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Risking

Trading is all about riskcontrol !The following excerpt is from one of my favourite audiotapes ,’Risking ‘by David Viscount.I keep this on my desk to remind me each day to keep “risking.”Only a person who risks is truly free.

To laugh is to risk appearing the fool.

To weep is to risk appearing sentimental

To expose feelings is to risk exposing your true self.

To place your ideas ,your dreams ,before a crow is to risk their loss.

To live is to risk dying.To hope is to risk despair.To try is to risk failure.

But risks mist be taken ,because the greatest hazard in life is to risk nothing

The person ,who risks nothing ,does nothing ,has nothing ,and is nothing.

They may avoid suffering and sorrow ,but they cannot learn ,feel ,change ,grow ,love …live.

only a person who risks is free

Learn from Your Mistakes

The most successful traders and aggressive investors learn from their mistakes. Many even go as far as writing down what went wrong and analyzing the problem. Mistakes can be costly, so use them as learning experiences and don’t make the same mistake twice. Unfortunately, many people are doomed to make the same mistakes over and over again. This behavior is usually a sign of emotional reactions to price momentum and the absence of any well-thought-out strategy. My father once told me that the best education comes from learning from the mistakes of others. Most people fail in the market not because of technology or a lack of information but because of emotional reactions and a failure to learn from their mistakes and the mistakes of others.

I SUCCEED BECAUSE I FAIL

Most of us remember the Michael Jordan “Failure” commercial.  It is 30 seconds of pure wisdom for life and for trading.  As the market continues its twists and turns and while many churn and burn their trading accounts, now might just be a good time to revisit the basketball legend and the commercial that explains his remarkable success…and can explain ours too!

I missed more than 9000 shots in my career.

I’ve lost almost 300 games.

26 times I have been trusted to take the game winning shot and missed.

I have failed over and over again in my life…and THAT IS WHY I SUCCEED.

Get Comfortable With Being Uncomfortable

In the trading world, you will either make money or lose money on any given trade. All that matters in the end is making more money when you’re right than you lose when you’re wrong.  Knowing this, traders have learned to accept failure as part of the game, but they also use the information they acquire from their mistakes as a learning tool.  Frequently, what they learn from losing money is more valuable than what they learn when they make money”  

How would you classify trading errors?

TRADINGERROR

  • Improper analysis, categorized as inadequate preparation or incorrect interpretation
  • Improper entry (early or out of sync with market and sector action)
  • Improper execution (inappropriate position size, failure to adhere to proper trading principles, e.g. momentum resumption)
  • Failed exit, e.g. profit turns into a loss, failure to recognize ‘windfalls’, etc.

So what ‘rules’ must we have.

  1. Identify your edge (specific market, specific techniques)…if making money on the short (long) side isn’t working, why persist at that which isn’t making it happen? Strive to do more of what is working and less of what is not.
  2. Trade with the market. Intraday ‘tells’ are huge. If breadth is negative and the dollar is positive, going long equities is going to be tough sledding.
  3. See the market as it is. If we’re wrong, having missed the exit ramp, are we going to stay on the highway into the next state, or get off?
  4. Understand the market structure. Is the market trending, detrending, breaking out of consolidation, bouncing off support or resistance, consolidating?
  5. Know how volatility is behaving…rising, falling, at extremes.

Jesse Livermore Advice – How To Trade In A Bull Market

The first quote is from the foreword by Jack Schwager the ensuing excerpt in my opinion is one of the most important passages in ‘Reminiscences’. Enjoy!

I did precisely the wrong thing. The cotton showed me a loss and I kept it. The wheat showed me a profit and I sold it out. Of all the speculative blunders there are few greater than trying to average a losing game. Always sell what shows you a loss and keep what shows you a profit.

In Fullerton’s there were the usual crowd. All
grades! Well, there was one old chap who was not like the others. To begin with, he was a much older man. Another thing was that he never volunteered advice and never bragged of his winnings. He was a great hand for listening very attentively to the others.
He did not seem very keen to get tips that is, he never asked the talkers what they’d heard or what they knew. But when somebody gave him one he always thanked the tipster very politely. Sometimes he thanked the tipster again when the tip turned out O.K. But if it went wrong he never whined, so that nobody could tell whether he followed it or let it slide by. It was a legend of the office that the old jigger was rich and could swing quite a line. But he wasn’t donating much to the firm in the way of commissions; at least not that anyone could see. His name was Partridge, but they nicknamed him Turkey behind his back, because he was so thick-chested and had a habit of strutting about the various rooms, with the point of his chin resting on his breast.
The customers, who were all eager to be shoved and forced into doing things so as to lay the blame for failure on others, used to go to old Partridge and tell him what some friend of a friend of an insider had advised them to do in a certain stock. They would tell him what they had not done with the tip so he would tell them what they ought to do. But whether the tip they had was to buy or to sell, the old chap’s answer was always the same.
The customer would finish the tale of his perplexity and then ask: “What do you think I ought to do?” (more…)

Trading Success

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“Trading success is a function of possessing a statistical edge in the market and being able to exploit this edge with regularity. Trading failure is most likely to occur when you trade subjective, untested methods that possess no valid edge or when you are incapable of consistently applying edges that are available. Improving your psychology as a trader by itself will not confer an objective edge. Developing or purchasing a valid trading system will not in and of itself make you a great trader. The development of trading methods and the development of yourself as a trader thus must proceed in concert. You are only as good as the methods you implement and your ability to implement the methods.”

Full Concentration – No Compromise

Anything less than full concentration is destined for failure on the average. How many of us carry our personal worries to the trading room ? Avoid completely !Its simple, the trading mind requires as much computing power as possible, nothing less.OK, I do concentrate, now what ? Now, don’t relax ! Keeping going at the same level of concentration. The only trap here is that you tire. So regular breaks are a must. One very important point you must note: after taking a break the performance may not be as good. Scalpers will generally make this observation.

Today I know that …

mylessonsMy lessons may have been costly ,but they brought with them a kind of undertstanding more precious than gold.

😆 Playing the market is much different from being an investor.

😆 Pride is another word for stupidity if you claim credit for profits temporarily created by a bull market run wild.

😆 Paper profits are the illision of wealth created by the myopia of greed.

😆 Margin is a secuctive temptress more enticing than Delilah-and far more dangerous.

😆 Money doesn’t make people better ;it just allows them to become kinder and more charitable.

😆 Losing money doesn’t mean you’re a fool ,just as making a fortune doesn’t prove you’re a genius.

😆 Maturity means knowing how to cope with failure-and with sucess.

😆 The market respects those who treat is seriously and research it thoroughly ;it mocks those who think its rewards are freely granted to the followers of friendly tips and exicted phone calls from “helpful” strangers.

😆 Just as in every other game of chance ,all of your winning should never be left on the table.

😆 The law of gravity was not repealed for the sake of Dalal street ;even there the rule still holds that “whatever goes up must come down .”

😆 Forgiveness is a virtue even to myself ;I can forgive the fact that I failed-because I know that Iam not a failure.

 

Checklist for Life and Trading

  1. Prolong life to enjoy the benefits of compounding
  2. Be aware of deception
  3. The power of indirection
  4. Develop good character
  5. Learn to be humble
  6. Develop good fundamentals
  7. Learn how to count
  8. Learn how to handle failure and learn from it
  9. Educate yourself through good books
  10. Match position size to your character
  11. Have a good escape plan
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