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Cut your losses and let your winners ride

  
  Education
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This quote is the perfect corollary to Livermore’s. Just as he preached “sitting”, letting your winners ride is the same idea. If you have on a position and it’s working, let it make you money. Don’t cut it prematurely for the sake of booking a small profit. Don’t get scared and exit on the first reaction, when all of your trading rules dictate staying in. If it’s a winner, and it’s working, then let it ride. Winners are good—embrace them.

The important flip side is how to treat losing trades. The first lesson is that losers have to be cut at some point.  Otherwise, a losing trade can keep eating away at your P&L, undoing the profits from any winning positions. If you cut losses at a pre-defined level, then they stop—and presumably your wins can be larger than your losses.

The math behind this is compelling. If you assume that your average winner make 1.6x what your average loser loses, then you only need to be right 40% of the time in order to make money consistently. By keeping the leash short on your losses, then you can let the math of statistical expectation work in your favor. Cut losses and let your winners ride.

There is another aspect to this. A loser isn’t just a trade where you get stopped out at a pre-defined loss limit. Imagine a trade that isn’t making money and has just been languishing on your books—this is also a loser. Cut it, free up financial and mental capital  and move on.

Five Things to Avoid In Trading

  
  Education
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What Not To Do

 
1.  Have an opinion.  One sure way to find yourself trading against the market is to have a
market bias.  Trading with an opinion about what the market will do next can limit your
ability to see what the market is actually telling you.  
2.  Have worse than having your own.  Market gurus are notoriously inaccurate in their predictions.   s market judgment prevents you from learning to read the market on
your own.opinion has changed.
3.  Make your opinion public.  Putting your bias into a chat room or forum thread makes it
off an opinion once you have announced it to others.
4.  Let your ego get involved.  Everyone wants to be right.  In trading, you have to ask
yourself 
5.  Ride a loser.  Still wanting to be right?  Having a bias, making it public and getting your ego involved will cause you to hold losers far longer than you should. 

What to Do


1.  Anticipate.  Avoid having a bias.  Identify areas where the market might turn or continue
and think through what that would look like.  Anticipate the alternative ways the market may
trade.
2.  Keep your own counsel.  Avoid gurus.  Learn to read the market and make your own
decisions.
3.  Avoid the forums while trading.  Use the good ones as a source of education, but refrain
from making your trades public.
4.  Check your ego.  Be aware of when you want   make the correct decision.
5.  Cut losses short.  Use hard stops.  When the market turns against you, exit. 

Trader's Emotions

  
  Education
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Despair = Losing Money – Trading Better

Do not despair look at your losses as part of doing business and as paying tuition fees to the markets.

Disappointment = Expectations – Reality

Enter trading with realistic expectations. You can realistically expect 20%-35% annual returns on capital with great trading. More than that is possible but unlikely.

Regret = Disappointment in a loss+ Caused by lack of Discipline

If you followed your trading plan and lose money because the market did not move in your direction so be it, but if you went off your plan and traded based on your feelings and opinions then you should feel regret and stop being undisciplined.

Enjoying your Trading = Winning Trades – Fear of Ruin

Trading is much more enjoyable when you are risking 1% of your capital in the hopes of making 3% on your capital with a zero chance of ruin. It is not enjoyable when you are putting a huge percentage of your capital on the line in each trade and are only a few bad trades away from your account going to zero.

Wisdom = Square Root of Experience through years of successful trading

To get good at trading you have to trade real money. Wisdom comes from putting real money on the line for years and proving to yourself that you can come out a winner in the long term.

Faith in your system = Belief through back testing + Experience of winning with it for years

While you have to hold the opinion of whether each trade is a winner or loser it is different for your trading method. A lot of emotional trading can be overcome when you do not have doubts about your method. When you hold an almost religious fervor over believing in your method, system, risk management, and your own discipline you will overcome many of the emotional problems that arise with other traders in the heat of action.

