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Trading Intuition

  
  Education
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I’ve heard from many traders that they often take decisions based on instincts. Actually, all non-quants use intuition in some form or another. If you are not using a program that takes all signals that your system produces, how do you decide between several equally good looking trading setups with similar risk to reward? Do you take them all or do you concentrate on only a few? The odds are that you are doing the latter and your ultimate choice for capital allocation is subconscious.

Even though we are defined by our decisions, we are often completely unaware of what’s happening inside our heads during the decision-making process.
Feelings are often an accurate shortcut, a concise expression of decades’ worth of experience.
The process of thinking requires feeling, for feelings are what let us understand all the information that we can’t directly comprehend. Reason without emotion is impotent. (more…)

15 Mistakes by Traders

  
  Education
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1) Always wants to be in the game .. more time means less money
2) Wants money quickly .. you can’t control the market 
3) Finds it very inexact – which system – how much to risk – there are no hard and fast rules .. 
using a positive expectancy system with a clear edge will work out over a period of time if risk is proportionate
4) Finds it boring to trade small
Since no trade is a sure thing and even with positive expectation, it is possible to have a string of 10 consecutive lossees. It is important to risk less to give probabilities a chance to work in your favour
5) Wants immediate gratification – can’t wait
You don’t control the market
6) Keeps looking for new indicators/systems – the sure system
There is no definiteness..
7) Keeps trying new indicators
Nothing works all the time
8) Keeps switching between different techniques – he wants the techniques to work 100% of the time
Nothing works all the time.. Instead stick with a few proven systems and trade them all the time
9) Very Adventurous
You are here to make money and not for thrills
10) Wants to make big money overnight.. Multiple positions – excess leverage
Since you can never be sure if the next trade is a winner or if the next 10 trades are losers, why would you want to risk too much (more…)

Lessons From The Wizards

  
  Education
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One of the first books I read in this business oh-so many years ago was Stock Market Wizards. It had a profound impact on my thinking about trading, psychology, risk, capital preservation, etc.

Sometime ago, I came across a good discussion of the lessons from the book at Simply Options Trading. What follows is my edited adaptation of those rules he derived from Stock Market Wizards:

    1. All successful traders use methods that suit their personality; You are neither Waren Buffett nor George Soros nor Jesse Livermore; Don’t assume you can trade like them.

     What the market does is beyond your control; Your reaction to the market, however, is not beyond your control. Indeed, its the ONLY thing you can control.

     To be a winner, you have to be willing to take a loss; (The Stop-Loss Breakdown)

     HOPE is not a word in the winning Trader’s vocabulary;

     When you are on a losing streak — and you will eventually find yourself on one — reduce your position size;

     Don’t underestimate the time it takes to succeed as a trader — it takes 10 years to become very good at anything; (There Are No Shortcuts)

     Trading is a vocation — not a hobby (more…)

    Lessons from the Wizards

      
      Education
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    All successful traders use methods that suit their personality; You are neither Waren Buffett nor George Soros nor Jesse Livermore; Don’t assume you can trade like them.

    What the market does is beyond your control; Your reaction to the market, however, is not beyond your control. Indeed, its the ONLY thing you can control.

    To be a winner, you have to be willing to take a loss; (The Stop-Loss Breakdown)

    HOPE is not a word in the winning Trader’s vocabulary;

    When you are on a losing streak — and you will eventually find yourself on one — reduce your position size;

    Don’t underestimate the time it takes to succeed as a trader — it takes 10 years to become very good at anything; (There Are No Shortcuts)

    Trading is a vocation — not a hobby

    Have a business/trading plan

    Identify your greatest weakness, Be honest — and DEAL with it

    There are times when the best thing to do is nothing; Learn to recognize these times
    (Nothing Doing)

    Being a great trader is a process. It’s a race with no finish line.

    Other people’s opinions are meaningless to you; Make your own trading decisions
    (The Wrong Crowd)

    Analyze your past trades. Study what happened to the stocks after you closed the position. Consider your P&L game tapes and go over them the way Vince Lombardi Bill Parcells reviewed past Superbowls

    Excessive leverage can knock you out of the game permanently

    The Best traders continue to learn — and adapt to changing conditions

    Don’t just stand there and let the truck roll over you

    Being wrong is acceptable — staying wrong is unforgivable

    Contain your losses (Protect Your Backside)

    Good traders manage the downside; They don’t worry about the upside

    Wall street research reports are biased

    Knowing when to get out of a position is as important as when to get in

    To excel, you have to put in hard work

    Discipline, Discipline, Discipline !

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