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Happy 90th birthday to Warren Buffett

  
Analysis, Education
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The Oracle of Omaha turns 90 today

Warren Buffett
Warren Buffet celebrates his 90th birthday today as the world’s sixth-richest man. At $82.1 billion, he’s done well for himself.
But what Jason Zweig notes in the WSJ is that the genesis of his genius was in playing the long game and starting as early as possible.
Around the age of 10, he read a book about how to make $1,000 and intuitively grasped the importance of time. In five years, $1,000 earning 10% would be worth more than $1,600; 10 years of 10% growth would turn it into nearly $2,600; in 25 years, it would amount to more than $10,800; in 50 years, it would compound to almost $117,400.
Today’s markets are as get-rich-quick as ever but the long game always wins.

31 Best Quotes on Investing

  
Analysis, Education
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– Warren Buffett

warren buffett

  1. “Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.”
  2. “Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never forget rule No.1”
  3. “Risk comes from not knowing what you are doing.”
  4. “It’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price, than a fair company at a wonderful price.”
  5. “In the business world, the rearview mirror is always clearer than the windshield.”
  6. “Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
  7. “Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”
  8. “The difference between successful people and really successful people is that really successful people say no to almost everything.”
  9. “The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.”
  10. “Diversification is protection against ignorance. It makes little sense if you know what you are doing.”
  11. “I will tell you how to become rich. Close the doors, be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful.”

 

– Philip Fisher

philip fisher

  1. “Conservative investor sleep well.”
  2. “The stock market is filled with individuals who know the price of everything, but the value of nothing.”

 

– Benjamin Graham

  1. “Buy not on optimism, but on arithmetic.”
  2. “The individual investor should act consistently as an investor and not as a speculator.”
  3. “If you are shopping for common stocks, choose them the way you would buy groceries, not the way you would buy perfume.”
  4. The underlying principles of sound investment should not alter from decade to decade, but the application of these principles must be adapted to significant changes in the financial mechanisms and climate.”

 

– Charlie Munger

  1. “Spend each day trying to be a little wiser than you were when you woke up.” – Charlie Munger
  2. “Our job is to find a few intelligent things to do, not to keep up with every damn thing in the world.”
  3. “No wise pilot, no matter how great his talent and experience, fails to use his checklist.” – Charlie Munger Peter

– Peter Lynch

peter lynch

  1. “Behind every stock is a company. Find out what it’s doing.”
  2. “Although it’s easy to forget sometimes, a share is not a lottery ticket… it’s part ownership of a business.”
  3. “If you’re prepared to invest in a company, then you ought to be able to explain why in simple language that a fifth grader could understand, and quickly enough so the fifth grader won’t get bored.”
  4. “Go for a business that any idiot can run – because sooner or later, any idiot probably is going to run it.”
  5. “If you don’t study any companies, you have the same success buying stocks as you do in a poker game if you bet without looking at your cards.”

 

– A few Other Best Quotes on Investing

  1. “Minimizing downside risk while maximizing the upside is a powerful concept.” – Mohnish Pabrai
  2. “The secret to investing is to figure out the value of something – and then pay a lot less.” Joel Greenblatt
  3. “Every once in a while, the market does something so stupid it takes your breath away.” – Jim Cramer
  4. “While it might seem that anyone can be a value investor, the essential characteristics of this type of investor-patience, discipline, and risk aversion-may well be genetically determined.” -Seth Klarman
  5. “Investing should be more like watching paint dry or watching grass grow. If you want excitement, take $800 and go to Las Vegas.” – Paul Samuelson
  6. “The four most dangerous words in investing are: ‘this time it’s different.’” – Sir John Templeton

Warren Buffett makes a big bet on gold

  
  Analysis
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Buffett bought a stake in miner Barrick Gold

Barrick Gold Warren Buffett
Warren Buffett has famously disparaged gold but evidently he’s had a change of heart.
According to a Q2 13F filed today, The Oracle of Omaha added 20.9 million shares of Barrick Gold, which is the world’s second largest gold miner. He paid $563.5 million for the stake, which equates to $26.95 per share and his Berkshire Hathaway owns 1.2% of the company. It was the only new company he bought in the second quarter.
The shares closed at $26.99 on Friday but jumped about $1.00 in after hours trading.
Warren Buffett
This could indicate a massive change of heart from the world’s most famous investor, or one of his deputies.
His most-famous musing on gold was from back in 1998:
“(Gold) gets dug out of the ground in Africa, or someplace. Then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury it again and pay people to stand around guarding it. It has no utility. Anyone watching from Mars would be scratching their head.”
As recently as 2018 he repeated his misgivings about gold.
“The magical metal was no match for the American mettle,” he wrote in his annual letter while comparing the returns of both since he first invested in stocks in 1944.
Now this doesn’t necessarily mean he has a new view on gold. Barrick’s cash flows with gold steady at these levels are compelling (and other miners are even more compelling).  Still, expect much more interest in the space now that Warren Buffett has given it his blessing.
Other highlights from his Q2 13F:
  • Exited Occidental Petroleum, but added to Suncor Energy
  • Cut JPMorgan stake by 62%
  • Cut Mastercard stake by 7%
  • Aside from SU, only added to STOR and KR
  • Reduced WFC, SIRI, PNC, MTB, BK
  • Exited DAL, LUV, UAL, AAL, QSR, GS, OXY
In terms of the ones he reduced. In general Buffett doesn’t sell shares unless he plans to sell out. However at times he has to sell to stay below ownership limits.
Overall, his investment mix doesn’t exactly show confidence in the economic or stock market recovery.

