- The first question to ask in any option trade is how much of my capital could I lose in the worst case scenario not how much can I make.
- Long options are tools that can be used to create asymmetric trades with a built in downside and unlimited upside.
- Short options should only be sold when the probabilities are deeply in your favor that they will expire worthless, also a small hedge can pay for itself in the long run.
- Understand that in long options you have to overcome the time priced into the premium to be profitable even if you are right on the direction of the move.
- Long weekly deep-in-the-money options can be used like stock with much less out lay of capital.
- The reason that deeper in the money options have so little time and volatility priced in is becasue you are ensuring someones profits in that stock. That is where the risk is:intrinsic value, and that risk is on the buyer.
- When you buy out-of-the-money options understand that you must be right about direction, time period of move, and amount of move to make money. Also understand this is already priced in.
- When trading a high volatility event that price move will be priced into the option, after the event the option price will remove that volatility value and the option value will collapse. You can only make money through those events with options if the increase in intrinsic value increases enough to replace the vega value that comes out.
- Only trade in options with high volume so you do not lose a large amount of money on the bid/ask spread when entering and exiting trades.
- When used correctly options can be tools for managing risk, used incorrectly they can blow up your account. I suggest never risking more than 1% of your trading capital on any one option trade.
Archives of “amount of money” tag
rssBetting as seeing by stock operator
There is a story I heard long time ago
“A man comes to the race track and bets $10 on a horse.He wins, and bet entire amount again.He wins, and bet entire amount again.He wins, and …you know the drill by now.
So winning he keeps and finally has huge amount …and he bets it again And he loses, loses obscene amount of money.When he walks toward the exit of race track his friend stops him and asks: How did you do today?
Man answers: Not bad, I only lost $10.
The moral of the story (beside of always setting aside part of your winnings ) is that you can only lose your initial stake and you have to be able to stay with the working trade.
Ego & Nervous Traders
There are a whole host of characters who regularly lose money in the market place, and most fall into two catogories:
False Ego Traders
& Nervous Traders The false ego mistakes come from a mixture of false pride and bravado and are the most dangerous mistakes to make. The trader, generally a beginner or intermediate — call him Tader A — gets an opinion in his head about market direction. His analysis may have even been sound, but his opinion keeps him from reading/seeing the signs that a change is occuring in the market he has targeted. He subconsciously see the changes, but false pride is the devil, and blocks the information from making it into his conscious decision making process. The change he needs to see may even be pointed out to him by a fellow trader –Trader B– but Trader A’s false ego blocks this because he knows “I’m smarter than Trader B…In fact I think its a good idea to fade Trader B”.
Trader A is also likely someone who is accustomed to being listened to. He may have been upper management in a company, or even owned the company. “People better listen to me” is how he sees it. He is likely more accustomed to talking rather then listening.
Despite trader A’s previous success’ Mother Market will bring him down quickly. Any early success he has in the market will only make for bigger losses down the road as he gets caught in the spiral of trying to make up for lost money and still make money. He doesn’t just want to get his money back, he wants that and then some. His time is valuable. He is going to make the market pay.
Well we all know how that works out, which is to say we won’t be seeing Trader A around for long. (more…)
Risk Size Is Key
YOUR WINNERS CAN RUN….IF YOU LET THEM
The proponents of risk/reward ratios say that in order to be successful the trade must out produce the amount of money you have at risk by at least double or triple your risk amount but what they fail to take into consideration is that the reward side of any trade is unknown.
WHAT YOU CONTROL
You see the only part of the trading equation that you have any control over is the risk side of the trade. The reward side of any trade is a complete mystery. Oh sure, we all have our best guesses as to where the market might go next, but in the end it’s really just a crap shoot. Sometimes we’re right and sometimes we’re wrong and if we’re honest with ourselves we will admit that we really don’t know where the market is going next.
If we don’t really know where the market is going, namely the reward side of the trade, why would we even include it in our trade scenario never mind making it the deciding factor of whether to take a trade or not? Obvious, right? Yet in spite of this I continue to encounter traders who insist on only taking high risk/reward trades thinking that they are being smart investors by doing so. (more…)
Money Management & Positive Expectancy
A good trading system gives you an edge in the market.
To use a technical term, it provides a positive expectancy over a long series of trials.
A good system ensures that winning is more likely than losing over a long series of trades.
If your system can do that, you need money management.
But if you have no positive expectancy, no amount of money management will save you from losing.
Day Trading Terms
Advisor – the one who charges money for a piece of stock advice to cover his/her losses on the market.
Advisory Service – an advisor who lost a considerable amount of money and started new business.
Afternoon – a daily chance to give back the money you made that morning (see Friday).
Apprentice – anyone who peers at your screen shortly after you closed a profitable deal.
Average Down – what you have to do if you opened a long position and had to go to the bathroom.
Average Up – what you have to do if you opened a short position and had to go to the bathroom.
Bad Trade/Stupid Trade – an unprofitable deal that someone else carries out which does not fit your trading strategy.
