“Chinese banks face state loans turmoil; about Rmb1,550B in questionable loans. “
This simple sentence reminds me of the Japanese Banks prior to the big Nikkei crash, that has not yet recovered (over 20 years).
What did we learn from the subprime mess ? The banks lied to us …..
What did we learn about the Nikkei crash ? The banks lied ….
1) Watch the Shanghai Index ! It has risen from its July’s low to almost 2600 ; a key resistance level.
2) Watch light crude oil prices (key indicator for the Chinese demand)
3) Did you just make some money on this rally ? SELL !!!!
I am bearish ? No, its just NOT the time to “buy and hold”
Archives of “turmoil” tag
rssInexorable Change
Since change is ubiquitous and permanent, we might as well become experts at adapting. We can get comfortable with change and look forward to its permutations and surprises. We can train ourselves to become adept at learning, unlearning, and relearning.
On the other hand, we don’t want to be whipsawed back and forth through too rapid repositioning. Nor do we want to keep switching methods and systems. We need to find the balance between being steady and too speedy a responder. We need to comprehend that markets, like the ocean, have waves, tides, and tsunamis. Each needs to be handled differently.
We want to make change an acceptable reality rather than a soap opera. We need to be flexible and versatile. In being flexible we observe reality clearly and adjust our actions. In being versatile we utilize our trained ability to perceive and react effectively.
Volatility in markets can be embraced as opportunity or feared as danger. That shot of adrenaline you feel as you trade can be exciting or terrifying depending on how you view the situation. Interpretation is at the essential core of our trading.
A good way to start each trading day is by asking some questions: Where are the opportunities today? Are there any impending risks to my positions? Where might the opportunities or risks develop?
In the midst of unfolding turmoil or stagnant stalling, we need to distinguish between the fundamental and technical changes that are structural and therefore important and possibly extensive, and those that are merely headlines passing through and therefore only interesting and probably short lived.
In any event, accept whatever is happening, utilize your methods and guidelines, take a deep breath, and do your best. Remember, as it has been said, “All you can do is all you can do, and all you can do is enough.”
Jim Rogers' Keys to Success
Jim Rogers’ Keys to Success (taken from the titles and sub headings of each chapter of the new book, “A Gift to My Children: A Father’s Lessons for Life and Investing
“)
1. Do not let others do your thinking for you
2. Focus on what you like
3. Good habits for life & investing
4. Common sense? not so common
5. Attention to details is what separates success from failure
6. Let the world be a part of your perspective
7. Learn philosophy & learn to think
8. Learn history
9. Learn languages (make sure Mandarin is one of them) (more…)
Life Insights From Great Inventors
* “Opportunity is missed by most people because it is dressed in overalls and looks like work.” – Thomas Edison. * “The scientists of today think deeply instead of clearly. One must be sane to think clearly, but one can think deeply and be quite insane.” – Nikola Tesla * “Concentrate all your thoughts upon the work at hand. The sun’s rays do not burn until brought to a focus.” – Alexander Graham Bell * “A problem well stated is a problem half-solved.” – Charles Kettering * “The best thinking has been done in solitude. The worst has been done in turmoil.” – Thomas Edison * “There is nothing in a caterpillar that tells you it’s going to be a butterfly.” – R. Buckminster Fuller * “A successful person isn’t necessarily better than her less successful peers at solving problems; her pattern-recognition facilities have just learned what problems are worth solving.” – Ray Kurzweil * “It doesn’t matter if you try and try and try again, and fail. It does matter if you try and fail, and fail to try again.” – Charles Kettering * “What we do during our working hours determines what we have; what we do in our leisure hours determines what we are.” – George Eastman * “God, to me, it seems, is a verb not a noun, proper or improper.” – R. Buckminster Fuller * “Everything comes to him who hustles while he waits.” – Thomas Edison * “When one door closes, another opens; but we often look so long and so regretfully upon the closed door that we do not see the one which has opened for us.” – Alexander Graham Bell * “We often say that the biggest job we have is to teach a newly hired employee to fail intelligently… to experiment over and over again and to keep on trying and failing until he learns what will work.” – Charles Kettering |