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25 Trading Lessons From Jesse Livermore

  
  Education
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1. Watch the market leaders, the stocks that have led the charge upward in a bull market. That is where the action is and where the money is to be made. As the leaders go, so goes the entire market.

If you cannot make money in the leaders, you are not going to make money in the stock market. Watching the leaders keeps your universe of stocks limited, focused, and more easily controlled.

2. There is nothing new on Wall Street or in stock speculation. What has happened in the past will happen again, and again, and again. This is because human nature does not change, and it is human emotion, solidly build into human nature, that always gets in the way of human intelligence. Of this I am sure.

All through time, people have basically acted the same way in the market as a result of greed, fear, ignorance, and hope. This is why the numerical formations and patterns recur on a constant basis.

I absolutely believe that price movement patterns are being repeated. They are recurring patterns that appear over and over, with slight variations. This is because markets are driven by humans — and human nature never changes.

3. The market will often go contrary to what speculators have predicted. At these times, successful speculators must abandon their predictions and follow the action of the market. Prudent speculators never argue with the tape. (more…)

6 Universal principles of successful traders

  
  Education
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1). Preparation

Author Brent Penfold is in the minority believing risk management is the #1 priority in trading. Brent believes that once you get your trading system and position size in place you must use the amount you will risk on each trade to determine your risk of ruin. The book shows exactly how to figure this out using Excel. His point is that if your risk of ruin is not zero then you will eventually blow out your account. Risking 1% to 2% of your capital in any one trade usually gives you a zero percent risk of ruin but it also depends on your systems win/loss ratio. But the point is to test any system with 30 trades first then determine your risk of ruin.

2). Enlightenment

Your most important goal is to lower your risk ruin to zero. In trading, the trader with the best ability to cut losses short wins. Simple trading strategies work the best based on traditional support and resistance while trading with the trend on either retracements of break outs. The 10% of winners in the market win by treading where others fear, buying on break outs when they first occur and going short when a new low is made, or buying into the abyss when a security finds support or resistance and reverses at the end of a monster trend.

3). Developing a trading style (more…)

The Three pillars of trading

  
  Education
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Money Management: You must make your trades as fixed as possible. Trade with the same risk, capital, units, percentage, and in the same type markets to manage risk most effectively.

Methodology: Choose a method that works for you and your personality. (Dow Theory, technical indicators, patterns, price and volume, etc) Once you have a methodology to your trading, test it in the real world, in real time, either with micro trades or paper trade. You need a sample size to judge its efficacy.

Trader Psychology: Manage your hope, greed, fear, and pain to stay in the game.

Be a boss like Schloss

  
  Education
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read100Consider an investor like Walter Schloss who never aspired to be the biggest and kept his fund small but constantly just bought all the cheap stocks he could find and held them until they worked. Schloss earned about 20 percent gross for his investors for almost 50 years simply by buying cheap stocks in bad markets and holding them for long periods of time. He took advantage of the size and time advantage and made an enormous amount of money for himself and his investors.

There is a reason private equity is consistently one of the highest performing asset classes. Investors buy businesses when condition in the economy, or a specify sector, are not very good and they can buy a business at a bargain price. Investors hold them for a full business cycle or two and sell them in five years or so at a huge gain when conditions have improved substantially.

Investors could care less about the ticker tape or the candlestick pattern of a portfolio company and focus only on the business value. This is exactly the approach individual investors need to use to make money in the stock market.

Price and patience is the key to stock market profits. Buy businesses at a cheap stock price and hold them until they are no longer cheap. Ignore the bells, patterns and noise coming from Wall Street.

Your broker may not like it, but your accountant will.

5 Obstacles For Traders ,Just Cross Them & See Great Results

  
  Education
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  1. YOUR EGO: It wants you to PROVE you are right, it wants you to trade big, the ego wants you to be confident in your ability to trade before you are competent in your trading through the right education and experience.
  2. YOUR FEARS: Fear makes you afraid to take your entry when it is triggered and afraid to let a winner run thinking it will turn into a loser. Fear comes from a lack of faith and lack of faith arises from lack of the proper study before you start trading.
  3. YOUR GREED: It makes you trade too big and too much. Greed makes you want to risk too it all to get rich quick. Greed usually leads to get broke quick trades. Greed wants to take a short cut to success and you have to travel the full road to get to where you really want to go. You have to go through the work and experiences to get to success.
  4. NO TRADING PLAN: If you do not have a map it does not matter where you want to go you will end up somewhere else. Every trade should be planned when the market is closed and then executed reacting to prices when the market is open. With no plan long term results are virtually impossible.
  5. YOU: The weakest part of any trading system is the trader that is suppose to follow it. If you do not put in the work to develop a trading plan that fits you, develop and keep discipline, manage your risk, and stick to the plan regardless of how you feel then no trading system will work for you.

