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Eurostoxx futures +0.3% in early European trading

  • German DAX futures +0.4%
  • UK FTSE futures +0.2%

Risk sentiment is keeping steadier as we get into European morning trade, after a bit of a sluggish showing by equities yesterday. The recent bounce in stocks may have some added breathing room but the storm clouds are still staying the course. Elsewhere, S&P 500 futures are up 0.2%, Nasdaq futures flat, and Dow futures up 0.4% currently.

OPEC meeting preview – “most OPEC producers are struggling to raise output”

  • reports that OPEC is exploring the idea of exempting Russia from its oil-production deal. This could lead to other member such as Saudi Arabia and UAE pumping more crude oil.
  • The oil producing alliance is due to meet on Thursday to discuss its production agreement that has stabilised oil markets over the past couple of years.
  • But the fact remains that most OPEC producers are struggling to raise output. Despite record high prices, many producers have been unable to invest in new fields or even maintain maintenance. Case in point is Libya, which is facing further disruption to output as its Sarir-Hariga pipeline suffers leaks, leading to losses of more than 300kb/d.
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US stocks end an up and down session with losses on the day

The major US  indices  had an up and down trading day. The major indices are closing lower on the day. The markets were influenced by profit taking after the run higher last week that saw the major indices up greater than 6%. Admittedly, those oversized gains came after 7 straight weeks of declines for the S&P and Nasdaq and 8 straight weeks for the Dow. A gain was due in an oversold market.

This week will be challenged by the run up to the US jobs report on Friday. A lot of times, traders/investors want to see what that story tells.

What is more relevant currently is weaker data is better as it has the benefit of potentially slowing the Fed hikes, and with a little luck, slowing the tightness in the economy that is leading to higher inflation, and tighter employment.

The Dow closed lower for the first time after 6 straight days of gains. The Nasdaq and S&P snapped 3 days of gains.

The final number are showing:

  • Dow fell -222.84 points or -0.67% at 32990.11
  • S&P index fell 26.07 points or -0.63% at 4132.16
  • NASDAQ index fell -49.73 points or -0.41% 12081.40
  • Russell 2000 fell 23.85 points or -1.26% at 1864.04

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SIX ESSENTIALS OF EXCELLENCE IN STOCK TRADING YOU SHOULD KNOW – #AnirudhSethi

How can you improve your stock trading skills? Tony Swartz’s article Six Keys to Being Excellent at Anything, which I read yesterday, provoked this question. I linked to the story in my following THINKING TRADER piece, which will be published on Friday, and also supposed to build on it because it was such a thought-provoking piece. After all, according to Mr. Swartz, the keys can be utilized for anything.

What Are The Implications Of These Six Keys For Stock Trading?

  1. Pursue your passions. I did write about how I’m completely enamored with the stock exchange. Apart from being in love is having a strong attachment to someone or something else, in this instance the stock market. Passion “fuels focus, perseverance, and persistence,” according to Swartz. I won’t talk about you, but I feel these are key characteristics of a profitable stock trader, and they all stem from a strong desire to succeed.

 

  1. Start with the most difficult task. In pursuit of their main goal, which is to be the finest they can be even as pushing via uncomfortable situations, the best performers in either field delay immediate satisfaction. Choosing a loss target is the most difficult task for me. I am convinced that the best traders decide where they will take a loss before deciding where they will make money. It’s hard to know how much you’re ready to lose before considering the immediate gratification of increasing your bank account balance. But it must be that way. Take the loss and forego the immediate gratification of money in exchange for a long life of income.

 

  1. Intensive practice is required. “It appears that ninety minutes is the maximum amount of time in which we can devote our full attention to any given activity.” Athletes and musicians in specific must practice diligently every day, although there are restrictions to this and the need for proper rest. So, how would that relate to traders? I trade off larger charts, like the daily/weekly, as well as one intraday chart, and this allows me to devote more time to other activities, including writing this blog. For someone else, like day traders, spending time away from the charts to recharge the batteries is just as important. I’m quite certain most of you would concur that taking a break from the charts allows us to see them more clearly when we return. Trade with zeal, but take a break. When you return, the market will be open. I’ll keep my word.

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THE CAT STEVENS PHILOSOPHY

On my way home from New York a few weeks ago I was listening to Cat Stevens “Moonshadow” on my Ipod and thinking about how simple, philosophically grounded thinking can impact a trader’s bottom line.

We tend to think that taking a loss on a trade is the end of the world when it is not.  It is just a trade that did not work out.  Period.  No need to re-invent the wheel, throw out the baby with the bath water, or cry wolf one too many times.  Maybe we should simply have the attitude of Cat.

… if I ever lost my hands
Lose my plough, lose my land
Oh, if I ever lose my hands- Oh, if…
I wont have to work no more

And if I ever lose my eyes
If my colors all run dry
And if I ever lose my eyes – Oh,
I won’t have to cry no more

And if I ever lose my legs
I won’t moan and I won’t beg
Oh if I ever lose my legs- Oh if…
I won’t have to walk no more

And if I ever lose my mouth
All my teeth, north and south
Yes, if I ever lose my mouth- Oh if…
I won’t have to talk…

Let’s add another stanza here for the stock trader…

… if I ever lose a trade
The Market takes the money I could have made
Oh, if I ever lose a trade…
I won’t have to brag no more!

Kind of puts things in their proper perspective doesn’t it?

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