- Devise a trading plan and follow it. I believe the best trading strategy is the one you’ve been able to review, back test and fits your trading style and risk tolerance. It is important that you know all vitals of the trade (the entries, possible exit targets, and where your stops may be prior to placing your trade orders.) By having a concrete plan, you assist in removing the emotion out of the equation.
- Stick with the trend!There’s a reason why the cliché “The trend is your friend” exists. It’s because it’s true! Successful traders will always tend to follow the trend when trading. Remember, if you trade with the trend, you have the majority of the market on your side.
- Control your emotions.This by far is the hardest thing for any trader to do. After all, it has been said that emotional control is 90‐95% of trading and the rest is your strategy. Therefore, I can’t say it enough times… Figure out a way to trade without emotions. To help with this matter, I believe it’s vital that you trade only with capital you can afford to lose. If you are using money that you need to pay your bills, you will almost certainly get emotional about every trade you make. In addition, I found that the more confident you are about your trading strategy, the better the chances are that you can trade with little emotional stress.
- Record your trades in a trade journal.When I first started trading, I was a bit lax about this concept. But once I started doing recording my actions, I found that I was able to identify my strengths and weaknesses. I take about 30‐45 minutes each day after I’m finished trading for the day to review my trades and to analyze any disconnect from my original plan. This helps me strengthen my conviction of my plan.
- Never trade unless the signal is clear.There are times when the market can confuse you. For me, confusion is a clear cut signal to keep out of the market. I always want my trades to be high probability signals. My signal has generated a winning percentage of more than 70%. So if I’m uncertain about a signal why would I want to take it, knowing that the chance of it winning is more like a coin toss or less? To me, that is gambling… and I do not consider myself a gambler.
- Never make trades because you are bored. Sitting on the sidelines waiting for your next trade signal to line up can be very unsettling. Many traders have learned that trading out of boredom can blow out your account in a hurry. For me, trading out of boredom while failing to follow your trading signal is gambling.
Archives of “confusion” tag
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The Four Poisons
There is a Korean martial art called Kum Do. This is a brutal game that involves a fight to the death with very sharp swords. The way it is practiced today is with bamboo sticks, but the moves are the same. Kum Do teaches the student warriors to avoid what are called “The Four Poisons of the Mind.” These are: fear, confusion, hesitation and surprise. In Kum Do, the student must be constantly on guard to never anticipate the next move of the opponent. Likewise, the student must never allow his natural tendencies for prediction to get the better of him. Having a preconceived bias of what the markets or the opponents will do can lead to momentary confusion and—in the case of Kum Do—to death. A single blow in Kum Do can be lethal, and is the final cut, since the object is to kill the opponent. One blow—>death—>game over.
Instead of predicting, anticipating, and being in fear and confusion, you must do exactly the opposite if you are to survive a death blow from the market movements. You must watch with a calm, clear and collected attitude and strike at the right time. A few seconds of anticipation, hesitation or confusion can mean the difference between life and death in Kum Do—and wins or losses in the stock markets. If you are not in tune with the four poisons of fear, confusion, hesitation or surprise in the markets, you are at risk for ruin. Ruin means that your money is gone and the game is over.
How can you avoid the four poisons of the trading mind: fear, confusion, hesitation and surprise?
Replace fear with faith—faith in your trading model and trading plan
Replace confusion with the attitude of being comfortable with uncertainty
Replace hesitation with decisive action
Replace surprise with taking nothing for granted and preparing yourself for anything.
Confusion Is Part Of The Learning Curve
Confusion and frustration is part of the learning curve. Frankly, if you’re not getting confused by the array of opinions and information out there, then you’re doing something wrong. The key is to keep working though it and continue learning as much as you can. With time and effort, the confusion you have now will be replaced with a clear understanding of key elements of trading that can’t be learned in a different way. But, it takes time
Disaster
When the market becomes volatile or a series of trades produce loses, it is easy for us to become fearful.
