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Larry Hite-Trend Following Legend Who Respects the Risks

Larry Hite was featured in Market Wizards. Market Wizards is a must read for all trend followers. On one level you will learn various trading tips however on the other hand, do not be think that your trading will be so easy. Trend following as easy as it is, is very difficult.

Try to internalize some of Larry Hite’s trading tips for trend followers:

I have noticed that everyone who has ever told me that the markets are efficient is poor.

People develop systems and people will make mistakes. Some will alter their system or jump from system to system as each one has a losing period. Others will be unable to resist second-guessing the trading signals. People don’t change.

The very first rule we live by at Mint is: Never risk more than 1% of total equity on any trade. Secondly, we always follow the trends and we never deviate from our methods. In fact, we have a written agreement that none of us can ever countermand our system. Thirdly, diversify in two ways. A. we trade more markets worldwide than any other money manager. B. we use lots of different systems ranging from short term to long term.

Over-rated indicators: Overbought/oversold indicators.

Two basic rules: (1) if you don’t bet, you can’t win. (2) If you lose all your chips, you can’t bet.

Never trade counter to the market trend.

Twenty Six Market Wisdoms from Warren Buffett

1. It takes 20 years to build a reputation and five minutes to ruin it. If you think about that, you’ll do things differently.26WB

2. Chains of habit are too light to be felt until they are too heavy to be broken.

3. Risk comes from not knowing what you’re doing.

4. Only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked.

5. If past history was all there was to the game, the richest people would be librarians.

6. I never attempt to make money on the stock market. I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.

7. It’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price

8. We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful

9. Time is the friend of the wonderful business, the enemy of the mediocre. (more…)

Ray Dalio eclipses George Soros as most successful fund manager

Bridgewater founder with ‘radically transparent’ approach to investing has the last laugh

Almost 40 years ago, a young Harvard graduate called Ray Dalio was trading futures at a brokerage called Shearson Hayden Stone. His boss was one Sandy Weill, who would go on to become famous as chairman and chief executive of Citigroup.

It was a promising start in finance. But the promise did not last long: Wall Street legend has it that after just a year in the job Dalio was sacked for taking a stripper to a client presentation.

Such a debut could have led to the rookie drifting off into obscurity – or just as easily have been the beginning of prolonged fame. Yet neither happened.

Instead, the son of a jazz musician sloped off and founded his own hedge fund, Bridgewater, from a two-bedroom apartment. It took three decades operating out of Westport, Connecticut before people outside the sector started to talk about Dalio once again.

The credit crisis was the trigger that propelled the money manager’s name back into Wall Street conversation, after providing him with the platform to outshine rivals and reap massive rewards.

This week the 62-year-old’s fortune was put at $10bn (£6.3bn) in Forbes’s latest list of billionaires. Last month he was lauded as the most successful hedge fund manager in history, after new rankings compiled by LCH Investments showed the $13.8bn that his Bridgewater Pure Alpha fund made in 2011 had propelled Dalio past the grandaddy of hedge fund investing, George Soros, in terms of returns to investors. (more…)

Ed Seykota’s Magic Trading System

1: Do not stress about whipsaws – one good trend pays for them all.

A whipsaw is when you enter a stock, but get stopped out quickly.  In a period of whipsaws, this may happen many times.  This can be frustrating to a trader or investor, and it may cause them to change their system.  But the fact is that one good trend will pay for all of these whipsaws, and if you change your system you lose the benefit of that!

2: When you Catch a Trend, ride it to the end.

Your system must be able to jump on a trending stock (for instance, up if you are going long), but then also be able to ride that trend to the end.  Many novice traders will jump out of stocks before they are finished trending because they are scared the market has gone too far.  Let your system tell you when the trend is ending, and only exit once it does.

3: When you show a loss, give the loss a toss.

Every single successful money manager ever interviewed has said something along the lines of: “Cut your losses short”.  Get rid of your losses.  Keep your winners.  And once you have your system don’t second guess it!  Being stopped out is part of the process.

4: We know if our risk is right when we make a lot of money, but can still sleep at night.

Risk is the amount of risk per trade (the price between your entry and your stop loss), and how much your total risk is (regarding how many positions you have open at one time). (more…)

Here's The Legendary Interview Where Martin Zweig Calls The 1987 Crash 3 Days Before It Happened

According to Bloomberg, famous stock market pundit Martin Zweig has passed away.

Zweig (who was either 70 or 71) was a technical analyst, newsletter writer, and money manager, who famously called the crash of 1987 3 days before it happened.

In an interview on Louis Rukeyser’s Wall Street Week on October 16, 1987, Zweig predicted a short violent drop in the market that would be reminiscent of 1929.

Here’s the video. The whole thing is worth watching, but Zweig starts his call at the 6:44 mark.

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