MARKET WISDOM

  
  Education
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A list of golden sayings and rules I have gleaned from many sources:
wisdom-thought

  • Plan your trades, trade your plan.
  • Trade Quality, Not Quantity.
  • Keep it simple.
  • Don’t look for a reason to enter the market, look for a reason NOT to enter.
  • Don’t act due to “Newbie Nerves”
  • Don’t make up a trade. If you have to look, it isn’t there.
  • Never play with scared money.
  • You are not the market.
  • Buy dips in an uptrend, sell rallies in a downtrend.
  • Do not try to pick tops and bottoms.
  • It is only divergence if it came off a retracement – not a sideways market.
  • Indicators warn, price action confirms.
  • Divergence is early, cross-overs are late.
  • You cannot expect your positions to go immediately into the money.
  • Divergence means a detour, but not necessarily a new trend.
  • No-one knows what will happen in the markets.
  • Standing aside is a position.
  • Subordinate your will to the will of the market.
  • Large ranges beget small ranges, small ranges beget large ranges.
  • Once a thing is set in motion, it tends to stay in motion.
  • Sniper-rifle, not a shotgun.
  • Cut your losses short, let your profits run.
  • Only move stops in the direction of your position.
  • Do not let a winner turn into a loser.
  • Never add to a losing position.
  • Forget losses quickly. Forget profits even quicker.
  • Consistent behavior equals consistent results.

There are probably more, send ’em in…

TRADING ERRORS

  
  Education
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1.  Refusing to define a loss.

2.  Not getting rid of a losing trade when it is obviously a loser.

3.  Getting locked into a bullheaded opinion about market direction.

4.  Focusing on monetary value of trade instead of market structure.

5.  Revenge trading to recoup a loss.

6.  Not reversing a position when the market is clearly changing direction.

7.  Not following the rules of your strategy.

8.  Planning for a trade and then not taking it.

9.  Not acting on your intuition.

10.  Giving back recent gains due to overtrading or inconsistency.

We can learn a lot from the market, and from ourselves, if we would only listen.

Never turn a winner into a loser.

  
  Education
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015254790We have all violated this rule. However, it should be our goal to try harder not to violate it in the future. What we are really talking about here is the greed factor. The market has rewarded you by moving in the direction of your position, however, you are not satisfied with a small winner. Thus you hold onto the trade in the hopes of a larger gain, only to watch the market turn and move against you. Of course, inevitably you now hesitate and the trade further deteriorates into a substantial loss.

 There’s no need to be greedy. It’s only one trade. You’ll make many more trades throughout the session and many more throughout the next trading sessions. Opportunity exists in the marketplace all of the time. Remember: No one trade should make or break your performance for the day. Don’t be greedy.

49 Trading Rules for Traders

  
  Education
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  1. Usually they liquidate the good trades and keep the bad ones. Many traders don’t realize the news they hear and read has, in many cases, already been discounted by the market.
  2. After several profitable trades, many speculators become wild and unconservative. They base their trades on hunches and long shots, rather than sound fundamental and technical reasoning, or put their money into one deal that “can’t fail.”
  3. Traders often try to carry too big a position with too little capital, and trade too frequently for the size of the account.
  4. Some traders try to “beat the market” by day-trading, nervous scalping, and getting greedy.
  5. They fail to pre-define risk, add to a losing position, and fail to use stops.
  6. They frequently have a directional bias; for example, always wanting to be long.
  7. Lack of experience in the market causes many traders to become emotionally and/or financially committed to one trade, and unwilling or unable to take a loss. They may be unable to admit they have made a mistake, or they look at the market in too short a timeframe.
  8. They overtrade.
  9. Many traders can’t (or don’t) take the small losses. They often stick with a loser until it really hurts, then take the loss. This is an undisciplined approach…a trader needs to develop and stick with a system.
  10. Many traders get a fundamental case and hang onto it, even after the market technically turns. Only believe fundamentals as long as the technical signals follow. Both must agree.
  11. Many traders break a cardinal rule: “Cut losses short. Let profits run.”
  12. Many people trade with their hearts instead of their heads. For some traders, adversity (or success) distorts judgment. That’s why they should have a plan first, and stick to it.
  13. Often traders have bad timing, and not enough capital to survive the shake out.
  14. Too many traders perceive futures markets as an intuitive arena. The inability to distinguish between price fluctuations which reflect a fundamental change and those which represent an interim change often causes losses.
  15. Not following a disciplined trading program leads to accepting large losses and small profits. Many traders do not define offensive and defensive plans when an initial position is taken.
  16. Emotion makes many traders hold a loser too long. Many traders don’t discipline themselves to take small losses and big gains.
  17. Too many traders are underfinanced, and get washed out at the extremes.
  18. Greed causes some traders to allow profits to dwindle into losses while hoping for larger profits. This is really lack of discipline. Also, having too many trades on at one time and overtrading for the amount of capital involved can stem from greed.
  19. Trying to trade inactive markets is dangerous.
  20. Taking too big a risk with too little profit potential is a sure way to losses. (more…)