“What Buffett wouldn’t do”

  
Analysis, Education
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Warren Buffett (@WarrenBuffett) | TwitterInvesting:

  • Don’t be too fixated on daily moves in the stock market (from Berkshire letter published in 2014)
  • Don’t get excited about your investment gains when the market is climbing (1996)
  • Don’t be distracted by macroeconomic forecasts (2004)
  • Don’t limit yourself to just one industry (2008)
  • Don’t get taken by formulas (2009)
  • Don’t be short on cash when you need it most (2010)
  • Don’t wager against the U.S. and its economic potential (2015)

Management:

  • Don’t beat yourself up over wrong decisions; take responsibility for them (2001)
  • Don’t have mandatory retirement ages (1992)
  • “Don’t ask the barber whether you need a haircut” because the answer will be what’s best for the man with the scissors (1983)
  • Don’t dawdle (2006)
  • Don’t interfere with great managers (1994)
  • Don’t succumb to the attitudes that undermine businesses (2015)
  • Don’t be greedy about compensation, if you’re my successor (2015)

Last, Buffett advises “Don’t worry about my health” — because Berkshire’s future success is is tied to reinsurance lieutenant Ajit Jain. “Worry about his.” (2001)

Here is the list (so far) of the crypto hacked Twitter account

  
  Analysis
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Accounts hacked so far by the Bitcoin scam, asking you send coins to a bogus address

  •  Bill Gates
  •  Elon Musk
  •  Joe Biden
  •  Warren Buffett
  •  Kanye West
  •  Michael Bloomberg
  •  Apple
  •  Uber
  •  Jeff Bezos
  •  Barack Obama
Tweet looks like this – DO NOT SEND COINS TO ANYONE AT ALL RIGHT NOW until this thing is fixed:
Accounts hacked so far by the Bitcoin scam, asking you send coins to a bogus address

Charlie Munger warns ‘lots of troubles coming’ – ‘too much wretched excess’

  
  Analysis
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Charlie Munger is Warren Buffett’s longtime business partner and vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway

CNBC have this report up on his comments at a shareholders meeting.
  • “In China, … they love to gamble in stocks. This is really stupid,” Munger said. “It’s hard to imagine anything dumber than the way the Chinese hold stocks.”
  • To make his point about excess, Munger cited the proliferation of EBITDA as a fake profit metric. “I don’t like when investment bankers talk about EBITDA, which I call bulls— earnings,” 
Here is the link for more.

Watch Warren Buffett’s first ever television interview

  
Analysis, Video
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Warren Buffett feels like he’s been around forever but he was far from a household name until the late 1990s.
His first television interview didn’t take place until 1985, when he was 55-years old. What’s incredible is that he was saying then is consistent to everything he’s said in the 34 years since.
It underscores that trading isn’t about information, it’s about process. It’s his same ‘circle of competence game’ that doesn’t include chasing what’s hot.
“I don’t have to win at every game,” he said. “There are no called strikes in this game, they just keep pitching, you don’t have to swing at any of them.”
Another interesting point for the long-term investor is that he was cautious of excess noise, something that the internet has brought everywhere.
Given all the changes in the world since this interview — and the remarkable outperformance of tech — it’s truly amazing (and telling) that he’s had so much success.

Jamie Dimon and Warren Buffett can’t get it right

  
  Analysis
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Jamie Dimon and Warren Buffett can’t get it right

15 months ago Jamie Dimon and Warren Buffett were warning people not to buy bonds. At the time, US 10-year yields were at 3.0%. Today they’re at 1.48%. 30-year yields are now below 2%.
Here’s a look at 30-year futures since:
Jamie Dimon and Warren Buffett can't get it right
They’re up 16% while the S&P 500 and Berkshire Hathaway shares are both flat.
He wasn’t alone. On the same weekend last year, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon was warning about the 10-year rising to 4%.
Dimon
The point here isn’t to point out incorrect calls. I’ve had plenty myself.
It’s a reminder that no one knows the future. Jamie Dimon is going to continue to be the greatest bank CEO of his era while Buffett will remain the greatest investor of all time.
Sometimes you’re wrong. Roll with the punches.
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