rss

Nuggets of Wisdom from Jesse Livermore, Greatest Trader Ever

Here are some valuable nuggets I have gleaned from the book, “How to Trade Stocks,” by Jesse Livermore, with added material from Richard Smitten. It’s published by Traders Press and is available at Amazon.com. Most of the nuggets below are direct quotes from Livermore, himself.

• “All through time, people have basically acted and reacted the same way in the market as a result of: greed, fear, ignorance, and hope. That is why the numerical (technical) formations and patterns recur on a constant basis.”

• “The game of speculation is the most uniformly fascinating game in the world. But it is not a game for the stupid, the mentally lazy, the person of inferior emotional balance, or the get-rich-quick adventurer. They will die poor.”

• Don’t take action with a trade until the market, itself, confirms your opinion. Being a little late in a trade is insurance that your opinion is correct. In other words, don’t be an impatient trader.

• Livermore’s money made in speculation came from “commitments in a stock or commodity showing a profit right from the start.” Don’t hang on to a losing position for very long.

• “It is foolhardy to make a second trade, if your first trade shows you a loss. Never average losses. Let this thought be written indelibly upon your mind.”

• “Remember this: When you are doing nothing, those speculators who feel they must trade day in and day out, are laying the foundation for your next venture. You will reap benefits from their mistakes.”

• “When a margin call reaches you, close your account. Never meet a margin call. You are on the wrong side of a market. Why send good money after bad? Keep that good money for another day.”

• Livermore coined what he called “Pivotal Points” in a market or a stock. Basically, they were: (1) Price levels at which the stock or market reversed course previously–in other words, previous major tops or bottoms; and (2) psychological price levels such as 50 or 100, 200, etc. He would buy a stock or commodity that saw a price breakout above the Pivotal Point, and sell a stock or commodity that saw a price breakout below a Pivotal Point.

• “Successful traders always follow the line of least resistance. Follow the trend. The trend is your friend.”

• A prudent speculator never argues with the tape. Markets are never wrong–opinions often are.

• Few people succeed in the market because they have no patience. They have a strong desire to get rich quickly.

• “I absolutely believe that price movement patterns are being repeated. They are recurring patterns that appear over and over, with slight variations. This is because markets are driven by humans — and human nature never changes.”

• When you make a trade, “you should have a clear target where to sell if the market moves against you. And you must obey your rules! Never sustain a loss of more than 10% of your capital. Losses are twice as expensive to make up. I always established a stop before making a trade.”

• “I am fully aware that of the millions of people who speculate in the markets, few people spend full time involved in the art of speculation. Yet, as far as I’m concerned it is a full-time job — perhaps even more than a job. Perhaps it is a vocation, where many are called but few are singled out for success.” (more…)

Emotion Is More Important Than Intelligence In Trading

Human EmotionThere is nothing new on Wall Street or in stock speculation.
What has happened in the past will happen again, and again, and again.
This is because human nature does not change, and it is human emotion, solidly built into human nature, that always gets in the way of human intelligence.
Of this I am sure.

Jesse Livermore

With every market defeat lessons are learned

Here are some of the lessons I learned:  LESSONS LEARNED

  1. 1)When faced with severe losses, it’s nearly impossible to objectively evaluate your position.
  2. 2)Leverage can be a killer.
  3. 3)A trading plan should be simple, not based on the collective opinions of 15 financial authors.
  4. 4)Never buy front month out of the money options, they are strictly for crazy speculators.  If you’re going to use these, sell them to crazy speculators against your longer-term positions.
  5. 5)Bullish and Bearish divergences fail frequently.
  6. 6)If you want to arrive early to the party, be prepared to wait a long time for the action to arrive.
  7. 7)Those funny Greek names, Delta and Theta, actually mean something!
  8. 8)It’s not acceptable to have multiple blowups like this.  Many great traders have suffered a crushing capital blow early in their careers, only to return stronger and wiser.  Others, like Jesse Livermore, ended his career (and life) after one too many detonations.

Trading Wise Words

Think about it
Turtle Trading Principle
Trade with an edge, manage risk, be consistent, and keep it simple.
The entire Turtle training, and indeed the basis of all successful trading, can be summed up in these four core principles.

Curtis Faith, Way Of Turtle
Why Chart Patterns Repeat Themselves
All through time, people have basically acted and re-acted the same way in the market as a result of: greed, fear, ignorance, and hope.
That is why the numerical formations and patterns recur on a constant basis.

Jesse Livermore, How To Trade In Stocks
Stick To Your Trading Rules
Successful trading is about finding the rules that work and then sticking to those rules.