5 Trading Pitfalls To Avoid

  
  Education
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Pitfalls1. Aiming too high – There is no quick way to get rich. You need to be realistic in the goals you set and do not overpromise yourself. The success in trading is the ability to follow through.

2. Trying to win them all – – Keep adding to a loser position instead of getting out. The result based on impulsive trades usually becomes a lot worse before it gets better.

3. Hoping to recover from big drawdown – Get out of your losing positions quick. It is inevitable that you get caught in the wrong end of a trending market. Always a day late and many many dollars short !

4. Don’t know when to stop/check – It is time to reflect when your system loses the edge. Don’t send yourself into mine fields. Take some time off and regroup your strategy.

5. Being stubborn – Don’t fight the wrong fight and keep kicking yourself. Remorse about your misfortune won’t changed what have happened. Trading is supposedly fun, challenging and rewarding. If you  don’t feel this way, please stop trading.

5 Trading Pitfalls To Avoid

  
  Education
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1. Aiming too high – There is no quick way to get rich. You need to be realistic in the goals you set and do not overpromise yourself. The success in trading is the ability to follow through.

2. Trying to win them all – – Keep adding to a loser position instead of getting out. The result based on impulsive trades usually becomes a lot worse before it gets better.

3. Hoping to recover from big drawdown – Get out of your losing positions quick. It is inevitable that you get caught in the wrong end of a trending market. Always a day late and many many dollars short !

4. Don’t know when to stop/check – It is time to reflect when your system loses the edge. Don’t send yourself into mine fields. Take some time off and regroup your strategy.

5. Being stubborn – Don’t fight the wrong fight and keep kicking yourself. Remorse about your misfortune won’t changed what have happened. Trading is supposedly fun, challenging and rewarding. If you don’t feel this way, please stop trading.

3 Trading Wisdom Thoughts

  
  Education
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1) Focus on being profitable for the week – Individual trades may go against you and individual trading days can offer little opportunity. As a senior trader once explained to me, for the active trader, however, there are enough fresh opportunities in a week to make it reasonable to set a goal of being profitable for the week. You won’t reach your goal every single week, but the mere act of setting the goal keeps you focused. For example, you don’t want to lose so much money in a single day that you can’t make it back during the other days of the week. You also don’t want to lose so much money on a single trade that you can’t come back during the remainder of the day. When you really push yourself to be profitable every week, you don’t let individual days get away from you. And when you don’t let individual days get away from you, you start managing each trade carefully to ensure that your largest loss won’t exceed your largest gain. Time and again I’ve seen a consistent sign of progress among developing traders: they stop digging themselves into holes.
2) Take what the market gives you – Today I peeled out of several short positions after a spate of very negative TICK readings in the afternoon. I’ve learned that such concentrated selling often precedes nasty short-covering rallies. My S&P position hadn’t made as much profit as my NASDAQ and Russell positions, but the market doesn’t care about that. I took what the market gave me and started the week green. Did the market go down even further after I exited? Absolutely. As one experienced trader explained to me, when the market rewards your position right off the bat, you want to take something off the table. You might let a piece of your position ride if you have a longer-term opinion, but never give green a chance to become red. A winner that turns into a loser is a double loss. (more…)

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