AMATEURS
Have tons of ideas, are excited about all of them and see none to fruition.
PROFESSIONALS
Have tons of ideas, pick one and do their best to make it happen.
AMATEURS
Think they can do everything.
PROFESSIONALS (more…)
AMATEURS
Have tons of ideas, are excited about all of them and see none to fruition.
PROFESSIONALS
Have tons of ideas, pick one and do their best to make it happen.
AMATEURS
Think they can do everything.
PROFESSIONALS (more…)
The only thing that can change it is you. You have to make change happen yourself.
You are the Director of your life. You are the Producer. You are the Lead Actor. You are the Choreographer and Makeup Artist. You write the soundtrack. Your name is next to every title on the credits at the end of your life story.
You.
This post will not change your life. It is just words floating around in cyberspace, written by me, some guy who lives in Poona. I can’t change your life, I’ve never even met you.
You are responsible for the decisions you make. They happen between your ears and they are entirely within your control.
This post will not change your life. Only you can do that.
Updated at 12:16/19th May/Baroda
It seems crime pays… or “committing crimes, writing about them, having them adapated into a screenplay, and made into an oscar-winning movie” pays. Jordan Belfort, the “Wolf of Wall Street”, as Bloomberg reports, expects to make more money this year than he “ever made in his best year as a broker.” Having spent 22 months in jail in the 1990s, Belfort comments that ‘my goal is to make north of a $100 million so I am paying back everyone this year,” and adds some remarkably irresponsbible philosophy given the markets today and the world in which we are told we live in… “Greed is not good. Ambition is good, passion is good.” How do we BTFD if we are not greedy?
As Bloomberg reports, Jordan Belfort, whose memoir “The Wolf of Wall Street” was turned into a film by Martin Scorsese, expects to earn more than he made as a stockbroker this year, allowing him to repay the victims of his financial fraud.
“I’ll make this year more than I ever made in my best year as a broker,” Belfort told a conference in Dubai today. “My goal is to make north of a $100 million so I am paying back everyone this year.”
Belfort, a motivational speaker, will use his earnings from a 45-city speaking tour in the U.S. to repay about $50 million to investors. That was his share of the fine, he said. (more…)
The United States Bureau of Engraving and Printing makes approximately $696 million in currency each day. Amazingly, according to their very fitting websiteMoneyFactory.gov, in the fiscal year of 2014 they printed over $2.2 billion in $1 bills alone. It’s good practice, because with concerns of deflation circulating around Europe and Asia,the Feds may want to put the printing presses into overdrive.
One of intelligent honest things that Livermore did was to get out of one market by selling a related market, inducing the other traders to think that there was weakness in one market which would carry over to the related market. The art of indirection and letting people use their own intelligence and inferences to come to their own conclusion. for example if he wanted to get out of cotton, he’d sell some coffee. If he wanted to get out of a common, he’s sell the preferred or a related company that owned a big chunk of it, like sell Christiana which owned general motors et al. This technique one wonders how often is it used today. When it happens, is it artful indirection or chance? How to quantify and what predictions to be made? Would the robots be smart enough to do this?
There was a moment in late 80s Energy trading, when legend has it that a great admirer of Livermore who runs a venerable hedge fund near New York was Bearish to the tune of 40,000 lots. If you think it’s not much, just remember that Exchange limit for open speculative position in any contract was 6,000. Of course, his positions were in all possible inter-month spreads and across products. So once decision to cover was made, he picked up the phone and asked for the cockiest trader in the Crude pit. “Are you a man or mouse?” Trader thought it was a prank: “Come on Paul, what do you want?” “I’ll give an order to sell 1,000 market, and I mean worst. But if I don’t see Crude print through even– they’re all yours! Do you accept?”
Too many traders believe that their last trade is a reflection of just how good of a trader they are (but they are the only ones who feel that way about themselves). This boils down to one word – expectation. If you expect to win all the time, or even the vast majority of the time, you’re setting yourself up for a lot of heartache. That frustration, though, is the very same force that will truly make your negative perception of yourself a reality. And even a good trade can be damaging if you let it warp your disciplined approach. The fact of the matter is that this is a game of odds, and should be played over a long period of time. Focus on the war – not the battle.
Basic Rules for Shorting Stocks
1. Shorting Momentum names is dangerous: Unless you are Superman, never step in front of a speeding locomotive
2. Valuation alone is insufficient reason to get short a stock — History teaches us that cheap stocks can get cheaper, dear stocks can get more expensive
3. ALWAYS work with a pre-determined loss – either a physical or mental stop loss — Never leave yourself open to infinite losses
4. Fundamentals tell you WHY to short something, not WHEN to short it. ALWAYS have some technical confirmation before shorting. Make a short selling wish list, then WAIT for technical confirmation. (We use Money Flow, Short Term Trend lines, Institutional Ownership, Analyst Ratings).
5. It is tough to be a contrarian: During Bull and Bear cycles, the Crowd IS the market.
You have to figure out two things:
…a) When the crowd is wrong — Doug Kass calls it “Variant Perception”
…b) When the crowd starts to get an inkling they are wrong
At the turns — not the major trends — is where contrarians clean up.
6. Look for Over-owned, Over-loved stocks: 95% Institutional ownership, All buys or Strong Buys (no sells), and 700% gains over the past few years are reasons to put names on your short selling wish list. (That is how my partner Kevin Lane found and shorted Enron and Tyco back in the 1990s).
7. Beware the “Crowded Short“– they tend to become targets of the squeeze!
8. You can use Options to either juice your short returns, or pre-define your risk capital (options)