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Learn how to lose

Is learning to lose as important as winning? - PE BlogLivermore (speaking through the fictional character of Larry Livingston) complains how he’s made a series of trading mistakes that cost him a lot of money, although he wasn’t completely wiped out. The losses, he admits, were painful but educational:

“There is nothing like losing all you have in the world for teaching you what not to do,” he says. “And when you know what not to do in order not to lose money, you begin to learn what to do in order to win.”

After going broke three times in less than two years, Livermore has this advice: “Being broke is a very efficient educational agency.” He says that you learn little from your winners because they often take care of themselves. It’s the losers that will teach you lessons to last a lifetime. And as long as you don’t make the same mistake twice, you always have the opportunity to trade another day.

SNB raises policy rate by 50 bps to 1.00%, as expected Latest monetary policy decision by the SNB – 15 December 2022

  • Prior 0.50%
  • Rate hike is to counter increased inflationary pressure and further spread of inflation
  • It cannot be ruled out that additional rate hikes will be necessary
  • To provide appropriate monetary conditions, SNB also willing to be active in FX market as necessary
  • Sees 2022 inflation at 2.9% (previously 3%)
  • Sees 2023 inflation at 2.4% (previously 2.4%)
  • Sees 2024 inflation at 1.8% (previously 1.7%)
  • Full statement

The franc has fallen on the decision as those hoping for a 75 bps rate hike were disappointed evidently. USD/CHF moved up from 0.9255 to 0.9300 and is holding at the highs for the day currently. EUR/CHF also pushed up from 0.9845 to 0.9890 but remains largely rangebound in recent weeks.

Besides that disappointment in terms of pricing expectations, there isn’t much else to really scrutinise about the SNB decision today.

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