We then start to verbalize excuses as to why we even executed those trades or why we use the trading strategy that we use or any of a long list of items.
For all of us as traders to continue to grow, we need to develop a better way to address these situations. The foundation for this is analysis.
If we will be honest and look at the entire situation, generally we had executed a solid trade, however due to the very nature of the financial markets; an unusual movement occurred that caused us to not receive the results we expected. If we do this, most of the time we will see this fear, this confusion or these excuses just evaporate.
Are these times comfortable, never. Chaos is not comfortable, nor will it ever be.
But the successful trader will step up to the plate and handle this challenge instead of succumb to it. Do not allow a challenging situation to become a disaster because of fear or excuses.
Emotions and Behaviors in Trading
Successful trading requires the individual to have more than a certain amount of control over emotions and behaviors.
Emotions may include, but not be limited to, the following items:
1. Anger, anxiety, confusion, depression, disappointment, exhilaration, frustration, insecurity, passion, satisfaction, etc.
Behaviors may include, but not be limited to, the following items:
2. Arrogant, consistent, controlling, denial, following through, [im]patient, [ir]rational, letting go, perseverance, stubbornness, tenacity, etc.
Having control over these and other emotions and behaviors will allow for the trader to execute trades objectively, and more importantly, according to a strategic plan.
Sounds easy enough, does it not? “Execute trades objectively, and more importantly, according to a strategic plan.” Being that traders are human, it is not such an easy task to accomplish. It is not easy to be objective and diligent about sticking to a strategic plan day after day after day – especially with the constant volatility and erratic dynamics of the market tempting and enticing you at every turn to take actions that are NOT necessarily objective and NOT necessarily part of the strategic plan.
Acting On Impulse
Why do so many traders abandon their trading plan? Is it their personality, an inherent pitfall of the trading profession, or temporary insanity? A host of factors may contribute to a lack of discipline. Depending on your personality, background, training, and experience with the markets, you may have trouble reigning in your tendency to act on impulse.
For some people, impulsivity is in their nature. They have trouble focusing their attention. They are easily bored. Seeking out quick thrills relieves the tedium of life. For others, impulsivity is related to emotionality. Some people have so much trouble controlling their emotions that they react impulsively out of frustration. Minor setbacks are inevitable in the trading arena. When the extremely emotional trader encounters one of these setbacks, he or she becomes overly agitated, and may close a position early, or in a fit of confusion, make a major trading blunder that can only be remedied by closing the position.
That said, any trader can act impulsively at times. There are many situational factors that contribute to impulsivity. Research has shown, for example, that when people are tired, they have difficulty focusing their attention. As much as part of your conscious mind cares about sticking with your trading plan, your unconscious mind thinks, “Who cares? I want to take a break.” Psychological resources are limited. When you push yourself to the limits, you will have trouble focusing on your ongoing experience, concentrating on your trading plan, and sticking to it. (more…)
Have A Plan
It’s interesting to see that at a time like this, a time of economic concern, a time of confusion, that many people (including traders) get caught up in information that doesn’t serve them in any way helpful. What do I mean by this? Well, if you look at most financial news networks or most financial news services out there, how often of the time are they serving us information that is helpful in any way to our trading? I listen and talk to traders on a daily basis and it amazes me how much overwhelming economic information they know. However, when I ask them how it’s serving their trading, I never seem to get a clear answer.
I’ve been lucky enough to talk to some of the most successful legendary traders out there and really pick their brains to see how they think. If you’ve ever had the chance to read Market Wizards and New Market Wizards, there is some real wisdom in those books that most people don’t seem to pick up on. In New Market Wizards, Jack Shwager interviews a very successful trader. During the interview he asks him:
“Can you tell who will be a successful trader and who will not?”
The traders response is very interesting. He goes on to say:
“Yes, on a less technical level, I can say that after years of studying traders, the best predictor of success is simply whether the person is improving with time and experience. Many traders unconsciously acknowledge their lack of progress by continually jumping from one system or methodology to another, never gaining true proficiency in any.
