Archives of “money” tag

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How full is your cup?

  
  Education
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I stumbled across an interesting article recently, about ‘Market Timing’.  We can all relate to spending hours on trying to pick the trough or top of a market cycle, or congratulate ourselves on getting in at the bottom and riding a sp to its peak.

This article goes on to explain that Market Timing is perhaps not that important, it all comes down to the individual’s mind-set around wealth. 

“You have probably seen this phenomenon: there are successful investors that can make money regardless of the market conditions. They make good money during good times, and they make even better money during bad times.

To these successful investors, there is one thing that is constant: they make money regardless of changes in the market. Market Timing seems to have very little effect on them.

You have probably also seen the opposite phenomenon: there are investors that would lose money even when the market was doing great. These investors lose money during good times, and lose even more money during bad times.

To these unsuccessful investors, there is one thing that is constant: they lose money regardless of changes in the market. Market Timing also seems to have very little effect on them. “

Hmm, now there’s something to think about.  Imagine having the good fortune to enter the market at ANY time and still make money. 

The author goes on to get you to think of money as water and it seems that some people have a fixed sized cup to hold money – whenever they get near the cups maximum threshold one of life’s challenges comes along to ensure their cup never overflows.

So what we NEED to do, is to consciously make an effort to increase the size of our cup (the invisible mental capacity for wealth), and then we won’t really need to worry about Market Timing at all!

Sounds like a plan to me – I’ll order a beer stein.

Where did the ‘$’ sign come from?

  
Analysis, Education
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Whilst the origins of the term ‘Dollar’ and its transformation to common usage in the US appear to follow a well laid-out path. The evolution of the $ sign itself is somewhat more uncertain. There are a number of competing theories, each of which are seemingly possible, though some with more credence than others. 
The most likely is the theory that it comes from a handwritten ‘ps’, an abbreviation used in correspondence as a plural form of ‘Peso’. Manuscripts from the late 18th and early 19th century show the ‘s’ gradually being written over the ‘p’, and the upward stroke of the ‘p’gaining dominance over the curved upper part. This eventually developed into something resembling the ‘$’ sign. (see below)
The ‘ps’ symbol first occurs in the 1770s, in manuscript documents of English-Americans who had business dealings with Spanish-Americans, and it starts to appear in print more commonly after 1800. – This does not however explain why sometimes the $ sign is drawn with 2 lines running through it.

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Basic principles for Traders

  
  Education
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Many of you spend too much time worrying about things like other peoples trading signals, what price pattern it is you are looking at, which strike price to select, how to read implied volatility, etc when you haven’t constructed the basic tenets of portfolio management or asset allocation.

Shame on you.

To your defense, I can’t make any assumptions when I have no idea what your time frame is, what your financial standing is, your risk tolerance, your investing objectives, or anything else looks like about you. What I do know is this… I don’t care who you are or what you are trying to accomplish, you will not last long in the pursuit of becoming a decent trader without creating a firm foundation of these basic principles, which are…

Risk management- Plan your loss before planning your profit.

Diversification- Be bullish, be bearish, be involved in various groups/markets.

Proper Position Sizing- Trade small, trade safe.

Effective Trading Plan- Make sure your plan works, and/or makes money.

Cutting Losses Short- Enter a trade that offers a small loss.

Letting Winners Run- Don’t kill your winners.

Curbing Your Emotion- This is a bi product of trading small.

Typical trading errors

  
  Education
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 Don’t define the risk in advance of putting on a trade.
 Define the risk, but don’t take the loss and it turns into a bigger loss. 
 Hesitate-getting in too late.
 Jump the gun-get in too soon where the signal never actually develops.
 Get out of a winning trade too soon-leave money on the table.
 Let a winning trade turn into a loser without having taken any profit.
 Move a stop closer to an entry point, get stopped out, and market trades back in your favor.

 

Master Talk Presents…William Eckhardt!

  
  Education
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“One adage that is completely wrongheaded is that you can’t go broke taking profits. That’s precisely how many traders do go broke. While amateurs go broke taking large losses, professionals go broke by taking small profits. What feels good is often the wrong thing to do. Human nature does not operate to maximize gain but rather to maximize the chance of a gain. The desire to maximize the number of winning trades (or minimize the number of losing trades) works against the trader. The success rate of trades is the least important performance statistic and may even be inversely related to performance. Two of the cardinal sins of trading – giving losses too much rope and taking profits prematurely – are both attempts to make current positions more likely to succeed, to the severe detriment of long-term performance. Don’t think about what the market’s going to do; you have absolutely no control over that.
Think about what you’re going to do if it gets there. It is a common notion that after you have profits from your original equity, you can start taking even greater risks because now you are playing with “their money”. We are sure you have heard this.
Once you have profit, you’re playing with “their money”. It’s a comforting thought. It certainly can’t be as bad to lose “their money” as “yours”? Right? Wrong. Why should it matter whom the money used to belong to? What matters is who it belongs to now and what to do about it. And in this case it all belongs to you.”

5 Major Trading Pitfalls you must avoid at all costs!

  
  Education
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5pitfallsPitfall #1. Betting the farm. Let’s be realistic. Not every trade is going to be a winner. Here is a simple rule for you to remember. Never commit more than 10% to any one position. When I was trading in the pits in Chicago I heard for the first time about the “RIOTRADE”. Simply put, you take a huge position in the market. If it works out, you are a hero. If you lose, you leave home and head for Brazil. Again, NEVER BET THE FARM ON ANY POSITION.

