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4 Elements Required to Trade Successfully

  
  Education
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There are 4 elements you must master:

  • Idenifying support and resistance. If you are trading in the middle of the range, you will be more suseptible to what seem to be reversals, but are actually just noise in between a trading range. Do not enter if your stock has moved more than 5 percent above support or the breakout point.

  • Identifying volume patterns. If you buy a dip on high volume, there’s a higher probability of getting caught in the midst of a reversal. Same goes for low volume breakouts.

  • Set appropriate stops, based on support, resistance and percentage of your trading portfolio. Even if you take the appropriate cautions, you can still get reversed. It shouldn’t hurt when you do.

  • Do not trade scared. Trust your analysis and risk parameters.

It has taken me time to master these four elements to trading, and at times I still fall into my old habits. The key is to constantly assess both the technical and mental aspects of your game. There are 4 elements you must master:

  • Idenifying support and resistance. If you are trading in the middle of the range, you will be more suseptible to what seem to be reversals, but are actually just noise in between a trading range. Do not enter if your stock has moved more than 5 percent above support or the breakout point.

  • Identifying volume patterns. If you buy a dip on high volume, there’s a higher probability of getting caught in the midst of a reversal. Same goes for low volume breakouts.

  • Set appropriate stops, based on support, resistance and percentage of your trading portfolio. Even if you take the appropriate cautions, you can still get reversed. It shouldn’t hurt when you do.

  • Do not trade scared. Trust your analysis and risk parameters.

It has taken me time to master these four elements to trading, and at times I still fall into my old habits. The key is to constantly assess both the technical and mental aspects of your game.

Stock Trading Rules

  
  Education
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istock Many of you have asked us  that you have  plan on or have written a book on the subject of trading. We haven’t yet, but plans are
 currently in the works for one. In organizing our notes recently, We have found a number of great trading rules that we have gathered
 along the way. Here are a few that we think are particularly helpful now:
 1. Be on the correct side of the supply and demand forces at work.
 2. Never upset the trading Gods by talking up your book. Hubris kills.
 3. Risk must be embraced, not feared.
 4. Reversals are always more lucrative than trends.
 5. Cycles tend to change before you can take advantage of them.
 6. Wishful thinking and emotional trading are a loser’s game.
 7. Never fall in love with a winning stock.

Gorman & Kennedy, Visual Guide to Elliott Wave Trading-Book Review

  
  Education
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First, what Visual Guide to Elliott Wave Trading by Wayne Gorman and Jeffrey Kennedy (Bloomberg/Wiley, 2013) is not. It is not an Elliott wave primer. The authors direct the reader who knows nothing about wave patterns to the classic presentation by Frost and Prechter, available free online.

Instead, this visual guide shows how to actually use Elliott waves in trading, both as a stand-alone tool and, more perfunctorily, in combination with technical indicators. It also includes two chapters on incorporating Elliott waves into options trading strategies

Many of the Elliott waves the author illustrate (and naturally the illustrations are abundant) are of the “real world” vs. the “textbook” variety. That is, they are tricky to decipher even in hindsight. This difficulty has led many critics to claim that Elliott wave theory is useless in real time. In fact, the authors admit that “under the Elliott wave model, there is usually more than one valid wave count at any particular time” and that “sometimes these wave counts point in opposite directions.” (p. 195)

For the trader in doubt (who is not pursuing an option strategy that can profit under more than one scenario), Gorman and Kennedy provide visual cues—usually familiar patterns such as channels and wedges, sometimes Fibonacci levels—that help the trader make sense of the waves. The chapter titles in Part II (“Trading Examples”) point to some of these cues: “How Zigzags and Flats Set Up a Trade for the Next Impulse Wave,” “How a Triangle Positions You for the Next Move,” “Riding Wave C in a Zigzag,” and “Using Ending Diagonals to Trade Swift and Sharp Reversals.” (more…)

I Trade In The Zone.

