Archives of “hedge funds” tag

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Not even the greatest hedge fund in history dodged the rout in March

  
Analysis, Education
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two Renaissance Technologies funds were down 17% and 13%, respectively

Two Renaissance Technologies funds were down 17% and 13%, respectively
Renaissance Technologies is undoubtedly the greatest money-making machine in history.
The quant-based Medallion fund at Renaissance is unparalleled. It gained 55.9% when it turned the corner in 1990 and hasn’t stopped since. The fund founded by Jim Simons has generated average returns of 66%, racking up gains of $100 billion.
The New York Post today doesn’t report on the Medallion Fund, which is only open to employees now. But it reports that Renaissance’s Institutional Equities Fund fell 17% in March and the Institutional Diversified Alpha fund fell 13%.
Overall Renaissance manages $130 bilion.

Investors Poured $19 Billion Into Hedge Funds in August

  
Analysis, Education, Global Indices
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Hedge-fundHedge funds had nearly $20 billion pour into their coffers last month, as investors flocked back amid revived market optimism.

Hedge funds booked inflows of $19.6 billion in August, according to HedgeFund.net. Total hedge fund assets rose 2.56 percent, or $47.09 billion, to hit $1.886 trillion in August, the report said.

The influx of investments made August the third month in four that inflows outweighed outflows, HedgeFund.net said.

Go to Report from Hedge Fund.net »

Two Types of Traders

  
  Education
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In general, I find there are two kinds of traders. The first kind trades visually, from patterns that are evident on visual inspection. Those include chart patterns, oscillator patterns, Elliott waves, and the like. Their trading decisions are discretionary, in that they elect to buy, hold, and sell based upon their perception of patterns and their judgment as to their meaning.
The second kind of trader distrusts visual inspection. Such traders are more likely to buy into the behavioral finance notion that unaided human perception and judgment are subject to a variety of biases. Accordingly, these traders use some form of historical/statistical analysis and/or system development to test ideas and trade only those that test out in a promising way.
Now here’s the interesting part: The first group of traders almost universally asks me to help them tame their emotions. They have problems with impulsive trading, failing to honor risk limits, failing to take valid signals due to anxiety, etc. The second group of traders, having researched successful strategies, almost universally asks me to help them take maximum advantage of their edge. They want help taking *more* risk and trading larger positions. (more…)

Twelve of The Biggest Trading Losses in History

  
  Education
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LOSS-LOSSIf you are ever feeling down about your trading losses or feeling sorry form Ackman’s current disaster trades long J.C. Penney and short Herbalife then this article may put both of these losses into perspective. These losses really show how crucial it is to have a price level that will indicate that you were wrong and will need to stop out at. There is no reason to ever take a huge loss to your trading capital, position sizing, stop losses, and managing the risk of ruin is the first job of a trader, growing capital comes second.

“Two basic rules: (1) if you don’t bet, you can’t win. (2) If you lose all your chips, you can’t bet.” -Larry Hite

Here are 12 of the biggest trading losses of all time, heed the lessons of these tragedies and realize the traders on the other sides of these trades made a huge amount of money,

#12 German billionaire Adolf Merckle, one of the 100 richest people in the world, killed himself by jumping in front of a train—emotionally “broken” over a bad bet on Volkswagen in 2008.

Merckle’s business interests came out on the wrong side of 2008′s short squeeze of Volkswagen. Rival Porsche silently cornered the market on Volkswagen shares, and when they revealed the extent of their stake, the price of Volkswagen stock shot up to levels that made it briefly the world’s most valuable corporation. Many hedge funds who had bet against Volkswagen shares lost huge amounts of money, while Porsche made billions in profit. (more…)

Jim Chanos On Short Selling: The Power of Negative Thinking

  
Analysis, Education
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Short selling and Jim Chanos go hand in hand. Whenever you see his name, you instantly think of Enron and how he unveiled the fraud there. The Kynikos Associates hedge fund manager is worth following due to his success but maybe more-so for the fact that he makes so many public appearances. If hedge funds operate behind a shroud of secrecy, then short sellers typically operate behind a shroud ten times as secret. Yet Chanos deviates from the norm and can often be found on television, doing interviews, and sharing his ideas. While talking his book might help some of his positions, it also means he’s more often than not cast as a villain. Chanos argues that good short sellers are born, not trained. Many would take issue with that statement as numerous hedge funds recommend their analysts read Kathryn Staley’s book, The Art of Short Selling

to really gain an edge.

