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Stop It

There’s an old joke about the investor who never used any stop losses. His friend knew his big positions were getting crushed.
Out of concern, the friend asked, “How are you sleeping?”
“Like a baby” he answered.
“Really? You aren’t nervous or upset?”
“I sleep like a baby” he repeated.
“That’s amazing. I’d never be able to sleep through the night with those types of losses.”
“Who said anything about sleeping through the night? I said I slept like a baby: I wake up every two hours, wet myself and cry for 30 minutes before falling back to sleep.”
That’s why risk management is so critical: to save you from sleeping like a baby, and in the long run to save you a lot of money.

There’s a reason flight attendants show you where the emergency exits are before takeoff. The same thinking should apply to investors. Prudent investors have a sell strategy in place beforethey get involved with a stock. Using any of these stop strategies helps keep your emotions out of the process when an investing emergency arises.

10 Signs You Might still be a New Trader

  1. New Traders do not understand what all the fuss is about risk management and trader psychology they do not need all that they are special.

  2. New Traders believe there is some magic trading method that always wins, they search for the Holy Grail of trading.
  3. New Traders do not understand that the very best traders have strings of losses , losing months, and sometimes even losing years. They think rich traders always win.
  4. New Traders want to know what is going up or down, they focus on tips instead of the mechanics of trading.
  5. New Traders hand out advice freely to others, good traders realize that decisions are based on individual methods and do not give out tips.
  6. New Traders are looking for that one big winning trade to go all in on, good traders are trading good systems that they risk 1% per trade on.
  7. New Traders confuse bull markets for skill.
  8. New Traders confuse luck for skill.
  9. New Traders want advice, good traders want robust systems.
  10. New Traders run from method to method and from mentor to mentor after every losing streak, good traders know exactly who they are and what methods they trade.

 

Speculation -Defination

Speculation by definition requires some amount of loss otherwise the game is fixed. However, I believe loss can be broken down into avoidable loss and unavoidable loss. Unavoidable loss is, well, unavoidable. But in my personal experience (and based on pretty much all speculative loss I have seen or read about) all avoidable speculative loss is traced back to some core elements/violations: not being disciplined (many interpretations), getting emotional and all of the associated errors and mistakes that brings, sizing positions too big so that regardless of odds you eventually have to reach ruin, not being consistent in your approach (the switches), not managing your risk adequately either via position sizing or stop losses, finally you have to be patient for the right pitch whatever that may be for you. 

GAMBLING ADDICTION with trading

how many of you never seem to win consistently?

how many of you hold on because you did have some winning days which means you have potential?

how many of you tell yourselves that its not an addiction,its just a passion you have?

how many of you keep on replenishing your trading accounts because just like any business,you always lose money at the start?
how many of you tell yoursleves your losses are the BEST THING that ever happened because thats the best way to learn?

how many of you think of crafty ways to get some extra money wired into your trading accounts?

how many of you say you would have won if you only “stuck to your discipline”?

how many of you are just waiting FOR THAT SPECIAL DAY WHEN EVERYTHING FINALLY CLICKS AND YOU’VE FINALLY FOUND THAT EDGE?

how many of you fall into a depression and feel as if someone has hit you in the heart with a hammer aftr a big loss.

how many of you cannot wait for the next day to make some money back?

my favorite: “tomorrows a new day and i will start fresh, a new trading style that will be disciplined”.

there are many guys that make lots of money trading for a living..really,you seriously believe that?

Trading Mistakes

Letting small losses turn into large losses.
— Refusing to take a loss at all.
— Overbetting.
— Bottom fishing/Catching falling knives.
— Averaging down.
— Shorting bulls and buying bears.
— Confusing the company with its stock.
— Falling in love with a “story.”
— Following the leader.
— Buying IPOs.
— Finding the Holy Grail.
— Overtrading.
— Excessive tape watching.
— Being undercapitalized.
— Letting the tax tail wag the stock dog.
— Relying on Blue Channels and Website Analysts
— Thinking this market stuff is easy.
— Thinking rather than looking.

