Downgrade for Japan GDP forecast – a recession is now the most likely scenario

Citi has lopped its economic growth forecast for Japan in response to China’s coronavirus outbreak spread

Will delay economic recovery

  • exports will slow to China
  • tourist numbers from China will be lower

Citi looks for Q1 GDP at an annualised -0.3% … A huge drop from the previous forecast at +0.8%

  • growth to resume in Q2 but at a much slower pace than prior expectations
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