In late May, Chanos delivered a presentation at the CFA Institute’s annual conference. You’ll remember that Baupost Group’s Seth Klarman also spoke at this event and we previously covered his thoughts on the markets

as well. This time around we present you Chanos’ speech entitled, “The Power of Negative Thinking” which focused on his bread and butter: short selling. (more…)

The Secrets of The World’s Greatest Traders

  
  Education
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Traders and investors have made and lost some of the world’s most significant pools of wealth.  It’s no coincidence that many of the wealthiest individuals in the world today (and through history) have been successful investors.  Names like Warren Buffet, George Soros, John Paulson, David Einhorn, Bill Gross and Sir John Templeton have become synonymous with strategies that have created astonishing success, in many case creating a groundswell of books and analysts who study their lives with a toothcomb to understand “what” the magic formula was…

Even outside these heavyweights of the trading world, hundreds of thousands of individuals around the world attest to have ‘the best‘ strategy to generate consistent positive returns (in fact, Google alone reveals over 10.4 million results when searching for best trading strategies). At a macro-level, the long-standing efficient market hypothesiswould make it notionally impossible for any trading strategy to be effective (as it asserts a level of information efficiency in the market).  The past quarter century however, has seen a gradual move away from the efficient hypothesis to greater considerations of information asymmetry and behavioral biases driving inefficiencies (opportunities) in the market.  So faced with this complexity, how do some traders generate such astonishing success?

To learn more, I spoke with Jack Schwager who is perhaps best known for his “Market Wizards” book series in which he has interviewed a cross section of the most successful traders and investors in the world.  In May 2012 Jack released the latest book in this best-selling series, “Hedge Fund Market Wizards” (a behind-the-scenes look at the world of hedge funds, from fifteen traders who’ve consistently beaten the markets).

Jack Schwager is a recognized industry expert in futures and hedge funds and the author of a number of widely acclaimed financial books. He is currently the co-portfolio manager for the ADM Investor Services Diversified Strategies Fund, a portfolio of futures and FX managed accounts. He is also an advisor to Marketopper, an India-based quantitative trading firm, supervising a major project that will adapt their trading technology to trade a global futures portfolio.  Previously, Mr. Schwager was a partner in the Fortune Group, a London-based hedge fund advisory firm, which specialized in creating customized hedge fund portfolios for institutional clients.  His previous experience includes 22 years as Director of Futures research for some of Wall Street’s leading firms and ten years as the co-principal of a CTA.

Q: Is there a strategy or style which is most effective at generating return?

 [Jack Schwager] The diversity of strategies people use is truly remarkable, I saw people using completely different strategies to the degree that if I had set out to invent 15 different strategies for a fictional work…. I couldn’t have made the strategies more different to the ones I saw in real life!  This illustrates a point I have made in all my works insofar as there really is no ‘holy grail‘ or single style that is most effective.  Those people looking for a single unified strategy are not asking the right question.

It’s a matter of finding an approach that works for the individual.  A person has to know whether they are comfortable with fundamental or technical, long term or short term, certain types of markets, wider risk or less risk… You can go through a whole checklist of things and find it’s different for each individual.

Even when looking at differences between asset classes we see that every market can be traded using different strategies be they fundamental, technical, or a mixture.  If we take equity markets we see that traders can use strategies including fundamental, value, extreme long term, and day.   If you want a microcosm that proves diversity, there it is! (more…)

There is a Difference Between What People Say and What They Think

  
  Education
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For many, there is a difference between how you think you will act in certain conditions and how you actually act when the time comes. The term used to describe this condition is called empathy gap.

There are two basic scenarios in which empathy gap can impact your performance as a trader/investor:

– you don’t cut your losses when they hit your pre-established exit level. This is the single biggest reason, so many people struggle in the capital markets. One solution to the issue is to enter exit orders, immediately after you initiate an opening order (caution: it does not work with illiquid names, where market makers can easily shake you out);
– you don’t take the signals from your watchlist when they are triggered. Some stocks can really move fast after they pass their tipping point. When that happens, many traders feel like a deer in headlights and are not willing to pay the market price. They’ll put a limit order, hoping that the desired stock will come back and their order will be filled. The best stocks don’t come back. Don’t be afraid to pay the market price for proper breakouts.