10 Positive Assertions

                                                                             positive-energyI want only what the market wants !
I enter in the market only when all of my indicators are pointed in the same directions !
I place stops as I enter trades !
I let any trade go that misses my entry !
I only initiate trade with a target price and a risk reward ratio of more than 1 : 1.
I have a reason to exit every trade !
I stay peaceful, calm and cool and see any and all of my emotions in a disassociated
vision apart from me while trading !
I cut my losses short with every trade !
I focus on each trade meeting its trading plan to measure success.
I trade in a regulated, even and controlled way so that I am always prepared in my mindset to pass on all trade should there be none for the whole day !

Learn from Losses

As a trader you have to learn how to take losses. Period. Don’t be a crybaby. Learn how to take losses.

Learning how to take losses is one of the most important lessons you must learn if you want to survive as a trader. Nobody is 100% right all the time. Losses are inevitable. Even Michael Jordan and Tiger Woods lose sometimes and they’re considered the best in their field.

There will be trading streaks where you’ll have a number of successful consecutive trades, but that will eventually come to an end you will take a loss.

As that point it’s very important not to lose your head, you must remain in control of yourself. Don’t have a cow man.

Take a break. Calm down and relax. Take a chill pill dude.

Until you’ve regained a clear mind and an ability to think logically again, stay out of the market.

Don’t whine about your loss and never carry a prejudice against a loss.

The key to manage losses is to cut them quickly before a small loss becomes a large one.

I repeat. The key to manage losses is to cut them quickly before a small loss becomes a large one.

Never ever think that you will never lose. That’s just ludicrous. Losses are just like profits, it’s all part of the trader’s universe.

Losses are unavoidable. Get over the loss and move on to the next trade.

Anything Can Happen

The point is that from our own individual perspective as observers of the market, anything can happen, and it takes only one trader to do it. This is the hard, cold reality of trading that only the very best traders have embraced and accepted with no internal conflict. How do I know this? Because only the best traders consistently pre-define their risks before entering a trade. Only the best traders cut their losses without reservation or hesitation when the market tells them the trade isn’t working. And only the best traders have an organized, systematic, money-management regimen for taking profits when the market goes in the direction of their trade.

Not predefining your risk, not cutting your losses, or not systematically taking profits are three of the most common—and usually the most costly—trading errors you can make. Only the best traders have eliminated these errors from their trading. At some point in their careers, they learned to believe without a shred of doubt that anything can happen, and to always account for what they don’t know, for the unexpected.

Trading Wisdom

Often I think we overcomplicate trading.  All this talk of risk management, money management, entries, exits etc ad nauseum can leave us not being able to see the wood for the trees.

It’s obvious that you need to cut your losses.  If you let them run or get out of control your aren’t going to be in the business for long. 

But there is another very good and often forgotten reason why you should not let your losses run that William O’Neill highlights:

O’Neill “letting your losses run is the most serious mistake made by almost all investors” simply because “if you don’t sell to cut your losses when you get into trouble, you can easily lose the confidence you’ll need to make buy and sell decisions in the future.”

But if you learn to do this then you stand some chance of doing this:

“Take your losses quickly and your profits slowly” because “your objective is not just to be right but to make big money when you are right.”

The first quote is another great one to heed.  If we do and combine it with the second well…… we might just be able to make the big money once in a while.

The Four Principles of Trading

  1. The price has the final say. You may have an opinion on the market, but it is dangerous to marry it to your positions, as famous trader Richard Dennis explained, “You don’t get any profits from fundamental analysis; you get profit from buying and selling. So why stick with the appearance when you can go right to the reality of price and analyze it better?”

  2. Follow instead of forecast. Legendary trader Paul Tudor Jones once declared that he would never hire fundamental traders who frequently tried to outwit the market and got burned, because by the time the fundamentals become clear, the trend is over. You can never know if the next trade wins or not, so simply follow your rules and see.

  3. Preserve your capital. Since the market is impossible to forecast, all great traders agree that you must limit your losses before it gets out of hand, since they have seen a lot of intelligent traders got bruised in a market crash simply because they held on to the losers or even averaged down on the way as the price became “fundamentally” attractive.

  4. Let your winners ride. The other side of the coin is not to cut the profit too soon before it can grow large. Jesse Livermore explained, “I’ve known many men who… began buying or selling stocks when prices were at the very level which should show the greatest profit. And … they made no real money out of it.” Why? They sold too soon.

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