Bottom – (when you have an open long position) the spot where you give up averaging down and sell; (when you have an open short position) the spot where the book recommends you to open a short position.
Break – a pause you take when you have either 2 profitable or 5 unprofitable deals in a row. (more…)
Discipline
A day trader should leave no room for fear and greed to take over, otherwise, this will be the key to your losses. A good trader should be disciplined, make discipline a habit, and act in accord with trading systems/strategies. You can do your trade in a consistent and reliable manner this way. Certain situations require an individual to make decisions based on their pre-set criteria and parameters.
You should make it a point to habitually follow your trading system/plan. When you’re making trading decisions, don’t let your emotions rule you. A day trader should always be disciplined, and once you attain your objective, leave the market first. Oftentimes people plunge in deeper because they are influenced by greed and fear.
There are also day traders who are quite reluctant to lose money. For instance your stock goes down,and you’re still hoping that after some time it will rise again. And to your surprise, the share price goes further down. If only you were not reluctant to lose money, you could have sold it the first time its price went down, and prevent further loss.
Day traders need to make fast executions and confirmations of the trade, so you must have a fast internet connection. They also need to receive and deliver quotes, news, and other pertinent market data. A fast internet connection allows you to make your day trading in a timely fashion. If you’re serious with your day trading. You would need hardware and software requirements to put a sufficient platform at home for online trading.
You can practice through simulated trading before using real money. Here you can incorporate all your trading techniques and see if they actually work. Don’t be a scared to lose a certain amount of money. But it doesn’t mean that you should not limit your losses. Most importantly, you should learn from your past losses. Becoming a day trader is a simple thing. But in any case it requires dedication, time and effort. You will reap profits that you’ve never imagined, if you are able to put all of these things together.
I Promise I Will Never Do That Again!
Have you ever experienced doing well for a period of time and then something just snaps and you end up losing a significant amount of money? It happens in a variety of ways and for different reasons, but what typically follows is a self beating-up process, and/or a promise that you will never do THAT again!
Sound familiar? It’s a very common phenomenon.
Unfortunately, the promise you make to yourself typically gets broken again…and again…..and again. As the pattern continues, the potential for more psychological damage becomes very real.
Over many years as a clinical psychologist people have come to me who are struggling with repetitive problem behaviors. Many of them previously tried various forms of ‘willpower’ without any long-lasting success.
As a trading psychology coach and consultant I can tell you that most traders see the solution as an act of willpower or “trying harder next time”. But I have news for you. Although willpower is certainly necessary to be a good trader, it alone will not break a deeply rooted problematic pattern. If it was simply a matter of ‘doing it differently next time’, then many traders would of already done that and the pattern would never appear again.
So, how does one break the pattern? I suggest that the ‘promise’ you make to yourself is not only about willpower, but also a promise to learn about what makes you tick, such as your emotions and your sub-conscious process.
15 Rules for Traders
RULE # 1:USE MONEY YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE
If you are trading With funds
1) You need for some family projects, you are doomed to failure.this is because you wont be able to enjoy the mental freedom to make sound trading decisions.
2)your trading funds should be viewed as money you are willing to lose. your position should be careful analysed so you don’t jeopardize other funds or assets.
3)one of the keys to successful trading is mental independance.
4)you have got to trade outside influencing factors and that means your trading freedom must not be influenced by the fear of losing money you really have earmarked for a specific need.
RULE # 2: KNOW YOURSELF
1)you need an objective temperament, an ability to control emotions and carry a position without losing sleep. Although trading discipline can be developed, the successful traders are unemotional about their positions.
2)there are many exciting things happening in the market everyday so it takes a hard nosed type of attitude and an ability to stand above short term circumstances.If you do not have this attitude you will be changing your mind and your positions every few minutes.
RULE # 3: START SMALL
1)Test your trading ability by making paper trades. then begin to trade small.start with mini account.
2) beginning traders should learn the mechanics of trading before graduating to more volatile contracts.
RULE # 4O NOT OVER COMMIT
1)One rule of thumb is to keep three times the money in your margin account than is needed for that particular position.Reduce your position if necessary to confirm to that rule.this rule helps you avoid trading decisions based on the amount of money in your margin account.
2) If you are under margined you may be forced to liquidate a position early at a costly loss that could have been avoided.
RULE # 5: ISOLATE YOUR TRADING FROM YOUR DESIRE FOR PROFIT.
1)do not hope for a move so much that your trade is based on hope. The successful trader is able to isolate his trading from his emotion. Although hope is a great virtue in other areas of life, it can be a real hindrance to a trader.
2)When hoping that the market will turn around in their favor beginners often violate basic trading rules. (more…)
Get Out When You’re Wrong
Successful traders know that discipline is what allows them to enter their trades when the odds are in their favor and, more importantly, to get out when they’re wrong.
Being right is not the problem. What you do when you’re wrong is the crucial issue.
There are a lot of traders who buy then pray while the market goes against them, because they think that it will eventually go their way.
Most traders average down and wait for the market to turn their way.
Trading my way, I always have defined amount of money that I am willing to lose.
I let the market decide how much money I’m going to make.