Archives of “Human Interest” tag

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CHARLES T. MUNGER AND THE PRESCRIPTION FOR A LIFE OF MISERY

  
  Education
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On June 13, 1986 Charles T. Munger delivered the commencement address at Harvard University.

In it, Munger borrows from an earlier commencement address by the late night host Johnny Carson.  Carson shared with the  graduating class that although he could not not tell them how to be happy, he could share with them from personal experience how to be miserable.

Carson’s prescription for a life of misery?

  1. ingestion of  chemicals to alter mood or perception
  2. envy
  3. resentment

Munger adds to Carson’s prescription with four more ways to guarantee a life of misery:

  1. be unreliable: do not faithfully do what you have promised yourself or others
  2. learn everything you possibly can from your own personal experience, minimizing what you can learn from the good and bad experience of others, living and dead
  3. go down and stay down when you get your first, second, and third severe reverse in the battle of life (i.e., if at first you do not succeed then do not try again)
  4. ignore evidence contrary to your opinion by remaining certain in your views

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Livermore on knowing yourself

  
  Education
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It is my conclusion that playing the market is partly an art form, it is not just pure reason. If it were pure reason, then somebody would have figured it out long ago. That’s why I believe every speculator must analyze his own emotions to find out just what stress level he can endure. Every speculator is different, every human psyche is unique, every personality exclusive to an individual. Learn your own emotional limits before attempting to speculate, that is my advice to any one who has ever asked me what makes a successful speculator. If you can’t sleep at night, because of your stock market position than you have gone too far, if this is the case then sell your position down to the sleeping level.

On the other hand, I believe everyone who is intelligent, conscientious and willing to put in the necessary time, can be successful on Wall Street. As long as they realize the market is a business like any other business – they have a good chance to prosper.

Overcoming the Fear of Loss in Trading

  
  Education
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The fear of “pulling the trigger” stems mainly from the fear of loss. That same fear is responsible for 3 major actions or inactions that destroy traders:

  1. Cutting winners short. You take what you can and fear that if you don’t grab whatever small gains you have now, they would disappear.
  2. Keeping losers. You don’t dare to actualize your losses and hope that the trade will turn around.
  3. Unable to take every valid trade setup. You don’t dare to pull the trigger because you have associated the intense negative emotions of losing or the possibility of losing with being in a trade, so you escape from experiencing those feelings by not entering into a trade.

Psychology was never an issue when I was swing trading stocks, but has now become a major stumbling block when I am trading intraday futures. Hence I have just started to look into this.

All three psychologists mentioned the need to trade small. Other advice include doing visualization exercises, mindfulness exercises, and looking at the bigger picture.

I also found two resources with mindfulness training and a related webinar, links below.

Dr Brett Steenbarger

  • If it is due to lack of confidence in the system, back test and/or paper trade the system.
  • If it is due to fear of loss (Steenbarger calls it performance anxiety), do visualization exercises where you picture yourself in the stressful situation but doing the right thing and keeping yourself in the right frame of mind. Also paper trade and trade small. (more…)

10 Trend Commandments

  
  Education
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  1. You shall learn from successful trend followers to make big returns int he market.
  2. You shall follow the trend only, and have no guru that you bow down to.
  3. You shall not try to predict the future in vain, but follow the current price trend.
  4. You shall remember the stop loss to keep your capital safe, you shall know your exit before your entry is taken.
  5. Follow your trend following system all the days that you are trading, so that through discipline you will be successful.
  6. You shall not give up on trading because of a draw down.
  7. You shall not change a winning system because it has had a few losing trades.
  8. You shall trade with the principles that have proven to work for successful traders.
  9. You shall keep faith in your trend following even in range bound markets, a trend will begin anew.
  10. You shall not covet fundamentalists valuations, CNBC talking heads, newsletter predictions, holy grails, or the false claims of black box systems.

If you want news and entertainment watch Blue Channels, if you want to learn how to trade read AnirudhSethiReport.com

Analogy Between Markets and Gambling.

  
  Education
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We attempt to apply Statistics to markets because we see an analogy between markets and gambling. You bet when the deck is rich; count the cards and you will know.

But what if the dealer of the markets:

1. Shuffles under the table or may not shuffle – you cannot know (without inside info)

2. Might be using more than one deck

3. Sometimes uses a deck which favors your opponents

4. Usually favors you but occasionally ruins you

5. Knows that you need the action and abuses this knowledge

6. Knows that you will exploit your knowledge of him to others, especially the weak, ignorant, and women

Don’t Let Negative Emotions Control You

  
  Education
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Successful traders do not allow negative emotions to affect their decision-making. Trading is a stressful process, and you will experience many setbacks. Expect them, however, and don’t see losses as indications that you will never succeed. Instead, be prepared to identify your negative reactions and act on them in positive ways.

Successful traders turn fear into gain. They realize that losses are a part of their business, and they expect them. But while they know that some trades will cost them money, they let those same trades become a gain in knowledge. Remember that each time you have a loss, this gives you some guidelines on how to alter your strategy. Perhaps your stop loss needs to be set higher, perhaps you need to alter how you identify trends, or perhaps you need to use new indicators. (more…)

The Wisdom Of Simplicity

  
  Education
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“The art of art, the glory of expression and the sunshine of the light of letters, is simplicity.” ~ Walt Whitman

Life is simple; we only make it complex. We spend our lives unconsciously covering our authenticity with outer identity until at some point we begin wondering “where everything went wrong.” But the tragedy for many people is that the wondering never begins and life’s simple beauty is not rediscovered.

I use the word “rediscovered” because you already know that life can be simple because you experienced it as a child. If you are normal, you spent much of your life since then trying to become something other than yourself. But normal is not healthy; success in the unreal world means failure in the real one.

The power and virtue of simplicity is a universal truth; it’s wisdom applies to all areas of life. What are some ways you can declutter, simplify and return to your authentic Self? Here are a few ideas that can help.

  • Instead of finding new things to add to your life, find things to remove.
  • If you want to increase income, decrease expenses.
  • Do less thinking and do more wondering.
  • Turn down the noise.
  • Go to the woods.
  • Listen to a child. (more…)

What You Can and Cannot Control In Trading

  
  Education
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-You can control how much money you put behind the idea.

-You can control which markets you trade in.

-You can control how much you are willing to risk per trade barring any gap downs, or halt situations that might impact you negatively.

-You can control what type of set ups you buy.

-You can control when you get in or out, barring a halt.

-You can’t control the outcome of the trade.

-You can’t control how the market will react to news, try not to impose your views too much.

The point is not to fret over what you can’t control, once you put the trade in along with your stop for the most part everything else is out of your control.

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