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ICYMI – Warnings of turmoil in markets if the US intervenes in the Chinese yuan

The Financial Times ran a piece overnight canvassing potential US intervention to drive the USD down against the Chinese currency.

The background to this is
  • strong, and stronger USD, despite the Fed’s rate cut
  • The US naming China as a currency manipulator
  • USD/CNY and USD/CNH moving above what was though as a bit of a ‘line in the sand’ at 7 (wheter it is is/was or not remains to be seen)
  • Plenty of chatter and speculation that the US admin could intervene to send the dollar lower
Via the FT:
  • One senior staffer at a London-based Chinese bank said the US could conceivably intervene in the offshore renminbi market, where the currency is traded more freely than on the mainland. But the consequences could be serious.
  • “If you take on China on the currency . . . it would be interpreted as a political act and it would throw markets into turmoil,” said the senior staffer, speaking on condition of anonymity. The political fallout would be “unprecedented”, the person added.
He says market turmoil likes that’s a bad thing? πŸ˜€
(Off to the naughty corner for those thinking what I’m thinking!)
FT piece is here, may be gated

U.S. proposes barring big tech companies from offering financial services, digital currencies

A proposal to prevent big technology companies from functioning as financial institutions or issuing digital currencies has been circulated for discussion by the Democratic majority that leads the House Financial Services Committee, according to a copy of the draft legislation seen by Reuters.

In a sign of widening scrutiny after Facebook Inc’s (FB.O) proposed Libra digital coin aroused widespread objection, the bill proposes a fine of $1 million per day for violation of such rules.

Such a sweeping proposal would likely spark opposition from Republican members of the house who are keen on innovation, and would likely struggle to gather enough votes to pass the lower chamber.

Even if it were to pass the full house, it would still have to pass the senate which would also likely be an uphill struggle.

Nevertheless, the draft proposal sends a strong message to large tech firms increasingly eyeing the financial services space.

The draft legislation, β€œKeep Big Tech Out Of Finance Act”, describes a large technology firm as a company mainly offering an online platform service with at least $25 billion in annual revenue.

β€œA large platform utility may not establish, maintain, or operate a digital asset that is intended to be widely used as medium of exchange, unit of account, store of value, or any other similar function, as defined by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System,” it proposes.

Facebook, which would qualify to be such an entity, said last month it would launch its global cryptocurrency in 2020.

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