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Japan ruling party lawmaker says unlikely to propose ban or restriction on TikTok

Comments by Japan ruling party lawmaker Nakayama

But says that a change of ownership of TikTok’s Japan operations is one possible way to address concerns over the app and whether or not it is safe to use.
A coordinated move by US and its allies against Chinese firms could draw further ire from China and that may see tensions escalate i.e. impact the risk mood. For now at least, it is still mostly the Trump administration coming down hard on TikTok and ByteDance.

US administration is suspicious of China nuclear weapon tests – may do so too

A US media report that the Trump administration has discussed conducting a US nuclear test.

Citing a senior administration official and two former officials familiar with the deliberations for the info:
  • The matter came up at a meeting of senior officials representing the top national security agencies May 15, following accusations from administration officials that Russia and China are conducting low-yield nuclear tests – an assertion that has not been substantiated by publicly available evidence and that both countries have denied.
  • US has not decided to conduct a test, but a senior administration official said the proposal is “very much an ongoing conversation”
More at the link here.
Another hint to issues between the US and China. Add this to the list of trade tensions, HK tensions, coronavirus blame game.
A US media report that the Trump administration has discussed conducting a US nuclear test.

Unpublished US data from the White House shows coronavirus infections spiking across the US

US media (NBC news) reporting on data undisclosed by the Trump administration

  • Coronavirus infection rates are spiking to new highs in several metropolitan areas and smaller communities
  • data in a May 7 coronavirus task force report, undisclosed by the adminstration
  • The 10 top areas recorded surges of 72.4 percent or greater over a seven-day period compared to the previous week, according to a set of tables produced for the task force by its data and analytics unit. They include Nashville, Tennessee; Des Moines, Iowa; Amarillo, Texas; and – atop the list, with a 650 percent increase – Central City, Kentucky.
Trump’s said on Monday that “all throughout the country, the numbers are coming down rapidly.” Even without this disclosure of the secret data hoard that claim is obvious bullshit.
WH death toll projections are rapidly moving toward realisation:
US media (NBC news) reporting on data undisclosed by the Trump administration

US President Trump interview: Trade deal with China has been upset very badly

Trump interview with Reuters

  • says China “will do anything they can to have me lose” 2020 election
  • says looking at different options in terms of consequences for China for its handling of coronavirus crisis, says I can do a lot
  • says trade deal with China has been “upset very badly” by the coronavirus
  • says South Korea has agreed to pay united states a lot of money for defense cooperation
  • says he does not see 2020 election as a referendum on his handling of virus
  • says does not believe polls showing Biden ahead
Main points summary via Reuters.
The comments on possible retaliation against China do not read as encouraging for further trade talks. AUD down a few tics.
Trump interview with Reuters 

Trump says if oil price stays the way it is he would do very substantial tariffs

Oil remarks from US President Trump.

The oil price has plunged at the opening to this week’s trade after weekend news and comments. Trump’s latest in that headline cutting a few cents out of it again.
  • if oil price stays the way it is he would do very substantial tariffs
  • does not think he will need to use tariffs in oil fight
(On that second remark, note that Trump has said a few times from late last week that expects Russia and Saudi to cut production, he’s mentioned by 10m barrels a day, perhaps 15m. Noter also though that the OPEC+ meeting scheduled for today has been put off to April 9. )

Trump drops idea of New York lockdown as U.S. death count crosses 2,000

President Donald Trump said on Saturday that he would issue a travel warning for the hard-hit New York area to limit the spread of the coronavirus, backing off from an earlier suggestion that he might try to cut off the region entirely.

“A quarantine will not be necessary,” he said on Twitter.

Trump’s announcement came as the U.S. death count crossed 2,100, more than double the level from two days ago. The United States has now recorded more than 122,000 cases of the respiratory virus, the most of any country in the world.

Since the virus first appeared in the United States in late January, Trump has vacillated between playing down the risks of infection and urging Americans to take steps to slow its spread.

Trump said on Saturday afternoon that he might impose a ban on travel in and out of New York and parts of New Jersey and Connecticut, the U.S. epicenter of the disease, to protect other states that have yet to bear the brunt. He offered few specifics.

Critics promptly called the idea unworkable, saying it would cause chaos in a region that serves as the economic engine of the eastern United States, accounting for 10 percent of the population and 12 percent of GDP. (more…)

US president Trump: Fed should ease and cut rate big

Trump calls for Fed rate cuts again after the RBA decision earlier

Powell Trump

“Australia’s Central Bank cut interest rates and stated it will most likely further ease in order to make up for China’s Coronavirus situation and slowdown. They reduced to 0.5%, a record low. Other countries are doing the same thing, if not more so. Our Federal Reserve has us paying higher rates than many others, when we should be paying less. Tough on our exporters and puts the USA at a competitive disadvantage. Must be the other way around. Should ease and cut rate big. Jerome Powell led Federal Reserve has called it wrong from day one. Sad!”

What else is new. Either way, the market has also already held the Fed hostage ahead of this month’s policy decision. Knowing the Fed, they’ll oblige to cut rates as such and Trump will get his wish – though that policy room is surely getting smaller.

Recap: Trump impeachment story, where are we now?

The Lower House has voted in favour to impeach US president Trump on two accounts earlier today

Trump

 

He is certainly not having a good day but it isn’t the end of the world for Trump, not even close in fact. The House of Representatives (Lower House) may have voted to impeach him on the two accounts above but it will not happen unless Senate also votes similarly.
And to that note, it is extremely unlikely to happen especially since the Republicans still hold a majority there and 2/3 votes are needed for the impeachment charges to succeed.
If you’re wondering why markets aren’t reacting to the news, that is the main reason why. Greg also gave a bit of an overview of the situation yesterday here.
The Democrats themselves know how this can all play out in the new year, which is leading to the suggestion that they may just prolong the process of passing things over to Congress – in hopes that the impeachment news will brew and bubble up among the public.
That said, it shouldn’t make much difference to markets unless this spills over to damage Trump’s election chances – which is also seen as unlikely at this stage.
So in short, Trump is one step closer to actually being impeached but it is almost certainly still not going to happen. As you were..

Global Times editor warns on China retaliation if US imposes December tariffs

The Chinese media is keeping up with its warning messages to Trump

The tweet from Hu Xijin reads:

“Impose tariffs, China will surely retaliate, such a trade war escalation scenario has been played several times. Washington won’t be so naïve to still believe it can crush China, will it? A trade war that doesn’t result in a trade deal will only be completely denied by history.”

It’s something similar to the message sent out yesterday here. The past two days have seen the Global Times come up with constant “reminders” to the US that if they do implement tariffs at the end of this week, it could lead to more bad blood between the two countries.

China likes Trump as US president: a “business man”, “would be glad to have him re-elected”

Despite the US-China tensions it seems China is very happy to be negotiating with US President Trump.

Washington Post carries the endorsement:
  • “Trump is a businessman. We can just pay him money and the problems will be solved,” said a politically connected person in Beijing, speaking on the condition of anonymity 
  • he is “easy to read,” said Long Yongtu, a former vice minister of foreign trade
  • “We want Trump to be reelected; we would be glad to see that happen.”
Its worth checking out the article, there is plenty more. Here is the link and it isn’t long.
It makes the ‘China is waiting it out until after the US election’ point of view less valid?
China is very happy to be negotiating with US President Trump.
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