rss

Think and act

-Euphoria gone at 5400 level.

-Anxiety at 5000 level.

-Denial :Done by every 2nd person in India (Blue Channel Jokers )that its a correction only and nobody saying or indicating big crack.

Just wait and watch,From 5398 to 4786 in 34 sessions and 101% this is a Trailor only.Watch price levels by 15th June.

About 15th  June and 4501 level ,I will update more very soon.

Updated at 8:18/26th May/Baroda

How to Treat Delusional Disorder

This market is delusional!  I’ve heard it several times, but I am still unsure exactly what this means.  Given what I’ve seen and heard on this trading desk over the past several weeks I can begin to hypothesize about the true nature of this ubiquitous exclamation.  First, strength and weakness in the market has not necessarily translate to strength and weakness in individual names.  Dean’s portfolio has been the best barometer of this divergence.  His long cash book has felt the slings and arrows of a declining market while under performing on up days; the perfect shitstorm.  Strong balance sheets and superior management have failed to translate into upward price action.  On the other side of the coin, Moskowitz’s technical strategy has also struggled in the face of this “delusional” market.  Daily levels of support and resistance, moving averages, and pivot points have been broken, traversed, and forsaken.  Familiar setups have failed to produce familiar results.  Finally, after reviewing the charts of Schwartz’s portfolio, we came to the conclusion that the tenets of relative strength and relative weakness have been all but abandoned.  Names have shown massive intraday reversals that suck away P&L without warning.

Given the “delusional” nature of the market, there is only one strategy that guarantees success; get small.  The fact that strategies have lacked their usual effectiveness does not imply they are obsolete; however, given the unusual action we have witnessed lately, it is advisable to limit one’s exposure to the bizarre action.  Eventually the market will begin to look like its old self and when that time comes, the heavens will open and the money gods will reappear.  In the meantime, remember the old axiom: “The market can remain delusional longer than you can remain solvent.”

Pride-Fear-Greed-Hope For Traders

Pride screams at you: “Don’t stop your loss! Prove you are right! It will come back, just wait.”
Fear advises: “Go ahead and take your profit quickly we can’t let our winners run, let’s take the small profit now because the profit could reverse and we end up with a loss.”
Greed is confident and says “This trade can’t miss, I am sure it will be a huge winner, bet your whole account! We will be rich!”
Hope stands alone with no trading plan and half halfheartedly says: ” I am not sure what a good entry is here so I am just going to buy this stock and hope it goes up. 

Key of Success is Timing in Trading- Anirudh Sethi

Image result for timingThe significance of market timing can’t be depicted by just a single thing. There are a few reasons why anybody intrigued by trading rates and products, Forex, ETF’s and stocks would need to sharpen their market timing aptitudes. The greatest single imperative reason that rings a bell is that of limiting your hazard presentation. At the point when there is a considerable measure of cash at hazard, it is anything but difficult to begin questioning your unique explanations behind putting on the trade when the market begins moving against your position. On the off chance that you have been trading for any time span, undoubtedly you have encountered the feelings I portray. Initially, maybe you do a little pattern estimating utilizing some Gann or Fibonacci strategy, or your most loved marker. You feel entirely sure about the choice to go long the market at a specific cost and along these lines, you enter correctly as arranged. Market timing is the system of settling on the purchase or offer choices of monetary resources (frequently stocks) by endeavoring to foresee future market value developments. The expectation might be founded on a viewpoint of a market or monetary conditions coming about because of the specialized or principal investigator. This is a venture methodology in light of the standpoint for a total market, as opposed to for a specific monetary resource.

Timing is Built upon Financial Strategies

Regardless of whether the market timing is ever a practical speculation methodology is disputable. Some may consider showcase timing to be a type of betting in view of immaculate shot since they don’t put stock in underestimated or exaggerated markets. The effective market speculation guarantees that money related costs dependably show irregular walk conduct and hence can’t be anticipated with consistency. The market clock looks to offer at the ‘top’ and purchase at the ‘base’. In this way, if financing costs increment, the market clock may offer a few or the greater part of his stocks and buy more securities to exploit what might be a ‘crested’ market for stocks and the start of a blast for securities. Market clocks trust here and now value developments are critical and frequently unsurprising; this is the reason they regularly allude to factual inconsistencies, repeating designs, and other information that backings a connection between’s sure data and stock costs. A market clock’s speculation skyline can be months, days, or even hours or minutes. Latent financial specialists, then again, assess a speculation’s long haul potential and depend more on the key investigation of the organization behind the security, for example, the organization’s long haul procedure, the nature of its items, or the organization’s associations with the administration when choosing whether to purchase or offer. (more…)

Go to top