As a result, these people end up with one year of experience, six times, instead of six years of experience. In contrast, the superior traders gravitate to a single approach-the specific approach is actually not important-and become extremely adapt to it.”
Now, most traders would read that and think nothing of it. But look at how he talks about how most traders jump from system to system, never really gaining true proficiency in any. This is something I have come to observe as well within most traders. When I try to understand why this is happening it seems that it’s the same reason each time.
As traders learn more and more about different indicators and patterns in the market, they become more and more desperate to find this “holy grail” system that will produce some astronomical winning results. Not only that, but they continuously jump from doing one thing to another. One day they’re trading moving averages, the next day they’re trading a bear wedge pattern, the next day a double top; they’re just all over the place. Why is this? It goes back to the quote up top. Instead of focusing on ONE methodology and mastering it, what happens is as soon as a losing streak comes along or a trade doesn’t work out the way they would have liked, they begin to think that something is wrong with the system, when in fact the real problem is the trader himself. (more…)
Four Poisons
There is a Korean martial art called Kum Do. This is a brutal game that involves a fight to the death with very sharp swords. The way it is practiced today is with bamboo sticks, but the moves are the same. Kum Do teaches the student warriors to avoid what are called “The Four Poisons of the Mind.” These are: fear, confusion, hesitation and surprise. In Kum Do, the student must be constantly on guard to never anticipate the next move of the opponent. Likewise, the student must never allow his natural tendencies for prediction to get the better of him. Having a preconceived bias of what the markets or the opponents will do can lead to momentary confusion and—in the case of Kum Do—to death. A single blow in Kum Do can be lethal, and is the final cut, since the object is to kill the opponent. One blow—>death—>game over.
Instead of predicting, anticipating, and being in fear and confusion, you must do exactly the opposite if you are to survive a death blow from the market movements. You must watch with a calm, clear and collected attitude and strike at the right time. A few seconds of anticipation, hesitation or confusion can mean the difference between life and death in Kum Do—and wins or losses in the stock markets. If you are not in tune with the four poisons of fear, confusion, hesitation or surprise in the markets, you are at risk for ruin. Ruin means that your money is gone and the game is over.
How can you avoid the four poisons of the trading mind: fear, confusion, hesitation and surprise? (more…)
Metaphors and Similes
Similes and metaphors play an important role in both the internal thought-process of a day trader as well as in communication between two traders. To describe the emotional reactions coupled to the movement of a stock in likeness to a rollercoaster, or to compare averaging down in hopes of breaking even to digging one’s self out of a hole is to use simile to quickly illustrate a particular situation as clearly and succinctly as possible. Every trader uses these analogies, each having his own favorites, and they are used to add structure to an environment that often lacks useful tools for explaining particular occurrences.
Sports metaphors also play an important role in quickly passing information to another trader with a small chance for confusion. Traders use base-hit as a metaphor to describe a solid but ultimately small-scale win in the market, and home run for when a trade is “out of the park”.
Ultimately, metaphors and similes can be used by a trader to keep his mind in the right place, and maintain emotional control. By metaphorically comparing trading to baseball or basketball, the Michael Jordan truism about never missing a shot he didn’t take or Babe Ruth’s statistical record for strikeouts helps the trader keep in the back of his mind the inalienable reality that he won’t get a hit every time he swings the bat.
Some traders choose to relate trading to fighting a war, conducting scientific research, or any number of analogous endeavors. The best metaphors and similes are those with which the trader can most easily identify. These easily identified intellectual aids, when utilized to enhance trading and the trader’s sense of control, in the end, will increasable productivity, and most importantly, profitability.
FOCUS
Focus your efforts on the things that work best for you. If there is one trading strategy that works for you, then stick to it as long as it works. Don’t waste time testing everything you find on the Internet and don’t listen to everything you hear or read. Too much information can lead to confusion, difficult choices and failure – eventually.