3 Reasons Traders Don’t Make More Money

  
  Education
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1) Position Sizing – They don’t take their largest risk when they have their greatest feel for the market and conviction about direction. Very high confidence trades may be sized relatively small; lower confidence trades are sized too large (often to make money back from earlier losses). They are taking their biggest cuts at the plate when the ball is out of their strike zones;
 
2) Execution – They wait for markets to go up before they buy and to go down before they sell. As a result, they get in at prices that leave them unusually subject to pullbacks. Many times, particularly if the trades are sized large (see above), the heat will take them out of good trades. In short, they’re not patient about getting into positions; they chase moves, fearful that they’ll miss a profit opportunity;
 
3) Rigidity – They don’t adapt to changing markets. They look for big moves in markets with declining volatility; they trade breakouts when signs point to range conditions. They set stops and profit targets in ways that don’t adapt to shifting volatility. They expect the market to accommodate what they’re doing rather than vice versa.
 
How much money you make is a function of what you trade and how you trade it. Many traders will switch what they trade (markets, stocks, time frames), only to continue making the same mistakes outlined above. Getting into good risk/reward trades and then maximizing the risk/reward while the positions are on is a major driver of long-term trading success.

M. William Scheier, Pivots, Patterns, and Intraday Swing Trades-Book Review

  
  Education
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You can buy M. William Scheier’s book Pivots, Patterns, and Intraday Swing Trades: Derivatives Analysis with the E-mini and Russell Futures Contracts (Wiley, 2014) for a little north of $50 or, if you have money burning a hole in your pocket, can take his ten-lesson e-mini trading course for about $3,000 or buy his indicator package software (included in the price of the course) for $250. Let’s look at the cheapest alternative.
The book is divided into four parts: time frame concepts, day model patterns, repetitive chart patterns, and confluence and execution.
Scheier’s methodology combines “old school” technical analysis with a “new school” proprietary algorithm for what he calls the Serial Sequent Wave Method. In the book he focuses exclusively on the former. (more…)

Trading Strategies for Success

  
  Education
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A great excerpt from “Trading Rules: Strategies for Success” by William Eng. It’s a great reminder that market prediction is a fool’s errand:

When you buy something, you want it to go up. When you sell something, you want it to go down. The chance of entering the trade correctly is small, but the chance of exiting the trade correctly is smaller. The chance of being right on both entering and exiting is the smallest. With such diminishing odds of coming through with a completely correct and, therefore, profitable trading campaign, the fewer decisions you make in the markets, the more profitable your trading should be. How many people actually get to sell at the top or buy at the bottom? At most, a handful in each reversal area. First, you must be a market follower, once the market has told you want it wants to do. If the market is a raging bull, you have no alternative but to buy. If it is bearish, you have no alternative but to sell every time you get the opportunity. Let the market tell you what to do. To do otherwise is to try to control the markets-something that is only reserved for God and natural disasters. Secondly, selling at the top and buying at the bottom does not guarantee profits. How many times have you heard of traders who managed to sell near the highs or buy near the bottoms, only to miss the ensuing move completely.

THREE LEGS OF SUCCESSFUL TRADING

  
  Education
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If you ever read any book on trading you would notice that every author our there talking about three most important things of successful trading and investing are:

  1. Trading edge
  2. Money management
  3. Discipline or psychology

Depending on the book one is reading one of those three are emphasized more or less. If you read book on technical analysis author will say that having edge is most important, and even if you have PhD in psychology if you don’t have proper edge you will not be able to make money.

If you read book on psychology again author will tell you that you can have best trading system on the world if you are not able to take signals you will not be successful trader and that you must make system that will suit your personality.

Finally if you read book on money management, author will tell you that even if you have best system in the world and having best discipline in the world if you risk too much of your capital on each trade you will probably ruin your account and the game will be over.

That post made me think about is it really like that, can we represent those three characteristic as pyramid. Is one more important than the other?
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A Trading Psychology Lesson :Know Who You Are

  
  Education
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A good analyst is someone who can figure out that markets are going from Point A to Point B;

A good trader is someone who can navigate the path from Point A to Point B;
A good investor is someone who can weather the path from Point A to Point B;
Good analysts often are not good traders.
Good traders often are not good investors.
Good investors often are not good traders.
Good traders and investors often need to hire good analysts.
So much of success boils down to knowing who you are and accepting that.Doll-ASR

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