In today’s information overloaded world, evidence suggests that 95 per cent of our decisions are made without rational thought. So consciously asking people how they will behave unconsciously is at best naïve and, at worst, can be disastrous for a business. (more…)

Hedge Fund Job Titles Defined

  
  Education
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Hedge Fund AnalystA person who spends their day tracking the activities of people whose job they would have liked.
Quantitative ResearcherA person who can attach probabilities to future events by looking backwards.
Portfolio ManagerA person who has an enormous breadth of knowledge across a range of industries and is an expert in none of them.
StrategistA person who spends their day looking down at global events from 25,000ft but never has to land to take an active decision themselves (see “ Journalist” and “Consultant”).
Head of Quantitative SolutionsA person qualified to Ph.D level who used to earn an annual bonus at a CTA.
Head of RiskThe person who stops portfolio managers earning a bonus.
In-House MarketerA person who can ascribe someone else’s success in the firm to their own activities.
Chief Operating OfficerThe person who is thought to keep hedge funds running as businesses.
Deputy Chief Operating OfficerThe person who actually keeps hedge funds running as businesses.
Chief Investment OfficerThe guy whose name is on everyone’s business card.
Head TraderChief Algo Selector
Compliance OfficerFulfills the statutory requirement to have a fifth column in every firm in the financial sector.
Head of ComplianceChief Snitch
Head of TechnologyThe only person in the firm authorised to have self-defined mission-critical costs no-one else understands.
Head of Investor RelationsThe person that works with the most important existing clients to tidy up the s*** created by the CIO.
Chief Executive OfficerThe person individually chosen by the founder and Chief Investment Officer to buy the paperclips and liaise with the auditors.

Traits of the Successful Trader

  
  Education
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1. Find the plays that make the most sense to you.

Build from your unique personality.  Some traders will make a career of momentum trading, killing anything that is moving.  They could care less about a balance sheet or even the actual full name of the symbols they trade.   They just want to play and are damn good at it.   Some will find this intellectually suffocating.  They will want to trade all the markets, reading as much about as many longer term opportunities as possible.  This fits their inner need to learn, think, and grow intellectually.  Both are totally acceptable save if the momo trader is forced to trade macro plays.

2. Spend as much time trading, thinking about trading and talking about trading as you can possible stand.

The past years have gifted us a treasure of research on elite performance which provides a clear path for our success.  Time at our craft, experience, practice, reps gained determining plays are the road to successful trading.  Put down Boring New Book About Some New System You Do Not Understand and start reading The Talent Code, Bounce, Talent is Overrated, Mindset, Drive, Outliers, The Art of Learning.

3. Find a GREAT mentor.

And I do not mean necessarily at a trading firm.  Before Dr. Steenbarger went off-line and joined one of the great hedge funds of our time, I peppered him with questions.  Phil Mickelson, considered one of our greatest golfers ever, has three coaches watching his game.  Peyton Manning has a head coach, offensive coordinator, quarterback coach, and father providing him feedback.   There is little evidence of elite performers reaching their potential without high level coaching.

Hendry takes a big bet on China crash

  
Analysis, Economy, Education
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Hugh Hendry, the voluble hedge fund manager well known for his bearish but highly successful calls on the global economy over the past two years, has taken a big position that is designed to profit from a crash in China.

Mr Hendry’s London-based Eclectica Asset Management has constructed a “short credit” portfolio that stands to make gains of 250 per cent for his flagship fund in the event of a slump in China’s growth.

Eclectica is also poised to launch a standalone fund to benefit from the strategy next month, the Financial Times has learned.

The new fund will stand to deliver even larger gains than those for the main fund if successful.

“The investment team and I have carefully constructed a short credit portfolio made up of over 20 single-name industrial, cyclical businesses that have the dubious distinction of suffering from gigantic financial leverage and Asian/commodity overdependence,” Mr Hendry wrote to investors in his monthly letter this week. (more…)

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