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This is what Crude Oil looks like.

Mexico is paying the price for not being open in its development of crude reserves.

What is the real consumer impact on our economy?

Not only should we not get rid of nuclear weapons, but giving one to an unstable country often makes it safer to deal with them.

Just another step along China’s path to economic and political liberalization, it’s happening right before our eyes people.

My father, who is a real estate attorney in NYC, told me this week that all of the sudden he is slammed with deals after nothing for the past year, interesting.

Good luck finding a job right now.

What happens when California reaches 15% unemployment and crude trades at 100$.

The is ZERO value in cable news, Thomas Barnett is one of my favorite writers by the way.

I will volunteer to colonize the moon, but I don’t ever want to pay taxes up there.

Who gets how much oil from Iran.

There is no such thing as a safe haven for terrorist organizations anymore.

If you have the time and desire, please read this report on China, it’s long, but well worth it.

For all the ruckus in 08′, investing in hedge funds will always be better than leaving it to the market.

Smart kids will always want to go into investment banking, dumb rich kids as well.

Trading Discipline

Discipline-TradingYou need emotional discipline or your trading will become erratic. The worst thing that can happen to a trader is that they experience a dose of ‘beginner’s luck’. An enhanced sense of confidence as the result of a few good trades (probably flukes) is a huge threat to your working capital. If you make a good trade – don’t let the adrenaline rush send you headlong into another attempt. Instead, analyse your trade – do you really understand why is went well for you ? If you do – great ! Use this knowledge towards the development of a controlled trading method. If you don’t understand why this trade was a good trade -heave a sigh of relief at your good luck – and recognise it as such.

You need discipline to develope your trading method, to stick to your trading method, to follow the rules of that method and to close down your trading platform if you cannot see a trade.

It bears repeating – if you cannot see a trade close down the trading platform and don’t open it again until the next day’s session.

Newton’s Law of Trading Rules: Every lousy trading rule has an equal and opposite trading rule.

“Always seek out differing opinions and challenge your beliefs. Except when you know you’re right, then that other bullshit just becomes a distraction. Good luck with that.

It is very important to be flexible and open-minded. But invest with set rules and an iron discipline. Good luck with that.

Technical analysis and charts only tell you about what has already happened in the past. It’s much better to use the information from the future that we have when making decisions.  Good luck with that.

Never run with the herd. It’s much better to be all alone on open ground, running in the wrong direction and wholly conspicuous to predators. Good luck with that.

Take your losses quickly. But don’t get scared out of a good position. Good luck with that.

Amateurs trade in the morning, pros trade in the afternoon, junkies trade overnight and lots of guys on TV just trade on paper.  Good luck with that.

Be tactical and stay informed! But don’t try to time the market. Good luck with that.”

Good Luck Bad Luck!

horses-gallopThere is a Chinese story of a farmer who used an old horse to till his fields. One day, the horse escaped into the hills and when the farmer’s neighbors sympathized with the old man over his bad luck, the farmer replied, “Bad luck? Good luck? Who knows?” A week later, the horse returned with a herd of horses from the hills and this time the neighbors congratulated the farmer on his good luck. His reply was, “Good luck? Bad luck? Who knows?”

Then, when the farmer’s son was attempting to tame one of the wild horses, he fell off its back and broke his leg. Everyone thought this very bad luck. Not the farmer, whose only reaction was, “Bad luck? Good luck? Who knows?”

Some weeks later, the army marched into the village and conscripted every able-bodied youth they found there. When they saw the farmer’s son with his broken leg, they let him off. Now was that good luck or bad luck?

Who knows?

Personal Life And Its Influence On Trading

Richard smittenI’ve just finnished reading a book of Richard Smitten “Jesse Livermore World’s Greatest Stock Trader”. Amazing read. For those who want to know how important psycholigal influence on trading, this is a book to read. I’d like to say a few things about greatest trader. He failed in the market when he started going to other women, he stopped being focused on the market, his 3-d wife (who brought him 2 beautiful boys Jesse Jr and Paul) Dorothy was his soul companion as later his son Jesse Jr will say. Jesse Livermore made 100 millions during October 1929 crash, at that time he was one of the richest men in the world, in 1932 his wife filed for divorce and took away their 2 boys from him, he was empty, depressed, sitting on his cash, understanding that he’s life is actually a failure(its why he later commited a suicide). Its when he started losing it all. No one knows his trades after 1932, but the majority were losses and then he finally filed bankruptsy. He still had 1 million untouchable fun for his kids and about 3 million dollars in cash(in his apartment in New York), his 4-th wife took it 3 million in cash in the bags out of house after he commited suicide( his son Paul tells about it). (more…)

Psychology by Michael Jordan

Hi,

I like these commercials, because it very similar with trading. Commercials are not new, but i hope, that it can somebody give some more motivation.

1st one: YouTube – Michael Jordan “Simple Math” Nike Commercial
It says – stop looking for holy grail, there is no math formula, there is only training!

2nd one: YouTube – Maybe – New Michael Jordan Commercial
It says – stop looking for excuses!

3rd one: YouTube – Michael Jordan “Failure” Nike Commercial
It says – Success it not about winning, it is about loosing and deal with it!

4th one: YouTube – Look Me In The Eyes – Jordan Commercial – Become Legendary
It says – very nice courage and patience… I am scared what i wont become, you are scared what you could become..

5th one: YouTube – Michael Jordan “Become Legendary #1” Nike Commercial
It says – It is not about indicator/shoes/etc!!

Good luck, goal is closer, than you think..

 

How To Make Your Own Luck in Trading

The only place luck has in trading is that you will hopefully be on the right side of unexpected moves due to surprises. In trading you should trade in such a way that good luck will benefit you and bad luck will not destroy you. In my trading luck has little to do with my profits. I trade when the probabilities are on my side based on what the chart is saying about the current action of buyers and sellers in a stock. New traders hoping for luck belong in Las Vegas not the stock market. Trade the trends, play the odds, manage the risk, have faith in yourself that you have the discipline to trade your winning plan.

  1. I do not trade on luck I trade with probabilities being on my side.
  2. I manage my risk carefully so bad luck on one trade does not blow up my trading account.
  3. I trade in the direction of the markets current trend to enable me to stay on the right side of strong moves.
  4. I trade in the direction of the markets current trend so the odds are on my side of being right.
  5. I buy the strongest stocks  and sell short the weakest stocks.
  6. When I am wrong I do not hope for luck I just get out of a losing trade.
  7. When I buy options I buy the in the money options with the odds in my favor not the far out of the money ones that require some luck.
  8. I primarily buy options instead of selling them so I can get big moves for small fees instead of small fees for big risks.
  9. I only risk 1% of my capital per trade so I do not blow up my account with a string of bad trades.
  10. I trade with confidence in my myself and my method not hoping for luck.
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