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Preparation-Purpose-Protection For Traders

  • Preparation:  If you put yourself in the best possible position and you lose money at least you spent that money wisely.  Good things happen to those that are prepared because 90% of people do not know how to do it or are unwilling.  
  • Purpose: Acting with purpose.  You prepared, you knew the risks, you executed the way you wanted to execute.  In cold blooded evaluation you would do it the same with the information you had at the time.
  • Protection:  Losing the invisible money is how I have seen many people blow up.  Invisible money is not locking in profits or losing more than your plan allowed.  If you lose what you intended to risk you own the trade, if you lose more the trade owns you.

Your goal as a trader is to always reduce the time it takes to analyze, react, and recover.  The best traders do this effortlessly after much thought, experiment, and practice.  I lacked confidence because I thought about the wrong things or not at all and I was doing random things all of which made it too costly, emotionally and financially, to practice.

The Virtue of Patience

The Virtue of PatienceWaiting for the right opportunity increases the probability of success. You don’t always have to be in the market. As Edwin Lefevre put it in his classic Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, “There is the plain fool who does the wrong thing at all times anywhere, but there is the Wall Street fool who thinks he must trade all the time.”
One of the more colorful descriptions of patience in trading was offered by Jim Rogers in Market Wizards: “I just wait until there is money lying in the comer, and all I have to do is go over there and pick it up.” In other words, until he is so sure of a trade that it seems as easy as picking money off the floor, he does nothing.

Mark Weinstein (also interviewed in Market Wizards) provided the following apt analogy: “Although the cheetah is the fastest animal in the world and can catch any animal on the plains, it will wait until it is absolutely sure it can catch its prey. It may hide in the bush for a week, waiting for Just the right moment. It will wait for a baby antelope, and not Just any baby antelope, but preferably one that is also sick or lame. Only then, when there is no chance it can lose its prey, does it attack. That, to me, is the epitome of professional trading.” (more…)

Risk Size Is Key

YOUR WINNERS CAN RUN….IF YOU LET THEM
The proponents of risk/reward ratios say that in order to be successful the trade must out produce the amount of money you have at risk by at least double or triple your risk amount but what they fail to take into consideration is that the reward side of any trade is unknown. 
WHAT YOU CONTROL
You see the only part of the trading equation that you have any control over is the risk side of the trade. The reward side of any trade is a complete mystery. Oh sure, we all have our best guesses as to where the market might go next, but in the end it’s really just a crap shoot. Sometimes we’re right and sometimes we’re wrong and if we’re honest with ourselves we will admit that we really don’t know where the market is going next. 
If we don’t really know where the market is going, namely the reward side of the trade, why would we even include it in our trade scenario never mind making it the deciding factor of whether to take a trade or not? Obvious, right? Yet in spite of this I continue to encounter traders who insist on only taking high risk/reward trades thinking that they are being smart investors by doing so. (more…)

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