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Trading Game is Simple It’s Just not easy

 I believe that good traders are able to trade the markets effortlessly – it’s simple to them. But getting to the point of doing anything effortlessly is not easy. In fact, it’s really hard. A good analogy would be describing an athletes ability to perform his or her skill. If we took two people – one being a person who runs two miles everyday versus a person who hasn’t ran for the past two months, who will have the easier time running one mile? The answer is simple of course. The person who runs everyday will be able to run one mile easily – it will be effortless to them. However, the person who hasn’t ran in two months will find it extremely hard to and likely have to take breaks in-between so that he or she can finish.

In order for trading to become simple, there are some crucial and necessary steps that need to be taken. There needs to be consistency in the traders approach to the markets. It’s unfortunate, but we are in a day and age where traders are obsessed with just “trading for the fun of it”, and they aren’t realizing that that’s what’s preventing them from being consistent and successful. Again, if we go back to our analogy, does a great athlete deter from their routine? No. In fact, they have routines that boil down to eating, and sleeping habits in order to keep themselves moving in the right direction. It’s really not a mystery, but for whatever reason most traders seem to fail that this approach is what’s needed if you want to be good.

There really is a direct correlation between traders who are good and traders who are not. There is a direct correlation between traders who are consistent and traders who ride the roller coaster. That difference is preparation. Preparation and repetition is what makes anyone great at what they do. But preparing is not easy. It takes focus, will, and a lot of discipline. In trading that translates to having a very specific trading plan, with specific rules and the discipline to do it every single day. And as you prepare yourself everyday in your approach to the markets, you’ll find that trading becomes simple. It becomes effortless.

So if you want to be a good trader, scratch that – if you want to become a great trader, step back and think about what it really takes, and prepare yourself. It won’t be easy, but sooner or later you’ll realize how simple it really is.

Risk Size Is Key

YOUR WINNERS CAN RUN….IF YOU LET THEM
The proponents of risk/reward ratios say that in order to be successful the trade must out produce the amount of money you have at risk by at least double or triple your risk amount but what they fail to take into consideration is that the reward side of any trade is unknown. 
WHAT YOU CONTROL
You see the only part of the trading equation that you have any control over is the risk side of the trade. The reward side of any trade is a complete mystery. Oh sure, we all have our best guesses as to where the market might go next, but in the end it’s really just a crap shoot. Sometimes we’re right and sometimes we’re wrong and if we’re honest with ourselves we will admit that we really don’t know where the market is going next. 
If we don’t really know where the market is going, namely the reward side of the trade, why would we even include it in our trade scenario never mind making it the deciding factor of whether to take a trade or not? Obvious, right? Yet in spite of this I continue to encounter traders who insist on only taking high risk/reward trades thinking that they are being smart investors by doing so. (more…)

TRADING IS SIMPLE. IT’S JUST NOT EASY

How could two phrases sound so similar, but yet be so different?

I think we need to look differences between the context of each phrase.

When I describe the idea of trading being simple, what I really mean is that itshould be effortless. The word effortless is defined by Merriam-Webster Dictionary as:

showing or requiring little or no effort <effortlesspower>

I believe that good traders are able to trade the markets effortlessly – it’s simple to them. But getting to the point of doing anything effortlessly is noteasy. In fact, it’s really hard. A good analogy would be describing an athletes ability to perform his or her skill. If we took two people – one being a person who runs two miles everyday versus a person who hasn’t ran for the past two months, who will have the easier time running one mile? The answer is simple of course. The person who runs everyday will be able to run one mile easily – it will be effortless to them. However, the person who hasn’t ran in two months will find it extremely hard to and likely have to take breaks in-between so that he or she can finish. (more…)

Bloodsport teaches trading

In my all time favourite Jean Claude Van Damme film, Bloodsport, JCVD travels to Hong Kong to fight in the Kumite, a legendary, underground fighting tournament that takes place once every four years.

This piece of cheesy dialogue is highly relevant to trading:

Journalist: Why is it that no one will talk about the Kumite? What is this air of mystery? (pause) Why are you fighting in it?

JCVD: It’s personal.

Journalist: You want to prove your manhood to the world?

JCVD: The Kumite is for the fighters, not for the people who read the newspapers.

Lesson: Always remember your motive.

In this clip, JCVD is through to the the final, where he fights Kumite champion Chong Li. Note that Bolo Yeung (the actor who played Chong Li), was 49 years old when Bloodsport was filmed.

Learn From Paul Tudor Jones: Risk Size Is Key

We’ve all heard the “experts” preach to us that we should only take trades which offer at least a 2:1, or better yet a 3:1 reward to risk ratio and on the surface this seems like sound advice, but is it really?
RETHINK YOUR STRATEGY
I used to be one of those educators who would jump on the risk/reward bandwagon until one day when I stepped back and took an objective look at what trading is and how I can best optimize my chances of success. When I did this I realized that not only was the whole risk/reward premise false but that it had the potential to ruin chances for trading success by keeping me out of some of the best trades.
YOUR WINNERS CAN RUN….IF YOU LET THEM
The proponents of risk/reward ratios say that in order to be successful the trade must out produce the amount of money you have at risk by at least double or triple your risk amount but what they fail to take into consideration is that the reward side of any trade is unknown. 
WHAT YOU CONTROL
You see the only part of the trading equation that you have any control over is the risk side of the trade. The reward side of any trade is a complete mystery. Oh sure, we all have our best guesses as to where the market might go next, but in the end it’s really just a crap shoot. Sometimes we’re right and sometimes we’re wrong and if we’re honest with ourselves we will admit that we really don’t know where the market is going next.  (more…)

Open Mind

Nothing is infallible in the stock market — no theory, no measure of the market be it technical, fundamental, or cyclical. The basic tenet of any investment or trading methodology worth its salt should be that it’s not infallible.

Those that demand the least from a method will gain the most from it. Those who demand the most from a method will be the ones most frustrated by it.

The only way to gain control is to give up control. The only way to gain control is to give up the idea of trying to have control.

The market is more art than science: The good and bad part of any genuine approach to the market is that it requires interpretation, which is what makes markets and opportunity, but is bad because it’s frustrating.

The study of the market is part theoretical and part philosophical. That’s what makes it so intriguing. The market is a mystery. Despite all the artificial intelligence and computer power available, no one has solved the mystery. There’s no sure thing in the markets.

This is no-man’s-land. Every technical benchmark and data point seem but an island in the market’s stream of confusion.

As a trading bro said to me over the weekend, “If you have an opinion in this market, you’re wrong.”

Keep an open mind.

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