double up after a losing period (more…)

Two Trading Plan for Traders

  
  Education
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The Trading Plan comes first and should account for the following parameters:

1.  Entering a trade.

2.  Exiting a trade.

3.  Stop Placement.

4.  Position Sizing.

5.  Money Management.

6.  What to Trade.

7.  Trading Time Frames.

8.  Back Testing.

9.  Performance Review.

10.  Risk vs. Reward.

The Game Plan consists of putting the parameters of the Trading Plan to work in day to day trading with the following benefits:

1.  It will force the trader to select a trading style.

2.  It will encourage market study.

3.  It will aide in helping pick the correct trades.

4.  It will prepare the trader for what the market has to offer.

5.  It will help in properly monitoring and exiting trades.

6.  It will keep the trader from overtrading.

7.  It will help with finances.

8.  It will keep the trader focused.

9.  It will take the gambling out of trading.

10.  It will make a better trader out of you.

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