William J. O’neil

Perfect Speculator
Perfect speculator must know when to get in; (more…)

Jesse Livermore quote

jjlivermoreIf you had read Livermore, the guy’s puzzled too.
Let me quote an excerpt from Richard Smitten’s How to Trade Like Jesse Livermore

Livermore believed that the game of speculation is the most uniformly fascinating
game in the world. But it is not a game for the stupid, the mentally lazy, or the person of inferior emotional balance, or for the get-rich-quick adventurer. They will die poor.
There is a very true adage that Livermore loved: “You can beat a horse race, but you can’t beat the races.”
So it is with market operations. There are times when money can be made investing and speculating in stocks, but money cannot consistently be made by trading every day or every week during the year. Only the foolhardy will try it.

Six trading lessons from speculator Jesse Livermore

Stock operator’s reminiscences useful in today’s market

If you ask traders to choose the most influential trading book, more than likely, they’ll mention Reminiscences of a Stock Operator by Edwin LeFevre. This book describes the experiences of one of the world’s greatest stock speculators, Jesse Livermore.

Many of the anecdotal lessons included in the book are well known to experienced traders. For example: the market is always right; don’t over-trade; never argue with the tape; use stop losses, and always trade with the primary trend of the market.

Almost anyone can learn the mechanics of trading. It’s the psychological pitfalls that make trading one of the most challenging activities. No matter your skill level, it’s important to remember and obey the rules of engagement — another word for discipline.

With that in mind, this book contains dozens of important lessons. Here are a few of my favorites:

1. Learn how to lose

Livermore (speaking through the fictional character of Larry Livingston) complains how he’s made a series of trading mistakes that cost him a lot of money, although he wasn’t completely wiped out. The losses, he admits, were painful but educational:

“There is nothing like losing all you have in the world for teaching you what not to do,” he says. “And when you know what not to do in order not to lose money, you begin to learn what to do in order to win.”

After going broke three times in less than two years, Livermore has this advice: “Being broke is a very efficient educational agency.” He says that you learn little from your winners because they often take care of themselves. It’s the losers that will teach you lessons to last a lifetime. And as long as you don’t make the same mistake twice, you always have the opportunity to trade another day. (more…)

OBEY PRICE

We know that prices move up and down. They always have and they always will. My theory is that behind these major movements is an irresistible force. That is all one needs to know. It is not well to be too curious about all the reasons behind price movements. You risk the danger of clouding your mind with non-essentials. Just recognize that the movement is there and take advantage of it by steering your speculative ship along with the tide. Do not argue with the condition, and most of all, do not try to combat it.Jesse Livermore

The market reflects all the jobber knows about the condition of the textile trade; all the banker knows about the money market, all that the best-informed president knows of his own business, together with his knowledge of other businesses; it sees the general condition of transportation in a way that the president of no single railroad can ever see. It is better information on crops than the farmer or even the Dept of Ariculture. In fact, the market reduces to a bloodless verdict [THE PRICE] all knowledge based on finances, both domestic and foreign.Charles Dow

Quotes for Traders

Planning, Discipline & Patience.
  • ‘Predicting rain does n’t count; building arks does’: Warren Buffett’s Noah Rule.
  • “To know and not to do, is not yet to know” – Courtesy of Tom Witters.
  • ‘It’s easy to have faith in yourself and have discipline when you’re a winner, when you’re number one. What you got to have is faith and discipline when you’re not a winner.’ – Vince Lombardi
  • ‘After spending many years in Wall Street and after making and losing millions of dollars I want to tell you this: It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It always was my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight!’ – Jesse Livermore

Fear

  • ‘Never let fear of striking out, get in your way’: Babe Ruth.

Perspectives

  • ‘It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future,’ – Lawrence Peter ‘Yoggi’ Berra.
  • “go as far as you can see, and when you get there , you will see further.” –
  • anonymous
  • ‘Don’t worry what others think… They don’t do it very often’ – Courtesy of Mark Carstens.
  • “A little learning is a dangerous thing, but we must take that risk because a little is as much as our biggest heads can hold.” – George Bernard Shaw.
  • “Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it” – George Santayana.
  • “Glory is fleeting but obscurity is eternal” – Napoleon
  • ‘A long term investment is when I break even.’ – Courtesy of David Wong.
  • “There are many truths, but only one reality” – Courtesy of Robin Farrell.
  • ‘It’s not whether you get knocked down, it’s whether you get up.’ – Vince Lombardi.
  • ‘We would accomplish many more things if we did not think of them as impossible.’ – Vince Lombardi
  • “Vision – It reaches beyond the thing that is, into the conception of what can be. Imagination gives you the picture. Vision gives you the impulse to make the picture your own.” – Robert Collier.
  • “If you’re 30 minutes into the game and you don’t know who the patsy is, you’re the patsy.” – Courtesy of Saranjot Dosanjh.
  • ‘Price is observable and objective while value is perceived and subjective’. – John Murphy.
  • ‘In theory, there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice there is.’ – Yogi Berra.
  • “As a rule, Panics do not destroy capital; they merely reveal the extent to which it has been previously destroyed by its betrayal into hopelessly unproductive works…. The Failure of great banks… and mercantile firms…are the symptoms incident to the disease, not the disease itself.” – John Stuart Mill (1867).
  • ‘You need three bear markets to know what to do. The first nearly wipes you out, the second you learn how to survive and the third you take by the scruff of the neck and enjoy it.’ – Crispin Odey of Odey Asset Management.
  • “Never in recorded history, has the supply of capital not overwhelmed the supply of opportunity.” – Joseph Lassiter .
  • ‘You only live once but if you work it right, once is enough’. – Joe E. Lewis.
  • “If you really know whats going on, you don’t even have to know whats going on to know whats going on… You can ignore the headlines because you anticipated them months ago” – Michael Steinhardt.
  • ‘Another lesson I learned early is that there is nothing new in Wall Street. There can’t be because speculation is as old as the hills. Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again.’ – Jesse Livermore.
  • “Economic history is a never-ending series of episodes based on falsehoods and lies, not truths. It represents the path to big money. The object is to recognize the trend whose premise is false, ride that trend, and step off before it is discredited.” – Soros.