  
  Education
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  1. I Trade In The Zone’. I Trade IN The Moment, IN The Present, With Total Disregard For What Others Think & Feel About Me.
  2. ‘I Trade In The Zone’. I Ignore ALLEmotions & Defensive Perspectives. I Trade; I Do, I Act From An Entirely Detached & Impartial Perspective.
  3. ‘I Trade In The Zone’. Only In The Zone Do I See The Market As It Truly Is.
  4. ‘I Trade In The Zone’. I Block Out ALL Bad Habits & Self-Limiting Beliefs Attained From My Past, My Environment & Their Surrounding Noise.
  5. ‘I Trade In The Zone’. My Mind Is Pure, Clear, Focused & Yet Empty. The product Of‘Choice’ Means I ALWAYS Can; At Will, ‘Trade In The Zone’.
  6. ‘I Trade In The Zone’. I Trade Without Ego, Never Reacting To Pain, Sorrow Or Fear. I Just Trade The Market As It Truly Is. I Am A Super Trader, I Am The Master Of My Emotions, & So I Can Trade In The Zone. ‘I TRADE IN THE ZONE’.
  7. ‘I Trade In The Zone’. Trading In MY Zone Means I Distinguish Actual Reality From My Interpretations & Projections Of Reality. I Control The Zone!
  8. ‘I Trade In The Zone’. Only In The Zone, My Centred State, Can I ‘Super Trade.’ I Flow With Trends, I Spot Reversals & Breakouts; I Cut Losses Without Hesitancy & Let My Profits Run Perpetually. ‘I Trade In The Zone’.
  9. The Zone Is Where I Live; It’s My Nirvana, My Sanctuary, My Paradise, My Heaven.
  10. I LIVE & TRADE In The Zone. The Zone Is In Me; & The Key To Enter Is Within Me Forever!

Respect the Pattern

  
  Education
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Our view is that we need to respect the spirit of any pattern and not worry too much about the letter of the law, so to speak. Opens and closes on doji candles need not be exactly the same. Island gaps reversals (abandoned babies) need not have actual gaps. Why? Because 24-hour trading, decimalization, derivatives, etc… have changed the landscape and what constitutes an open and a close is now a very fuzzy proposition.

The financial markets are radically different than they were last century, last decade and even last year. The spirit of the tools still works because humans do the same old dumb (and occasionally) smart things over and over. It is the actual rules of the analysis that are questionable so keep it simple and you should be fine.

Trading Without Targets

  
  Education
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Focused on entries, traders often don’t explicitly identify where they would harvest profits. They hold trades too long, exiting in a panic after reversals, or they take profits quickly, missing opportunity. They don’t factor current volatility into estimates of how far the market could move on their time frame, and they often don’t explicitly look for targets based upon prior moves and ranges.

How to Treat Delusional Disorder

  
  Education
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This market is delusional!  I’ve heard it several times, but I am still unsure exactly what this means.  Given what I’ve seen and heard on this trading desk over the past several weeks I can begin to hypothesize about the true nature of this ubiquitous exclamation.  First, strength and weakness in the market has not necessarily translate to strength and weakness in individual names.  Dean’s portfolio has been the best barometer of this divergence.  His long cash book has felt the slings and arrows of a declining market while under performing on up days; the perfect shitstorm.  Strong balance sheets and superior management have failed to translate into upward price action.  On the other side of the coin, Moskowitz’s technical strategy has also struggled in the face of this “delusional” market.  Daily levels of support and resistance, moving averages, and pivot points have been broken, traversed, and forsaken.  Familiar setups have failed to produce familiar results.  Finally, after reviewing the charts of Schwartz’s portfolio, we came to the conclusion that the tenets of relative strength and relative weakness have been all but abandoned.  Names have shown massive intraday reversals that suck away P&L without warning.

Given the “delusional” nature of the market, there is only one strategy that guarantees success; get small.  The fact that strategies have lacked their usual effectiveness does not imply they are obsolete; however, given the unusual action we have witnessed lately, it is advisable to limit one’s exposure to the bizarre action.  Eventually the market will begin to look like its old self and when that time comes, the heavens will open and the money gods will reappear.  In the meantime, remember the old axiom: “The market can remain delusional longer than you can remain solvent.”

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