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Characteristics of Bear Market

  • Sellers are in control
  • Oversold often stays oversold for a long time
  • Markets drop a lot faster than they go up
  • Bear markets burn and churn accounts with long only exposure
  • Volume and liquidity can dry up but price can still drop significantly
  • ‘Cheap’ can get a lot ‘cheaper’
  • Hope is slowly destroyed
  • Vicious bear market rallies try to suck in traders to trap them
  • Expect lots of gaps to the downside
  • It takes a long time until market participants throw in the towel

This is appropriate trading behaviour during bear markets:

  • Either in cash or short
  • Sell the rallies mentality
  • Do NOT buy the dips
  • Do not even think about going long if you are not an active and experienced trader

Avoid EGO in Trading

“Don’t be a hero. Don’t have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability. Don’t ever feel that you are very good. The second you do, you are dead.”
“At other times in the past, investors lost a good profit by holding on too long, trying to get a long-term capital gain. Some investors, even erroneously, convince themselves they can’t sell
because of taxes—strong ego, weak judgment.”
“When did you turn from a loser to a winner?When I was able to separate my ego needs from making money. When I was able to accept being wrong.Before, admitting I was wrong was more upsetting than losing the money.”
“Most traders who fail have large egos and can’t admit that they are wrong.”
“Clearly, flexibility and suppression of ego are key elements of Gelber’s success.”
“Actually, the best traders have no ego. To be a great trader, you have to have a big enough ego only in the sense that you have confidence in yourself.”
Ego can also stop you from being profitable as a trader. Maybe you only like to short because you think this economny is going to H____ and the market rallies for a month and the whole time you try shorting it when you should be buying the pullbacks. In this scenario, the stongly held belief system is affecting the traders ability to see what is really going on and costs either being stopped out, or only making a small profit and missing the big moves etc.
So, the more we can become egoless, flexible in our mind and not have a preconceived direction the market is going in, the better we will be as a trader.  (more…)

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