On Losses (and Profits). 

  • ‘Tradings only real secret is… The best loser is the long-term winner’ – Phantom
  • “Trading is a losing game, the best loser is the long-term winner” – Anonymous.
  • ‘Losses can either be lost money, or tuition in the school of trading’ – Courtesy of Mark Moskowitz.
  • ‘The worst advice I use to get was. – ‘No one went broke taking a profit’’. – Courtesy of John Berra.
  • “It seems that the necessary thing to do is not to fear mistakes, to plunge in, to do the best that one can, hoping to learn enough from blunders to correct them eventually.” – Abraham Maslow
  • ‘“Learn to like your losses”. Why? Because they are small!’ – Courtesy of Stuart A.Brown.
  • “One common adage…that is completely wrongheaded is: You can’t go broke taking profits. That’s precisely how many traders do go broke. While amateurs go broke by taking large losses, professionals go broke by taking small profits.” – William Eckhardt.
  • “Its not about being right or wrong, rather, its about how much money you make when you’re right and how much you don’t lose when you’re wrong.” – George Soros.
  • “The first loss is the best loss.” – Jim Rogers.
  • “Losers average Losers”…Paul Tudor Jones.
  • “You learn nothing from your winners and everything from your losers.” – Courtesy of Jeff Horn.
  • ·“To become a Master Trader, you must first be a successful loser.” – Jeff Horn.

Ego

  • “Don’t be a hero. Don’t have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability. Don’t ever feel that you are very good. The second you do, you are dead.” – Paul Tudor Jones

Personal Responsibility and Self-awarenss (more…)

Lessons From The Wizards

One of the first books I read in this business oh-so many years ago was Stock Market Wizards. It had a profound impact on my thinking about trading, psychology, risk, capital preservation, etc.

Sometime ago, I came across a good discussion of the lessons from the book at Simply Options Trading. What follows is my edited adaptation of those rules he derived from Stock Market Wizards:

    1. All successful traders use methods that suit their personality; You are neither Waren Buffett nor George Soros nor Jesse Livermore; Don’t assume you can trade like them.

     What the market does is beyond your control; Your reaction to the market, however, is not beyond your control. Indeed, its the ONLY thing you can control.

     To be a winner, you have to be willing to take a loss; (The Stop-Loss Breakdown)

     HOPE is not a word in the winning Trader’s vocabulary;

     When you are on a losing streak — and you will eventually find yourself on one — reduce your position size;

     Don’t underestimate the time it takes to succeed as a trader — it takes 10 years to become very good at anything; (There Are No Shortcuts)

     Trading is a vocation — not a hobby (more…)

    Trading Book Review Of the Week: The Three Skills of Top Trading

    This book is written about how three mutually reinforcing skills make a complete trader.

    1). Pattern Recognition and Discretionary Trading.

    Using the Wyckoff method you will see chart representations of how hot growth stocks are accumulated in bases for long periods of time. They eventually have pull backs then break out to new highs and trend. You will also see how they eventually have exhaustion tops on high volume that fail to rally and they begin to break down in distribution with lower lows and lower highs. The author encourages discretionary trading through experience by being able to identify market action through the models from past stocks. This work ties in nicely with the school of thought from legendary traders William J. O’Neil, Jesse Livermore, and Nicolas Darvas.

    2). Behavioral finance and systems building.

    The book teaches that readers must be flexible in their trading. We are merely a ship on a sea of market participant opinions. Follow the prevailing sentiment during the middle of the the trend, and go contrary to it at the extreme tops and bottoms. Hope, fear, and greed are the dangers and the movers of the market that cause support and resistance,  trends, and chart patterns. The action of the stock market is nothing more than a manifestation of mass crowd psychology in action. The Pruden model shows a chart of how accumulation, mark-up, distribution, and markdown works in the market tied to price, volume, sentiment, and time. It truly explains how the price pattern and charts in growth stocks generally play out historically. (more…)

    Go to top