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Intuition Discipline Confidence Risk

Going back to the roots of what ‘risk’ is all about. As I suggested rereading Justin Mamis’ passage of ‘When to Sell’ yesterday, I did reread passages of ‘The Nature of Risk’ probably my all time favourite book which was also written by Justin Mamis. Here is a small excerpt. Enjoy!

Justin Mamis: ‘The Nature of Risk’ page 80:

Intuition although seemingly spontaneous, apparently emotional, stems from a form of “information” that has become built-in from past experience. Discipline means choosing what to do unencumbered by the fear of making a mistake. Confidence means trusting our intuition that what we “see” is what we “know.” There’s no escaping to the external, to the objective, and no standing on the shaky ground of emotions. So the question becomes, How do we create within ourselves the heroic condition of confidence wherein risk is not danger but life?

61 Thoughts on Strategy

1. Always change a losing game; never change a winning game.

2. Always have a plan going into a match, and a backup plan.

3. Always have a surprise to pull out all the stops.

4. Reconnoiter your opponent before the match for his strengths and weaknesses.

5. Have a general strategy against all power players, and another against all control players.

6. Analyze every match – how would you play it differently next time.

7. Keep a log of your strategies, and of the opponents.

8. Always have a customized strategy against each opponent, if possible.

9. Call a timeout whenever you skip two straight shots, or the opponent runs three straight points.

10. Keep a coach in the crowd for a second opinion. (more…)

Ultimate Goal For All Traders

In my opinion, this is the ultimate goal for all traders: Get to the point where you can make confident decisions on your own and trade with complete independence. While I tremendously respect the opinion of my colleagues, I DO NOT rely on them. I can turn off Blue Channels, and all communication to the outside world…and still be fine with making my own decisions and letting THE MARKET tell me if I’m right or wrong. I apologize if this sounds cocky, but it’s simply the truth.

How do you get to this point? Make decisions and learn from them! I openly admit that I have made TONS of mistakes in the market, and I still make mistakes EVERY DAY. The key is I’ve learned from them and now try my best to minimize those mistakes. As Tony Robbins says: “Good decisions come from experience, and experience comes from bad decisions.” The key is to MAKE a decision without worrying that you might be wrong. As long as you learn from it, you can correct it the next time. Again, just make the decision! Who knows, it might end up being a good one 

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