Pitfall #2. Planting too few seeds. This one goes hand in hand with the first pitfall. The key here is diversification and following several markets. Ken watches 30 markets and looks for profit opportunities in each one as they occur. PLANT MORE SEEDS AND YOU CAN ENJOY MORE WINNERS.

Pitfall #3. Jumping the gun. Patience, patience, patience. This is perhaps one of the toughest things for traders to remember, particularly after they have taken some good money out of the market. JUMPING INTO A MARKET BEFORE ALL INDICATORS ARE POSITIVE CAN CAUSE UNNECESSARY LOSSES. (more…)

9 Steps for Traders

  
  Education
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1- When you see a trade setup you like, pull the trigger without hesitation

It looks so simple but it isn’t! If your mind is not 100% ready to take the trades when they present themselves to you, you’ll miss them, you’ll be just watching and will let them go without any apparent reason why, and then when you realize what you just did, your reaction is to get angry! Just to make you jump into an unplanned trade and lose… Prepare in advance, market is like playing chess, you have to look ahead for the next move.

2 – Always use STOPs

In case you don’t like to use physical stops, make sure you’ll be able to stop in case it breaks the limits you’ve set for that trade

 

3 – Anything can happen

Try to start the morning with a free state of mind so that you’ll be able “to listen” to the market.

4 – Always lower your trade size when you’re losing

If you make two losing trades in a row, lower trade size until you get in tune with the market again.

5 – Never turn a winning trade into a loser

That’s the reason why I like to take small portions of profit when market makes it available to me, I hate to see a winner turn into a loser, manage your trades well.

6 – Buy or develop a system and stick to it, don’t change it from day to day

Find a trading system that fits your personality and once you have it, if it gives you an edge, stick to it, don’t change it because it didn’t work on one or two days, otherwise you’ll keep changing systems forever and that means: losing money.

7 – Get out of losers

One of the most known market adages is: “Cut your losses and let your profits run.” Much easier said than done, but it’s very important that you do it, usually it’s much easier to do exactly the opposite… make sure you bear that in mind.

8 – Don’t worry about news

This one I like very much, the only thing news will do is to accelerate the targets, nothing else, most of the time, I completely trash the news and just follow what I see on my map.

9 – Monitor your progress, create your own trading journal

It is very important that you have a trading journal to track your success, so that you’ll be able to stop what you’re doing wrong and keep your strong strategies. I’ll talk about this in detail on my next post.

Hope this helps, happy trading!

Technically Yours

ASR TEAM


Will & Won't for Traders

  
  Education
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Will– Phrases include: “The market will..” and “I will make money”. Once again the market does not like to be told what to do. It is the bratty kid screaming at the tops of his lungs. The word “will” relaxes your mind, similar to “should”, people use it to be lazy instead of a black background in an otherwise light picture. You can do everything right and still lose money. That is why trading is so effective at diminishing confidence. In most every activity, if you do everything right you are going to get the desired result. Doing the “right” things is bare minimum. Of course, over time you will get paid for doing the right things but it is never when you think it should be and hardly how much you anticipated.

Won’t– Phrases include: “The market won’t…” or “I won’t make money”. Notice a theme here? You are part of the market, you are not the market. Not getting what you expect, even if it is positive, confuses the brain. If you expect to lose and don’t it is still a bad outcome. The market is a one way walkie talkie, you listen, it talks.

The harder I try, the more money I lose. What’s going on?

  
  Education
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A:  This is a fairly common phenomenon which is why we have to learn how to adapt to market conditions and be patient with our strategies. Just because you “try harder” doesn’t mean that your profits will expand equally in relation to your effort. While effort helps create and sustain an edge, at the end of the day you still need the market to cooperate with whatever you are doing.

The best analogy I can provide here is one that many golfers are familiar with. If you’ve ever golfed in high winds, you know that your score will often be higher. Some of this, obviously is due directly to the windy conditions (which you have no control over). However, studies show that the most significant reason why golfers perform poorly in windy conditions has less to do with the conditions but more about how they react to those conditions. For example, many golfers will tend to swing harder in high winds which causes them to lose both their swing tempo and balance and they make more mental mistakes because the wind distracts them. The same is true for traders whose strategies are not flowing with the market. Without realizing it, traders will modify their own approaches (often by trying harder by making trades that don’t fit their strategy) which tends to hurt performance more than it helps.

Bottom line – keep close tabs on yourself and how you’re “adjusting” to market conditions. Being aware of how the market environment is affecting you and your changes to it is an important skill every trader must possess.

Six Questions Worth Asking at the End of the Trading Day

  
  Education
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six2What opportunities did I miss and what could have alerted me to those opportunities?
* What kind of trades are making me money? Where am I losing my money? What can I do about that?
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* When I took heat on trades, what could I have done to enter at better prices?
* Was the level of risk that I took in trades commensurate with my conviction in the trade ideas?
* What were the themes and markets driving prices today that I should be alert for tomorrow?
* What are the themes, economic reports, and markets that might drive prices overnight that I should be alert for in the morning?

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